Bittensor [TAO] targets $241 as the ‘AI narrative’ attempts a comeback

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-02-15Last updated on 2026-02-15

Abstract

The crypto AI sector has seen a brief recovery after a significant downturn, with its market cap rising from recent lows. Bittensor (TAO) led this uptick with a notable 30.93% rally, alongside gains in other AI tokens like Render and NEAR Protocol. This suggests a potential shift towards an AI narrative, possibly due to capital rotation from Bitcoin. Despite the short-term upward momentum, TAO's overall trend remains bearish. Technical analysis indicates that while the token could potentially reach short-term bullish targets at $241.4 and $268.2, it faces a key resistance at $302.4 to confirm a bullish structure. Given current market sentiment and Bitcoin's bearish bias, this appears unlikely in the near term. The analysis also suggests TAO might experience volatility, with a possible pullback to the $165-$175 range to fill imbalances before attempting higher climbs. Investors are advised to monitor Bitcoin's performance, as a sell-off could hinder this recovery. The information presented is solely the writer's opinion and not financial advice.

The crypto AI sector has been struggling in recent weeks. Over the past month, it has shed 30.28% in market cap to fall to a combined $14.66 billion capitalization.

However, since Thursday, the 12th of February, the sector has noted some gains.

In this brief uptick phase, Bittensor [TAO] has noted a 30.93% rally. This could be due to capital rotation into altcoins, evidenced by the slight slump in the Bitcoin [BTC] dominance in February.

Other leading crypto AI sector tokens, such as Render [RENDER] and NEAR Protocol [NEAR], were also up 18% and 15% since Thursday’s lows. This could be an early sign of a shift towards an AI narrative.

Should investors bet on a sustained Bittensor recovery?

The 1-day swing structure was bearish, captured by the bearish impulse move the altcoin made in 2026.

The moving averages and the MACD captured the overall bearish momentum lately, although some short-term upward momentum was underway.

The OBV saw a bounce alongside the price, but like the price, remained in a longer-term downtrend.

The current TAO bounce can extend beyond the local $200 supply zone. The Fibonacci retracement levels at $241.4 and $268.2 were the short-term bullish price targets.

To flip the daily timeframe’s swing structure bullishly, TAO has to close a 1-day trading session above January’s high at $302.4.

At the time of writing, this appeared unlikely because of the wider market sentiment and the bearish Bitcoin bias.

Brace for more TAO volatility

The local supply at $202 has been swept, and the H4 chart revealed sizeable imbalances (white box) around $170. This price area also lined up well with the 20- and 50-period moving averages.

Therefore, over the next few days, it is possible that the Bittensor token will drop to $165-$175 to fill this imbalance before climbing higher toward $241 and $268.

Final Summary

  • The AI sector has shown strength over the past four days but has been in a longer-term downtrend.
  • The short-term strength could see leading tokens such as TAO climb past key local resistances in the following days, provided Bitcoin doesn’t witness a sell-off.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

Trending Cryptos

ctr
CitreaCTR
wstusdt
wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT
apr
aPrioriAPR
ctx
Cryptex FinanceCTX
audio
AudiusAUDIO
comp
CompoundCOMP
mantra
MantraMANTRA
waxl
AxelarWAXL
bill
Billions NetworkBILL
pyth
PYTH (Pyth)PYTH
rune
THORChainRUNE
velodrome
Velodrome FinanceVELODROME
brev
BrevisBREV
cake
PancakeSwapCAKE
jst
JUSTJST

Related Questions

QWhat is the current market capitalization of the crypto AI sector and how much has it declined over the past month?

AThe crypto AI sector currently has a combined market capitalization of $14.66 billion, having declined by 30.28% over the past month.

QWhich AI tokens have shown gains since Thursday, February 12th, and by how much?

ASince Thursday, February 12th, Bittensor (TAO) has rallied 30.93%, Render (RENDER) is up 18%, and NEAR Protocol (NEAR) is up 15% from their lows.

QWhat are the short-term bullish price targets for Bittensor (TAO) according to Fibonacci retracement levels?

AThe short-term bullish price targets for TAO are the Fibonacci retracement levels at $241.4 and $268.2.

QWhat does TAO need to do to flip its daily timeframe's swing structure to bullish?

ATo flip the daily timeframe's swing structure bullishly, TAO has to close a 1-day trading session above January's high at $302.4.

QWhat potential price movement is expected for TAO in the near future according to the H4 chart analysis?

AThe H4 chart analysis suggests TAO could drop to the $165-$175 range to fill a sizeable imbalance around $170, which aligns with the 20- and 50-period moving averages, before potentially climbing higher toward $241 and $268.

Related Reads

In Conversation with Ray Dalio: We Are Currently in an AI Bubble, with 1% of My Portfolio in Bitcoin

Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warns in an interview that the current AI boom shows classic bubble characteristics, which could lead to significant economic downturns as seen in past cycles like 1929 or 2000. He explains that speculative enthusiasm, fueled by debt and overvaluation, often precedes a crash when rising rates or taxation force asset sales, causing widespread losses and recession. Dalio also outlines his "Big Cycle" theory, describing an approximate 80-year pattern where widening wealth gaps, massive government deficits, and shifting geopolitical power (like China's rise) create internal conflict and global instability. He emphasizes that we are in a late-cycle, transitional phase where traditional powers like the US and UK face decline. For personal wealth protection, Dalio advises diversification beyond cash into assets like stocks, bonds, real estate, and particularly gold, which he prefers over Bitcoin. While he holds about 1% of his portfolio in Bitcoin as a non-printable hard asset, he views gold as more secure from technological or governmental threats. Regarding AI's impact, Dalio believes it will disproportionately benefit capital owners, worsening inequality by replacing both physical and cognitive labor. He suggests that human intuition and emotional intelligence, combined with AI, will be key for future workers. On taxation, Dalio argues that wealth taxes are impractical and risk triggering asset sell-offs, reducing productive investment. He points to the UK as a cautionary example of debt, low productivity, and political strife. Geopolitically, Dalio foresees a more regionalized world, with the US showing weakness in prolonged conflicts like with Iran, akin to past imperial declines. The ideal outcome, he suggests, is coexisting powerful blocs (e.g., Americas, China-Asia Pacific) without major war.

