Matrixport投研:用户FOMO情绪启动,BTC年末或将突破70,000美元

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-10-18Last updated on 2024-10-18

Abstract

BTC短线突破68,000美元,年度收官价格或超70,000美元

2024 年的最后两个月即将到来,BTC 价格在 70, 000 美元下方波动。虽然要突破这一心理阻力位还需要克服诸多挑战,但 BTC 有可能在年底突破 70, 000 美元大关,美国政治形势的发展也将进一步影响市场情绪。

用户 FOMO 情绪启动,BTC 现货 ETF 流入增加

在贝莱德财报利好及宏观因素的综合影响下,BTC 现货 ETF 的市场流入近期持续增加。据 Cointelegraph 在 X 平台披露数据显示, 10 月 17 日 贝莱德 BTC 交易所交易基金 IBIT 购入价值 3.117 亿美元的 BTC,本周 IBIT 的流入总量已接近 10 亿美元。

特朗普当选 2024 年美国总统的概率上涨,历史执政理念利好加密资产

Polymarket 数据显示,目前特朗普当选 2024 年美国总统的概率升至 61.7% ,副总统哈里斯当选概率为 38.2% 。若 2025 年特朗普重新出任美国总统,美国经济的多个行业都将受到重大影响,其中也包括 BTC 等加密资产。特朗普的上一届任期在政策上支持商业,对美联储持怀疑态度,且宣扬民粹主义论调,这些都为 BTC 的增长提供了有利环境。虽然特朗普此前曾抨击过加密资产,但和其施政方案相关的多个经济和政策趋势却将利好 BTC 。

特朗普的上一届任期以放松政府对多个行业的管制来推动经济增长而著称。特朗普支持撤销 2008 年金融危机后出台的金融监管政策。这一总体立场利好视监管为创新和增长掣肘的 BTC 和整个加密资产市场。

若特朗普延续其税收政策,BTC 投资者或将获利

特朗普的税收政策设计是偏向于商业和投资的,对公司和富人实施大幅减税。根据特朗普的 2017 年减税就业法案,公司税率从 35% 降至 21% ,投资者的资本利得税也进行了削减。如果他在第二任期的税收政策再次采取类似的做法,BTC 投资者将会受益。

上周,我们注意到投资者还未开始为特朗普胜选做好仓位准备,此后,比特币出现了 8% 的大幅上涨。随着特朗普胜选概率急速攀升,我们越来越有可能看到 BTC 更为强势的回归。

上述部分观点来自 Matrix on Target, 与我们联系获取 Matrix on Target 完整报告。

免责声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成投资建议。数字资产交易可能具有极大的风险和不稳定性。投资决策应在仔细考虑个人情况并咨询金融专业人士后做出。Matrixport 不对基于本内容所提供信息的任何投资决策负责。

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Today, Claude Cowork Major Update: Close Your Laptop, It Works for You Overnight

Anthropic's Claude Cowork has received a major upgrade, officially launching on mobile and web platforms. This allows users to manage and monitor tasks from any device, freeing them from needing to stay at their computers. The key innovation is that tasks now run in the cloud on Anthropic's servers, meaning work continues even when a user's personal device is offline or closed. The update merges Chat and Cowork into a single interface and extends usage quotas. Engineers highlight three core capabilities now unified: precise context understanding, support for long-running tasks, and complete independence from a user's physical device. The workflow is described as a full cycle: a user assigns a complex task (e.g., preparing a meeting summary, drafting emails, post-meeting analysis). Claude Cowork autonomously breaks it down, connects to necessary tools like Slack and email, gathers information, and executes. It pauses only for critical user decisions, sending a notification to the user's phone for approval before proceeding. Product managers share use cases like monitoring AI agents during a soccer game or resuming a cloud-based task seamlessly after a flight, emphasizing the new flexibility. The article frames this as part of a larger trend where tech giants (OpenAI, Microsoft, Google) are competing to bring AI agents into the daily workflows of general knowledge workers, not just developers. The ultimate battleground is becoming an indispensable, seamless part of everyday productivity.

marsbit1h ago

Today, Claude Cowork Major Update: Close Your Laptop, It Works for You Overnight

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

663 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片