Bitcoin’s Short-Term Holder Whales Sitting On Increasing Unrealized Losses – What’s Going On?

bitcoinistPublished on 2026-02-23Last updated on 2026-02-23

Abstract

Bitcoin's price remains below $70,000 amid ongoing market volatility, leading to significant unrealized losses for short-term holder whales. According to a CryptoQuant report by Darkfost, these large-scale recent investors are sitting on approximately $26 billion in paper losses, a level among the highest seen this year. This mounting financial pressure risks eroding confidence and triggering emotionally-driven selling during periods of volatility, potentially influencing Bitcoin's next major price movement. Despite short-lived speculative rallies, on-chain signals indicate that a genuine sustained rally has not yet begun. Analyst CW suggests that the current cycle—including the recent all-time high and subsequent pullback—is merely preparation for a much larger upward move. Comparing it to the 2017 bull run, CW anticipates an even stronger rally this time due to record levels of whale accumulation, predicting that the real rally is about to begin and will be substantial.

Bitcoin is still hampered by the ongoing volatility across the cryptocurrency market, keeping its price below the $70,000 level for the past few days. With BTC’s price steadily trending downwards, whale short-term holders are starting to feel the heat, as their unrealized losses sharply increase.

Unrealized Losses Climb For Bitcoin’s STH Whales

After a prolonged period of downside price performance, Bitcoin’s unrealized losses are spiking. A recent report from Darkfost, a market expert and author of the CryptoQuant platform, has linked this sharp increase in unrealized losses to whale short-term holders. On-chain data shows that the level of unrealized losses held by these new whales is rising to increasingly concerning levels, hinting at mounting stress among some of the market’s largest and most influential participants.

As Bitcoin tries to regain its upward momentum, these high-value wallets, which are frequently more sensitive to recent price changes, are currently sitting on substantial paper losses. At present, Darkfost has highlighted that the losses of these investors who entered the market within the past six months are valued at roughly $26 billion.

Source: Chart form Darkfost on X

Zooming in on the chart, this figure ranks among the most significant levels seen this year. The peak was recorded on February 6th, which coincided with the BTC’s price drop below the $60,000 level, expanding unrealized losses during the period to approximately $32 billion.

Darkfost noted that whales that joined the market later in the cycle are currently suffering the consequences of the current downward trend of the Bitcoin price. Although these investors holding positions at a loss is not necessarily constructive, it can erode confidence and bolster behavioral instability.

Such a trend has the potential to trigger emotionally driven decisions in periods of renewed market volatility. Given the mounting pressure beneath the surface, short-term whale behavior may have a significant impact on Bitcoin’s next significant move.

No Real Rally for BTC In Sight Yet

Key Bitcoin on-chain signals are revealing a conflicting signal about the current market cycle. In a post on the social media platform X, CW, a data analyst and crypto investor, the BTC On-chain Activity Strength Signal metric is showing that a real rally has not progressed in this cycle.

Short-lived increases have been triggered by speculative momentum, but there are still no underlying structural clues that usually indicate a real long-term rally. According to the expert, everything that has occurred so far, from the massive rally to an all-time high to the sharp pullback, is a preparation for an upcoming rally, which is expected to kick off soon.

CW has compared this impending massive upward move to the powerful rally experienced in the 2017 cycle. This time, the rally could be bigger due to the fact that whale accumulation is at an all-time high, adding that the real rally that is about to begin will be enormous.

BTC trading at $65,759 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Related Questions

QWhat is the current unrealized loss for Bitcoin's short-term holder whales, according to the article?

AThe unrealized losses for Bitcoin's short-term holder whales are currently valued at roughly $26 billion.

QWhich expert is cited as the source for the data on whale unrealized losses?

AThe data on whale unrealized losses is from a report by Darkfost, a market expert and author on the CryptoQuant platform.

QWhat was the peak level of unrealized losses for these whales this year, and when did it occur?

AThe peak level of unrealized losses was approximately $32 billion, recorded on February 6th when Bitcoin's price dropped below $60,000.

QAccording to analyst CW, what does the BTC On-chain Activity Strength Signal metric indicate about the current market cycle?

AThe BTC On-chain Activity Strength Signal metric indicates that a real rally has not yet progressed in this cycle, with short-lived increases being driven by speculative momentum rather than underlying structural clues.

QHow does the article suggest the behavior of short-term whale holders could impact Bitcoin's price?

AThe article suggests that the mounting pressure and unrealized losses could lead to emotionally driven decisions by short-term whale holders, which may have a significant impact on Bitcoin's next significant price move.

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