1inch 跌势未止,反转的信号快到了吗?

ambcryptoPublished on 2025-08-04Last updated on 2025-08-04

Abstract

比特币的价格逆转可能对 1inch 有所帮助,其指标和价格走势表明多头正准备复苏。

关键要点

1inch 的市场结构看跌,且势头向下。尽管卖方似乎占据上风,但价格可能已经触底,并可能正在为反弹做准备。

1inch [1INCH] 的价格从 7 月 13 日到 8 月 2 日经历了 40.7% 的回撤。这使得1INCH 的价格从 0.391 美元的波动高点跌至 0.232 美元的波动低点。

不过,尽管价格下跌,但较高时间框架的市场结构仍然看涨。

对长期投资者来说,令人鼓舞的是,此次回调已使1英寸代币价格回落至5月份的阻力位。最近几天,1英寸代币价格重新测试0.24美元的支撑位,这对投资者来说是一个积极的信号,或许是一个不错的买入机会。

然而,本质上滞后的技术指标却不一致。CMF 为 -0.26,反映出过去两周 1INCH 面临的巨大抛售压力。A/D 线在过去十天保持平稳,与 CMF 走势不一致,表明抛售压力有所减弱。

MACD指标与看跌市场结构相符,并突显出强劲的下行势头。所考察的指标并未预示趋势反转,但价格走势却提供了反转的线索。那么,链上指标揭示了什么呢?

低迷的市场情绪和稳步的积累表明市场看涨情绪

AMBCrypto 发现,加权情绪为负,并且在 7 月下半月的大部分时间里一直如此。融资利率在 8 月 3 日短暂跌至负值,但很快回升。未平仓合约的下降也凸显了衍生品市场的看跌情绪。

综合来看,社交媒体参与度利空,投机交易者乐于远离市场。这本身并不能成为买入的理由。然而,平均币龄的加入改变了这一情况。

从 6 月下旬到 7 月中旬,平均币龄急剧下降。这表明链上代币流动性和获利回吐活动活跃。过去两周,平均币龄呈上升趋势,反映了全网代币的积累。

当关键水平线再次测试0.24美元时,看涨反转的可能性就会增加。投资者必须希望比特币[BTC]在周末在11.2万美元处形成局部底部。

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