8万枚BTC沉睡14年后被激活,真身是谁?会抛售吗?

Odaily星球日报Published on 2025-07-05Last updated on 2025-07-05

Abstract

是“烤猫”、Roger Ver、还是更早期的矿工?

原创 | Odaily星球日报(@OdailyChina

作者 | Asher(@Asher_ 0210 

8万枚BTC沉睡14年后被激活,真身是谁?会抛售吗?

沉寂 14 年后,价值 86.9 亿美元的 8 万枚 BTC 被转移

链上数据监测显示,自昨日中午起,某沉寂长达 14 年 BTC 远古巨鲸的地址重新活跃,其关联的 8 个钱包地址被陆续激活。这 8 个地址可分为两批:其中 2 个地址早在 2011 年 4 月 2 日收到 20000 枚 BTC,当时比特币价格仅约为 0.78 美元;其余 6 个地址则在 2011 年 5 月 4 日收到的 60009 枚 BTC,当时比特币价格为 3.37 美元。

截至目前,这 8 个地址所持的全部 80009 枚 BTC 已被转移至 8 个新地址,每个新地址现分别持有约 10000 枚 BTC。按当前市价计算,这批资产总价值约为 86.9 亿美元,具体接收地址如下:

  • 1GcCK347TMbzHrRpDoVvJdR6eyECyqHCiU 

  • bc1qmnjn0l0kdf3m3d8khc6cukj8deakg8m588z24g 

  • bc1qymu2qf0d23qg38p9w7yxxt4yqjjg47rytxujl6 

  • bc1qnzy2rr7g3688x62f8vrhgeclvtcs5hr50wzu0w 

  • bc1q2lkyqvqqwus9pl96krgtk4rh0fqu8gtmpuwgmc 

  • bc1qhtawge4km6juhlkrnvt7qjahhsc96qdlgf3c8t 

  • bc1q84w6epn6uce9s85slt7q6emm3qfzz7ngq7ef6k 

  • bc1qwq5geath93h0lnfsrmnwnfuck2f9ypv4ewyl4j

这些 BTC 尚未转入任何交易所,却已搅动市场神经——全世界的加密 holder,屏息凝视着这“远古资金”的下一步棋。

潜在抛压到底有多大?

市场如此关注这位远古巨鲸的下一步动作,主要因为其持有的 8 万枚比特币数量巨大,约相当于微策略(MicroStrategy)持仓总量的 13.4%,以及已知中本聪地址持仓的 6.35%。这批 BTC 的成本价在 0.78 美元到 3.37 美元之间,迄今已实现超过十万倍的惊人盈利。按当前价格计算,这些比特币的总价值约 86.9 亿美元,远远超过币安近 24 小时内的现货交易额(仅约 10 亿美元)。

此外,从市场其他数据来看, 2025 年第二季度上市公司购买的比特币总量约为 13.1 万枚,比特币 ETF 同期净买入约为 11.1 万枚,而上周每日的净流入也仅有两千多枚。由此可见,一旦这位远古巨鲸开始分批抛售,其释放的抛压规模将远远超过近期任何机构的买卖活动,对市场造成的冲击不可小觑。

抛不抛,得看这位远古巨鲸究竟是谁

关于这位远古巨鲸真实身份的猜测在社群中引发猜测,且众说纷纭。

或是一位早期矿工,但无法确定身份

Coinbase 主管 Conor Grogan 在 X 平台发文表示,这位 BTC 远古巨鲸似乎是来自 2011 年的单个矿工。该矿工整合了 180 个挖矿奖励区块,其在 2011 年曾拥有一个包含 20 万枚比特币的钱包地址,按当前价值计算约合 220 亿美元,这将使其成为有史以来排名前五的比特币钱包。

CryptoQuant 分析师 Julio Moreno 也认为这位远古巨鲸是一个早期的矿工,因为这些交易可以追溯到早期的区块奖励且显示出是在整合不同的区块奖励,昨日的转账看起来像是在将多个较小的 UTXO 与一个较大的 UTXO(1 万枚 BTC)进行合并。

“华人币圈第一人”烤猫

其中华人圈一个猜测对象是币圈传奇人物“烤猫”,本名蒋信予,湖南邵阳人,少年天才, 15 岁考入中国科技大学少年班,后赴耶鲁访学。2011 年接触比特币, 2012 年以“friedcat”之名发帖发起众筹,成功创办 ASICMiner 公司,成为最早一批研发比特币专用矿机的创业者。其矿机曾占据全球 42% 的算力,公司一度风光无两,被誉为“矿圈一霸”。

然而,烤猫于 2014 年底神秘消失,至今未有公开消息,也未留下线索。他的传奇经历与突然失联,使得很多人怀疑这批比特币是否与他有关。不过,据反馈烤猫是在 2012 年才开始做矿机的,与此次被激活的钱包创建时间不符。此外,其公开地址的动态也仅从 2013 年开始(地址追踪信息:https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/1BnkEt2ceoVhnQVrqeAzigcroQ6MVyxFey)。

8万枚BTC沉睡14年后被激活,真身是谁?会抛售吗?

烤猫公开地址转账信息

比特币早期布道者 Roger Ver

在各大英文社区,大家普遍猜测这位远古巨鲸是比特币早期布道者 Roger Ver,绰号比特币耶稣。

8万枚BTC沉睡14年后被激活,真身是谁?会抛售吗?

英文区普遍猜测这位远古巨鲸是 Roger Ver

Roger Ver 是比特币早期最狂热的布道者之一, 2011 年开始投资比特币,并曾在比特币陷入危机时全力支持 MT.GOX 交易所,帮助其度过技术难关。他创办的公司 Memorydealers 最早接受比特币支付,还在硅谷投放比特币广告;随后又上线 bitcoinstore.com,实现数十万商品支持 BTC 购买。

2012 年起,Roger Ver 陆续投资了 BitPay、Coinbase、瑞波、Blockchain.info 等多个初创项目,几乎资助了整个第一代比特币创业公司。他的布道精神和投资行为,为比特币生态奠定了早期基础。

信仰与兑现之间,这枚“远古炸弹”悬而未决

这场风暴的核心,既在于“是谁”,又在于“会怎么做”。无论这位远古巨鲸的真实身份最终是否揭晓,有一点已毋庸置疑——一旦他开始抛售,这些沉睡 14 年的比特币所释放的抛压,势必超出牛市能承受的范围。

虽然我们无从得知,是什么让他长期守住这笔资产成为真正的 BTC “钻石手”,但在超过 10 万倍的账面收益面前,即便是最虔诚的比特币信仰者,也难免动摇。当前这 8 万枚 BTC 如同一枚随时可能引爆市场的“黑天鹅”炸弹,拖慢牛市步伐。

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