marsbit2h ago

In Conversation with Ray Dalio: We Are Currently in an AI Bubble, with 1% of My Portfolio in Bitcoin

marsbit2h ago

Daily 7.2 Trillion KRW: Foreign Capital's Record Net Buying on Friday! Wall Street Says Headwinds for Korean Stock Fund Flows Have Subsided

South Korean stock market sees a dramatic shift in fund flows. On July 31, foreign investors made a record net purchase of approximately KRW 7.2 trillion in KOSPI stocks, marking a fundamental reversal from the persistent large-scale net outflows seen in previous months. This contributed to a significant narrowing of foreign net selling in July to KRW 9.8 trillion, down sharply from KRW 48.4 trillion in June and KRW 44.5 trillion in May. Simultaneously, domestic institutional pressure eased. South Korean pension funds and asset managers turned to a net buying position in July, purchasing KRW 1.0 trillion worth of KOSPI shares, contrasting with net sales in May and June. Market volatility is expected to be dampened by new financial regulations. Effective July 31, the Financial Services Commission tightened access for retail investors to single-stock leveraged ETFs by raising the minimum cash deposit requirement. Trading volumes for these products subsequently dropped to about 50% of their monthly average. Citigroup Research maintains its year-end KOSPI target of 10,000 points. The firm cites several supportive factors: the substantial easing of headwinds from capital outflows, a robust fundamental outlook for the semiconductor sector, historically low market valuations, strong economic fundamentals, and the potential for policy support from financial authorities if needed.

marsbit2h ago

Daily 7.2 Trillion KRW: Foreign Capital's Record Net Buying on Friday! Wall Street Says Headwinds for Korean Stock Fund Flows Have Subsided

marsbit2h ago

Breaking! OpenAI's Next-Gen AI Solves 10 Fields Medal-Level Problems

OpenAI's next-generation AI model Astra achieves breakthroughs in 10 long-standing mathematical conjectures. The results, including constructing the first known infinite, finitely presented non-sofic group—resolving a major question since 1999—and advancing the high-dimensional sphere packing problem beyond a 46-year-old barrier, are detailed in a 249-page paper. Key proofs have been formally verified using Lean 4. The AI also refuted a rigidity conjecture by Fields Medalist Alain Connes. According to OpenAI, generating these proofs cost under $2,000. Experts describe the findings as potentially Fields Medal-worthy and a landmark moment for both mathematics and AI, showcasing the model's ability to produce profound, human-like reasoning across diverse fields like group theory, geometry, and operator algebras.

marsbit4h ago

Breaking! OpenAI's Next-Gen AI Solves 10 Fields Medal-Level Problems

marsbit4h ago

How to Make Yourself Irreplaceable by AI Forever

This article argues that the primary threat from AI is not job replacement, but remaining trapped in "wage slavery"—financial dependence on employers. The path to becoming irreplaceable is not resisting AI, but becoming an "unemployable" individual who builds their own meaningful enterprise. The author identifies five key elements for this: Agency (acting without permission), Taste (judging what's worthwhile), Persuasion, Persistence, and Iteration. The solution is to stop being a "pawn" in someone else's game. To start, you must fundamentally change your identity and environment, then engage in rapid, real-world trial and error. While both coding and creating media (content) are powerful, content is more crucial. AI can generate assets, but true value lies in subjective, human-driven content that builds trust and narrative. The actionable advice is to carve out 15 minutes to answer foundational questions: 1) Uncover your "raw material"—what you know deeply or solve effortlessly. 2) Define your contrarian perspective—what common beliefs you think are wrong. The intersection of these answers is your direction. Finally, you must launch by publishing your first core idea immediately, using the feedback to iterate and develop the skills needed for a self-directed life and career.

marsbit5h ago

How to Make Yourself Irreplaceable by AI Forever

marsbit5h ago

Thanks to Dice Rolls, Bitcoin Keys Are Stored Offline, But Not Everyone Will Do It

The article discusses using dice rolls to generate secure Bitcoin wallet seeds, providing entropy independent of potentially flawed hardware random number generators. It explains that each fair dice roll offers about 2.585 bits of entropy, with around 50 rolls needed for a standard 12-word seed phrase and 99+ recommended for higher security. This method gained attention after a vulnerability was revealed in some Coldcard hardware wallets, where a faulty firmware RNG (dating back to 2021) compromised generated keys. The analysis notes that while a dice-generated main seed was safe from this specific flaw, other Coldcard functions (like creating paper wallets, backup keys, or passwords) could still be vulnerable if they used the defective RNG. The piece argues that while dice-based entropy is technically robust, the manual process is error-prone, tedious, and unrealistic for most new users, who might make mistakes in recording or inputting rolls. It concludes that while manual entropy generation should remain an option for advanced users, the long-term goal is to develop reliable, user-friendly hardware and software that securely generates randomness without requiring specialized knowledge. Coldcard users are advised to check their firmware version and replace any secondary secrets (like paper wallet keys) created with vulnerable devices, while also considering multi-signature setups with devices from different manufacturers for added security.

cryptonews.ru8h ago

Thanks to Dice Rolls, Bitcoin Keys Are Stored Offline, But Not Everyone Will Do It

cryptonews.ru8h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of AI (AI) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions