明天就是312了 盘点加密历史上有名的币圈惨案

金色财经Published on 2025-03-11Last updated on 2025-03-11

Abstract

在抄底的时候也提醒一下各位,因为政策或者天灾类型引发的惨案,触底反弹时间都比较短。但是因为加密自身原因导致投资者对行业失去信任,则需要一年以上的时间才可能走出来。

来源:C Labs 加密观察

最近的行情真的是很恐怖哈,比特币跌破八万,以太坊跌破两千。

市场上哀嚎声一片~

明天就是312了,今天和大家一起盘点一下历史上有名的几次的的币圈惨案,也提醒一下目前市场行情还算正常波动,基操勿6~

咱从惨案发生的时间顺序和大家梳理一下哈。

一. 门头沟被盗

2014年2月门头沟事件 门头沟事件被视为币圈历史上最为严重的事件之一。当时,世界上最大的比特币交易所——Mt.Gox(门头沟),因遭受黑客攻击,丢失了近85万枚比特币,约占全球比特币总数的7%。这一事件不仅使得比特币价格暴跌80%,也引发了加密货币市场的信任危机。

不过现在门头沟被盗的金额折合5亿美金,这一被盗记录被今年发生的Bybit被盗15亿美金打破。

Bybit被盗后不仅对行业的影响远不如当年,甚至Bybit还保持正常运营用户可以自有提币。

这么看来加密行业还是成长很多~

二. 94政策

这个94事件呢发生在2017年,这个事件是由中国大陆的监管引发的。

那一年,币圈诞生了各种暴富神话。亿万颗渴望财富自由的心蠢蠢欲动,好机会就在眼前,岂能轻易放走?因此,大批ICO项目犹如病毒般大肆泛滥,甚至连广场舞的大妈都不跳舞了,都开始研究ICO了。一时间许多垃圾项目、垃圾币如雨后春笋一样冒了出来。

这么混乱和热闹的局面,监管部门怎么会不管呢?

8月21日,央行总部收到了相关紧急报告,该报告明确指出ICO属于变相非法集资。央行相关人士研究了大量的ICO白皮书,得出的结论是:“90%的ICO项目涉嫌非法集资和主观故意诈骗,真正募集资金用作项目投资的ICO其实连1%都不到。”

一场本应于9月2日召开的区块链盛会被有关部门(北京金融局)叫停。该会议叫停的背后,其实是因为监管已经对ICO做出了判断,相关规范文件将于近期发放。

在2017年9月4日,重磅炸弹终于落下,七部委联合发布了《关于防范代币发行融资风险的公告》,将ICO(首次公开募币)界定为未经批准非法公开融资的行为。公告称ICO涉嫌非法发售代币票券、非法发行证券以及非法集资、金融诈骗、传销等违法犯罪活动,严重扰乱了经济金融秩序。

大招一出,比特币大跌32%,莱特币大跌57.3%。从这个跌幅也可以看到当初中国大陆对比特币的影响力。

面对监管的镰刀,众多交易所被迫转战海外,项目方退币盛行,币圈出现暴跌,恐慌情绪不断蔓延。

但是在94事件短暂的影响之后,比特币还是走出一个超级大牛市,到2017年底,比特币冲到历史最高点20000美金,三个月翻了6倍。

而交易所发现可以通过币币交易与场外法币交易的方式回国继续交易,币安也趁着这个机会实现超级逆袭,一举站上交易所的光明顶,直至今天。

可能没有当初的94事件,就不会有今天的币安吧?

三. 312惨案

时间一晃来到2020年。

2020年3月12日,据币安数据显示,比特币从最高7966.17$跌落至最低4410$,3月13日迎来至暗时刻,跌至最低点3782.13$,两日最大跌幅超50%,而在前几周比特币才刚重回10000$。

当时受疫情影响,全球经济衰退,美股已经开始暴跌了。很多加密的投资者将比特币视为避险资产,但一个标的是不是避险资产,还是要靠更多投资者的共识决定。

这312发生到现在也才短短5年,这三千多U的比特币拿到今年也是翻了二十多倍呀!

四. 519政策

519事件发生在2021年,从312到519总共才短短的一年多,比特币在此之前已经暴涨到了6万美金以上,312抄底比特币的人一年就实现了十几倍的收益。

时间来到了2021年5月18日央行出手发文,金融业三大协会发声:提供虚拟货币交易服务涉嫌开展非法金融活动!

当天盘面比较稳定,甚至有略微的上涨,直到5月19号,还有很多人认为,这种事不是第一次发生了 跌一点很正常,到晚上的时候,当天比特币从44000刀跌到29000刀 跌幅达到34%!

在这期间内,矿场关停、矿机出海、财经下架,一时间币圈风声鹤唳草木皆兵,韭菜们都觉得牛市结束了。这就是519给币圈带来的影响,至今余震还在,韭菜们忘不了被519支配的恐惧。

519之后 很多在牛市幸存的空军,觉得找到了机会 纷纷的开了空,觉得这一空就可以空几年,绝对发财了,却不曾想到 比特币突然杀了一个回马枪,重新突破新高 达到67000刀。而这一来一回 基本上清空了合约玩家,行情才真正的按照剧本走下去,而仅存的空军也被这一波血洗。

六. Luna/FTX暴雷

时间来到2022年,今年先后发生了Luna和FTX的暴雷,进而引发了整个加密货币市场的信任危机,市场进入深熊。

2018年左右,一位斯坦福大学计算机专业毕业的韩国人Do Kwon建立了一个围绕稳定币的公链生态Terra,这个生态主要是玩法是由这两个币完成的:

一个是Terra生态上的代币Luna

另一个是存在于Terra链上的稳定币UST

这两个币是这样互动的:

一个 UST=价值1美元的Luna。意思是,如果Luna价格为1美元可以换一个UST,如果Luna价格涨到了100美元,则可以换100个UST。

2. UST和Luna是“双向销毁铸造”的关系。意思是,当你在用Luna换UST时,市场上就少了一美元的Luna多了一个UST,当用UST换Luna时,市场上就少了一个UST。

这个玩法就是当初火爆一时的算法稳定币,LUNA市值也一度达到400亿美金。

这类稳定币都有一个命门,就是Luna必须有价值,不管价格多低但不能太接近零,不然你无论发多少个Luna都不会对UST的价格波动造成影响。

22年5月份的时候,有很多大户开始抛售UST,导致Luna价格暴跌90%以上跌至10美元,UST彻底脱锚跌至0.6 美元。但与此同时,大量的人开始抄底Luna。

5月11日,Do Kwon发布公告表示无法救市,只能依赖套利机制帮助 UST 恢复价格。Luna闻声再跌 90%以上,价格跌破1美元,UST一度暴跌到0.3美元。

5月12日,Luna继续暴跌99%,几乎归零,UST价格跌破0.2美元。

5月13日,众多交易所下架Luna并暂停交易,Terra 公链停机。

如果说LUNA事件只能说算法稳定币这类型的业务模式被证伪,那2022年底出现的FTX事件,才真正让很多加密用户大跌眼镜。

FTX 作为当时加密市场排名第二的交易所,获得了红杉/淡马锡/贝莱德等一众有头有脸的正规大基金投资,据说还做了好几个月的尽职调查,在一级市场的估值就达到了320亿美金。

就这么个苗正根红的项目,在22年11月底轰然倒塌,内部管理一塌糊涂,随意挪用客户资金。

随着FTX的暴雷,币安也进一步稳定了交易所第一的地位。

受LUNA和FTX这一对卧龙凤雏的影响比特币的价格也是从22年初的6万,一路下探到年底最低一万五,暴跌75%。

七.每次暴跌都是抄底良机

只有两次是真正和加密技术相关的,分别是2014年的门头沟被盗和2022年的LUNA/FTX暴雷事件。

2014年爆发门头沟事件的时候,比特币跌了有一年半才缓过来重新上涨。这期间很多加密的投资者对加密货币爆发了深深的不信任感,但凡能坚持下来的到现在都是OG了。

22年LUNA/FTX暴雷之后,无论是投资机构还是普通投资者,对加密也是产生了很深的不信任感,比特币也是跌了有一年半才缓过来。

另外有两次是受中国大陆政府的政策影响,可见我们华人对加密圈的影响力之深。

2017年的94之后仅仅两个月价格就恢复了,而且年底还迎来一波暴涨。

21年的519事件仅仅过了四个月,比特币就创下新高。

而312事件更多是受疫情影响,这种算是天灾,比特币的价格两个月就恢复了。

综上所述,比特币是不怕天灾和政策影响的,这些因素引发的暴跌,往往都是抄底好时机。

在抄底的时候也提醒一下各位,因为政策或者天灾类型引发的惨案,触底反弹时间都比较短。但是因为加密自身原因导致投资者对行业失去信任,则需要一年以上的时间才可能走出来。

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612 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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