¿Hacia dónde se dirige Ethereum? Qué esperar mientras toros y osos luchan por ETH

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-07-13Last updated on 2026-07-13

Abstract

El precio de Ethereum (ETH) ha caído, incapaz de mantener el nivel de $1,800, y cotiza alrededor de $1,780. En medio de esta volatilidad, dos grandes operadores han tomado posiciones opuestas: uno abrió una posición corta de $53.49 millones con apalancamiento 20x, y otro una posición larga de $53.49 millones con apalancamiento 10x, reflejando un intenso enfrentamiento entre alcistas y bajistas. Mientras tanto, los datos del mercado de derivados muestran un sentimiento predominantemente bajista a corto plazo, con un índice de compra/venta por debajo de 1 y salidas netas significativas de contratos de futuros. Sin embargo, algunos indicadores de impulso direccional, como el ADX, sugieren que la tendencia alcista subyacente aún podría ser sólida. El próximo movimiento clave para ETH será si logra recuperar el nivel de $1,800 o si, por el contrario, continúa la presión bajista y cae por debajo de $1,700. La batalla entre los grandes operadores podría ser decisiva.

Ethereum [ETH] no logró mantener el nivel de 1,8k dólares y cayó a un mínimo de 1.773 dólares antes de recuperarse levemente. En el momento de escribir este artículo, Ethereum cotizaba alrededor de los 1.780 dólares tras caer un 1,26% en el gráfico diario.

En medio de esta volatilidad del mercado, los operadores de ambos bandos libran una feroz batalla buscando retomar el control del mercado.

Ethereum: Osos y toros luchan por el control del mercado

Dado que Ethereum no logró mantener su impulso alcista, con los 1,8k dólares convirtiéndose en una resistencia obstinada, los operadores han tomado nota. Como resultado, inversores de alto patrimonio neto han desplegado un capital significativo para abrir tanto posiciones cortas como largas.

Según Lookonchain, un operador abrió una posición corta con apalancamiento de 20x sobre 30.000 ETH por valor de 53,49 millones de dólares. Dado que ETH muestra cierta fortaleza, el operador ya tiene una ganancia de 846,4 mil dólares en esta posición.

Históricamente, este operador tiene un sólido historial de éxitos, habiendo obtenido anteriormente más de 444 mil dólares operando con otras criptomonedas. Esta posición corta muestra las expectativas bajistas de la ballena.

Fuente: Lookonchain

El segundo operador abrió una posición larga con apalancamiento de 10x sobre 30.000 ETH por valor de 53,49 millones de dólares. Hasta ahora, la ballena tiene una pérdida de 823,1 mil dólares, ya que ETH continúa cayendo.

Este operador también tiene un sólido historial de éxitos y anteriormente cerró ocho operaciones, ganando seis y totalizando 3,1 millones de dólares en beneficio. La decisión de la ballena de abrir posiciones largas sugería que era alcista y esperaba que ETH se recuperara.

Los operadores de derivados mantienen una postura bajista

Aunque los dos operadores anteriores mostraron interés, en general los participantes del mercado se mantuvieron bajistas y estaban vendiendo de forma agresiva en el momento de redactar este artículo.

Cabe destacar que el "Derivatives Taker Buy Sell Ratio" volvió a caer por debajo de 1. Actualmente, se sitúa alrededor de 0,946, niveles que no se veían desde hace dos semanas.

Fuente: CryptoQuant

Cuando esta métrica se sitúa por debajo de 1, sugiere que se ejecutaron más operaciones de venta en el mercado de derivados. Una mirada a la métrica "Futures Netflow" confirma esta visión.

En las últimas 12 horas, por ejemplo, salieron 5.940 millones de dólares de las posiciones de futuros. El "Futures Netflow" de la altcoin cayó a -88 millones de dólares.

Fuente: CoinGlass

Las salidas son aún más extremas en los marcos temporales de 8 y 4 horas, periodos durante los cuales el "Netflow" cayó hacia los -200 millones de dólares.

¿Qué sigue para ETH?

Aunque los vendedores dominan los derivados, el impulso direccional general de Ethereum muestra cierta estabilidad. Por lo tanto, el capital que fluye hacia posiciones largas y cortas está impulsando el momentum.

Cuando observamos el ADX con el indicador SMA, el índice positivo está significativamente por encima del índice negativo. Al mismo tiempo, la SMA y el ADX también están por debajo del +DI, lo que sugiere que el impulso alcista es actualmente más fuerte.

Fuente: TradingView

Cuando este indicador se configura de esta manera, a menudo señala una probable recuperación alcista. Si la batalla entre toros y osos persiste, los flujos de capital podrían ayudar a ETH a recuperar los 1,8k dólares, preparándolo para otro movimiento alcista.

Sin embargo, si la tendencia bajista continúa y liquida a los alcistas, podríamos ver otro desliz por debajo de los 1,7k dólares.


Resumen final

  • Se intensifica la batalla entre toros y osos en Ethereum: un operador abrió una posición corta de 53,49 millones de dólares, mientras que otro abrió una posición larga de 53,49 millones de dólares.
  • ETH no logró mantener los 1,8k dólares y cayó a un mínimo de 1.773 dólares, pero el impulso direccional permanece estable.

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