CryptoQuant Claims ‘Bitcoin and Gold Are Moving in the Same Direction Again’, Warns of Peaks and Troughs! Here Are the Details

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-08-10Last updated on 2026-08-10

Abstract

CryptoQuant claims that Bitcoin and gold are once again moving in sync, reviving the "digital gold" narrative. Their data shows the 90-day Pearson correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and gold has recovered sharply, exceeding 0.6, indicating strong positive price movement alignment. This contrasts with earlier this year when the correlation was negative, around -0.8, a period where gold rose while Bitcoin declined. However, analysts warn of a potential short-term peak for Bitcoin. Using Elliott Wave theory, they suggest BTC is approaching a peak in the $66,317-$68,965 range. Following this, a deeper correction, possibly the final 'V' wave of a broader bear market structure, could begin. On-chain indicators support this downside risk, with MACD showing a bearish divergence and RSI moving into overbought territory despite higher prices, signaling weakening momentum. The next key support level in case of a drop is identified at $51,336.

At this moment, Ki Young Ju stated that the relationship between Bitcoin and gold has begun to strengthen again. According to Ju, the ratio between $BTC and gold has returned to levels observed during the period when Bitcoin was considered “digital gold.”

Is Bitcoin Returning to the ‘Digital Gold’ Era?

The CEO of CryptoQuant, X, posted a chart on his account showing the 90-day Pearson correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and gold. According to the data released by CryptoQuant, the correlation has quickly recovered and exceeded 0.6.

A correlation coefficient close to 1 between gold and Bitcoin indicates a stronger tendency for the price movements of these two assets to move in the same direction, while values below 0 suggest they move in opposite directions.

At present, according to the chart, the correlation between Bitcoin and gold generally remained in the positive range until last year but sharply declined from the end of last year, dropping to around -0.8 at the beginning of this year. This led to a significant divergence in the movements of these two assets.

Because, while the price of gold was rising during that period, Bitcoin showed a different trend and experienced a decline.

According to the famous CEO's report, the correlation coefficient between the two assets has recently recovered rapidly, returning to the positive zone. This means that Bitcoin and gold have recently again shown a strong tendency to move in the same direction. Moreover, Ju's recent assessment suggests that with the resumption of strengthening price linkage between Bitcoin and gold, the “digital gold” concept for $BTC may become relevant again.

A Short-Term Peak May Form in Bitcoin!

In its latest report, the analysis firm CryptoQuant assessed that Bitcoin may continue its upward trend in the short term, reaching a peak, after which a deeper decline will begin.

According to CryptoQuant analysts, based on Elliott Wave Theory, $BTC is approaching a short-term peak in the range of $66,317–$68,965, after which it could face a deeper decline.

The analysts noted that the downward wave pattern “i~v,” representing the five sub-waves used in Elliott Wave analysis, indicates that the broader bear market trend remains strong.

In this context, the analysts suggest that Bitcoin's current recovery could be part of a downward movement within the bear market. According to the analysts, if the expected peak is reached, the final “V” wave may begin, and a new wave of $BTC selling could be observed.

They also added that on-chain indicators confirm the downside risk.

CryptoQuant analysts also noted that while Bitcoin is forming higher peaks, the MACD indicator shows a bearish trend. The RSI indicator has also moved into the overbought zone.

This indicates that while the price is rising, the momentum is not strengthening to the same degree.

The analysts also added that the next important target level they are watching in case of a price decline is $51,336.

*This is not investment advice.

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Related Questions

QAccording to CryptoQuant, what is the current state of the correlation between Bitcoin and gold, and what does a correlation above 0.6 indicate?

ACryptoQuant states that the 90-day Pearson correlation coefficient between Bitcoin and gold has recovered rapidly and is now above 0.6. A correlation value close to 1 indicates that the prices of these two assets have a stronger tendency to move in the same direction.

QWhat specific market concept does the strengthened correlation between Bitcoin and gold potentially revive, according to Ki Young Ju?

AAccording to Ki Young Ju, the renewed strengthening of the price connection between Bitcoin and gold suggests that the concept of Bitcoin as 'digital gold' may once again become relevant.

QWhat is CryptoQuant's short-term price prediction for Bitcoin based on Elliott Wave Theory, and what potential target is mentioned for a price drop?

ABased on Elliott Wave Theory, CryptoQuant analysts predict Bitcoin may approach a short-term peak in the range of $66,317 to $68,965 before facing a deeper correction. In the event of a price decline, a key target level they are watching is $51,336.

QWhat trend divergence between Bitcoin and gold occurred earlier this year, and what was the approximate correlation coefficient at that time?

AEarlier this year, there was a significant divergence where the price of gold was rising while Bitcoin was experiencing a downturn. The correlation coefficient between the two assets fell sharply to around -0.8 at the beginning of the year, indicating opposite price movements.

QWhich two technical indicators mentioned in the report show bearish signals despite Bitcoin's price forming higher peaks?

AThe report mentions that the MACD indicator shows a bearish trend and the RSI has moved into the overbought zone. This indicates that while the price is rising, the momentum is not strengthening to the same degree.

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1.7k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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