# Bull Market Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Bull Market", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Bitcoin Bottom May Be 2 Months Away, On-Chain Data Suggests

Based on historical on-chain data, Bitcoin may be approaching a cycle bottom within approximately two months. A key indicator, the ratio between the long-term holder (6m-10y) realized price and the broader market (0-10y) realized price, has reached a critical level of 0.936. Historically, when this ratio drops below 0.936 and subsequently recovers to 1.0—signaling that even long-term holders are at a loss—it has marked major market bottoms. Past cycles saw this recovery take 50 to 66 days. If the pattern repeats, a definitive bottom could form by mid-to-late July 2026. Currently, Bitcoin is trading around $75,269, having tested the $76,000 support level multiple times. Market sentiment is fearful, with the Fear & Greed Index at 28. While short-term predictions vary, some analysts forecast a potential rise to around $90,529 within three months.

bitcoinist05/23 20:32

Bitcoin Bottom May Be 2 Months Away, On-Chain Data Suggests

bitcoinist05/23 20:32

From 'I'd Rather Have a Banana' to Selling 80% of His Bitcoin: Mark Cuban's Love-Hate Relationship with Crypto

Mark Cuban, billionaire entrepreneur and former Dallas Mavericks owner, has sold most of his Bitcoin holdings, stating it failed as a hedge against dollar weakness and geopolitical turmoil. He cited Bitcoin's drop during recent Iran tensions while gold rallied. Cuban's crypto journey began with skepticism in 2019, comparing Bitcoin to collectibles. He shifted during the 2021 bull market, publicly endorsing crypto and revealing a portfolio of 60% Bitcoin, 30% Ethereum. That same year, he suffered losses in the Iron Finance DeFi collapse. From 2022, his focus turned to legal battles, including a dismissed lawsuit over Voyager Digital promotion. By 2025, he expressed disappointment in crypto, particularly Bitcoin and NFTs. His seven-year arc mirrors a retail cycle from doubt to enthusiasm to disillusionment, with his views heavily influenced by price trends and macro events.

marsbit05/22 12:20

From 'I'd Rather Have a Banana' to Selling 80% of His Bitcoin: Mark Cuban's Love-Hate Relationship with Crypto

marsbit05/22 12:20

Bitcoin Is Playing Out The ‘Fakeout Theory’ Again, Here’s What To Expect

A crypto analyst known as "Bee" proposes that Bitcoin is repeating a historical four-year "fakeout" pattern, where a cycle's all-time high later becomes a key support level. According to this theory, after hitting a peak near $126,000 in October 2025 and subsequently crashing below $70,000 in early 2026, Bitcoin could see a further correction. The analyst projects a potential drop first to the $60,000-$65,000 range, followed by a final cycle bottom between $47,000 and $52,000. Following this reset, the pattern suggests a major bull run could commence, potentially driving Bitcoin's price above $110,000, representing a gain of over 120% from the projected low. However, the analyst expresses skepticism about the theory's validity in the current strained market environment.

bitcoinist05/22 00:32

Bitcoin Is Playing Out The ‘Fakeout Theory’ Again, Here’s What To Expect

bitcoinist05/22 00:32

Conversation with Glassnode Analyst: Bitcoin Bull Market Has Restarted, Current Market Still in 'Sell on Rally' Phase

Bitcoin analyst Checkmate believes the cryptocurrency market is now in a bull phase following a likely capitulation event in June, with an 80% probability the $60,000 low marked the bottom. However, he expects a prolonged consolidation period, similar to past cycles. Key resistance levels are identified at $78,000 (short-term cost basis), $85,000 (a critical supply zone and 200-day moving average), and $95,000. Sustained price appreciation requires consistent capital inflows, with institutions expected to enter more aggressively if Bitcoin surpasses $100,000. The discussion extends to macroeconomics, where rising global bond yields signal a loss of trust in government fiscal management. Checkmate argues this reflects a broader monetary regime change, where Bitcoin and gold will serve as primary stores of value outside the traditional system, while fiat currencies like the USD act as mediums of exchange. Finally, Checkmate criticizes proposed Australian capital gains tax reforms, calling them a "wealth grab." The plan to replace a 50% discount for assets held over a year with inflation indexing based on low CPI rates would drastically increase effective tax rates, punishing savers and investors trying to overcome the country's severe housing affordability crisis. He urges public opposition to prevent such policies from spreading globally.

marsbit05/21 09:26

Conversation with Glassnode Analyst: Bitcoin Bull Market Has Restarted, Current Market Still in 'Sell on Rally' Phase

marsbit05/21 09:26

Silicon Bull, Carbon Bear: The Wealth Code of 2026 is Only 'Chips' and 'Light'

The article, titled "Silicon Bull, Carbon Bear: In 2026, the Wealth Code Lies Only in 'Chips' and 'Optics'", discusses the extreme market divergence in 2026 driven by the AI investment frenzy. Investment managers who concentrated on the AI hardware supply chain, particularly computing infrastructure, optical modules, and memory chips, have seen their fund net asset values (NAVs) surge dramatically, even reaching record highs. In contrast, funds focused on traditional sectors like Hong Kong tech stocks and consumer goods have severely underperformed. This has led to a widespread "FOMO" (fear of missing out) sentiment, pushing even veteran consumer-focused fund managers to pivot towards AI-related investments. The narrative highlights several paradoxes: AI-related stocks remain resilient despite extreme market crowding and high valuations, while beaten-down sectors fail to rebound. The author dubs this split market "Silicon Bull, Carbon Bear," suggesting a bull market only for those invested in silicon-based tech (AI hardware) and a bear market for carbon-based traditional economy sectors. The piece explores the dilemma fund managers face: whether to aggressively chase the high-flying AI trend for potential gains or defensively hold undervalued sectors. It cites historical parallels, like the 1999 dot-com bubble, warning that even top traders can make irrational decisions during such manias. Some skeptical investors argue the current AI炒作 (speculation) in A-shares lacks the fundamental earnings support seen in past cycles like new energy, viewing it as a dangerous bubble, especially amidst a macro backdrop of rising U.S. bond yields. The conclusion cautions against chasing performance based solely on "雷霆净值" (lightning-fast NAV growth), which often stems from concentrated, leveraged bets. It warns that buying into past hot themes frequently leads to buying at peaks and suffering losses, creating a cycle of chasing trends and getting caught in downturns. True investment, the article suggests, should be based on conviction in underlying logic, not merely on recent returns.

marsbit05/21 07:46

Silicon Bull, Carbon Bear: The Wealth Code of 2026 is Only 'Chips' and 'Light'

marsbit05/21 07:46

‘Withdraw Insurance to Buy Stocks’: South Koreans Over 60 Are Borrowing to Bet on Samsung

South Korea's stock market has seen a frenzy, with the KOSPI nearly doubling in six months. This boom is fueled by a surge in retail investors borrowing to buy stocks, with outstanding margin loans hitting a record high. A significant portion of this debt is held by people over 50, with the 60+ age group seeing the fastest growth. Many are reportedly cashing out savings-type life insurance policies—even at a loss—to fund their stock investments. They are heavily concentrated in major semiconductor stocks like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, which have driven most of the market's gains. This trend is particularly risky for older investors, who are leveraging their limited retirement savings. While a market correction in March caused significant losses for leveraged accounts, the swift recovery and continued rally have reinforced risky behavior. Stories of quick profits on platforms like Blind further fuel the speculative rush. The phenomenon is partly driven by economic anxiety. With South Korea having a high elderly poverty rate and a low public pension replacement rate, some seniors see the booming market as a last chance to improve their finances. This "FOMO" (fear of missing out) sentiment is palpable, even in public parks where retirees gather and now discuss stock tips alongside their usual activities. Despite regulatory warnings and the inherent risks of leverage—especially for those with little time to recover from losses—the borrowing binge continues. The market's heavy reliance on a few tech stocks and its cyclical nature pose a substantial threat to these elderly investors, for whom a downturn could be catastrophic.

marsbit05/21 04:16

‘Withdraw Insurance to Buy Stocks’: South Koreans Over 60 Are Borrowing to Bet on Samsung

marsbit05/21 04:16

The Brutally Honest Truth About Bitcoin That Most People Miss

A crypto analyst warns of brutal truths about Bitcoin that many investors overlook. Despite recent price declines, most market participants remain overly optimistic about a major rally, though positive indicators like retail investor returns are scarce. Google searches for Bitcoin are rising as people consider buying during the downturn. The analyst notes widespread bullish sentiment, driven by factors like the CLARITY bill and hopes for interest rate cuts, with figures like Cathie Wood predicting Bitcoin could reach $1 million. However, the analyst highlights that the market heavily follows institutional players, and this cycle may be especially difficult for retail investors. A contentious issue involves quantum computing threats, with proposals to enhance security potentially targeting Satoshi Nakamoto's wallet, which holds 1 million BTC. The analyst cautions that the coming years could bring significant surprises and challenges.

bitcoinist05/21 04:01

The Brutally Honest Truth About Bitcoin That Most People Miss

bitcoinist05/21 04:01

Nvidia's Wednesday 'Big Test': The Battle That Will Determine the Fate of the AI Bull Market is Here!

NVIDIA Faces Key AI Bull Market Test with Wednesday Earnings Report NVIDIA is set to release its quarterly earnings after the market close on Wednesday, May 20th (US Eastern Time). This report is seen as a critical stress test for the current AI-driven bull market cycle. The semiconductor sector is technically severely overbought, with extremely bullish options positioning. The rare signal of stock prices and implied volatility rising simultaneously indicates significantly amplified two-way risk around this earnings event. The core tension identified by analysts is strong fundamental demand for AI versus mounting technical pressures. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX) is trading approximately 60% above its 200-day moving average, a deviation not seen since the peak of the dot-com bubble in 1999/2000. While NVIDIA's current quarter revenue is expected to beat estimates by a substantial margin, market focus is intensely on the guidance for the next quarter. Historically, NVIDIA's stock has frequently declined on the day following its last five earnings reports. The options market presents contradictory signals: extreme bullish call skew persists, yet there is notable activity in tail-risk hedging via put options on broader indices and semiconductor ETFs. This suggests traders are chasing gains while simultaneously preparing for potential sharp volatility. A broader market concern is narrowing breadth. Despite the S&P 500's YTD gain, only about half of its constituents are positive, with leadership heavily concentrated in a few mega-cap AI and semiconductor names like NVIDIA. Analysts question whether this reflects market health or a "funding source" effect, where money flows out of lagging sectors into the AI trade. The earnings outcome and, crucially, the forward guidance will test the market's conviction in the AI compute super-cycle thesis. Given NVIDIA's high correlation with the semiconductor and broader tech sector, its results are poised to trigger widespread market moves in either direction.

marsbit05/19 11:43

Nvidia's Wednesday 'Big Test': The Battle That Will Determine the Fate of the AI Bull Market is Here!

marsbit05/19 11:43

Bitcoin Bull Market Confirmation Will Be Completed Once This Level Is Reclaimed, Analyst

Bitcoin is testing a key technical level that could signal the start of a new bull market, according to analyst Crypflow. The focus is on the "bull-bear ribbon," formed by the 21-week moving average (21 WMA) and the 21-week simple moving average (21 SMA) on a two-week chart. Historically, a crossover where the 21 WMA moves above the 21 SMA has confirmed bull markets, while the opposite crossover has confirmed bear markets. Bitcoin recently experienced a bear market confirmation in 2025 after its peak above $126,000. Currently, the price is attempting to push back into this critical ribbon but faces rejection at the 21 WMA, located around $81,974. Although BTC briefly touched $82,000 last week, it has since pulled back, trading near $76,914 at the time of writing and remaining below both moving averages. According to the analyst, a sustained reclaim of the 21 WMA is needed to begin the next bull market confirmation phase.

bitcoinist05/19 03:32

Bitcoin Bull Market Confirmation Will Be Completed Once This Level Is Reclaimed, Analyst

bitcoinist05/19 03:32

As the Market Prepares for the Next Expansion Phase, Ozak AI’s $7M+ Presale Is Strengthening Its Long-Term Story

The article reports that AI-powered crypto project Ozak AI has surpassed a $7 million milestone in its OZ token presale, coinciding with a market preparing for expansion. It highlights both short and long-term projections for the token, with potential ROIs of 71x at listing and up to 500x thereafter. The piece details the deployment of core technologies like the x402 Protocol and DePIN to enhance ecosystem efficiency and data security. It also notes strategic alliances, such as with Phala Network, that are strengthening the project's foundation for sustainable growth. The conclusion emphasizes Ozak AI's focus on a long-term trajectory, bolstered by presale performance, technological implementation, and key partnerships.

TheNewsCrypto05/18 10:20

As the Market Prepares for the Next Expansion Phase, Ozak AI’s $7M+ Presale Is Strengthening Its Long-Term Story