比特币(BTC)和加密货币面临严峻威胁:它们可能成为首要目标!

cryptonews.ruPublished on 2026-07-27Last updated on 2026-07-27

Abstract

量子计算的快速发展对加密货币市场乃至整个加密体系构成威胁,其中比特币(BTC)与加密货币可能首当其冲。专家指出,尽管目前尚不存在能破解比特币椭圆曲线加密的量子计算机,但行业普遍预测,具有密码破解能力的量子计算机可能在2029年左右出现。谷歌近期研究显示,破解比特币和以太坊加密所需的物理量子比特数量已较先前估计减少约20倍,意味着威胁比预期更近。Quantum Xchange首席执行官埃迪·泽维贡强调,加密货币可能成为量子攻击的首要目标,主要风险并非来自当前加密技术,而在于区块链网络升级进程缓慢,难以快速应对量子威胁。微软、IBM等公司的巨额投资也加速了量子计算的进展,加剧了加密领域的紧迫性。

量子计算的迅猛发展不仅威胁着加密货币市场,还威胁着整个加密系统,包括银行体系。然而,专家认为,加密货币市场可能成为首个受这场变革冲击的领域。

在当前阶段,随着"Q日"的预测日益临近,专家警告称,缓慢的加密货币管理流程,而非其加密技术,可能成为抵御量子攻击的最大障碍。

在CoinDesk的采访中,Quantum Xchange首席执行官埃迪·泽维贡将加密货币比作"矿井里的金丝雀",他表示,首次成功的量子技术网络攻击很可能将针对去中心化的区块链网络。

在此背景下,这位知名首席执行官强调,量子攻击将瞄准金融网络,而加密货币可能在此过程中成为首要目标。

据该首席执行官称,目前尚不存在能够在密码学意义上破坏支撑比特币区块链签名及其银行基础设施安全加密的椭圆曲线密码学的量子计算机。

然而,微软、IBM和谷歌等巨头的进展表明,量子威胁比预想的更近。

泽维贡首席执行官表示,业内普遍认为,一台具备密码学意义的量子计算机将在2029年左右研发成功。

"像微软、IBM等投入数十亿美元进行量子计算的公司普遍认为,一台具有商业可行性和密码学意义的量子计算机将在2029年左右问世。"

在此背景下,支持这一观点的报告之一是最新由谷歌研究人员发布的研究。谷歌发布的研究称,破解保护比特币和以太坊的加密系统所需的物理量子比特数量,相比之前的估计减少了约20倍。这个比例显示了威胁的规模,以及我们距离破解它比先前预测的要近得多。

最后,泽维贡断言,比特币面临的最大风险不在于其当前的加密系统,而在于网络重大更新的采纳速度缓慢。

*本文不构成投资建议。

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Related Questions

Q根据文章,量子计算对加密货币市场构成的主要威胁是什么?

A量子计算的发展威胁着支撑比特币和加密货币的加密系统,特别是基于椭圆曲线的密码学。一旦研发出密码学意义上有效的量子计算机,它可能破解区块链的数字签名和加密安全,从而威胁整个加密货币市场,而加密货币可能成为最先受到攻击的领域。

Q为什么文章将加密货币比作“煤矿中的金丝雀”?

A文章引用了Quantum Xchange首席执行官埃迪·泽尔维贡的比喻,将加密货币比作“煤矿中的金丝雀”。这意味着在量子计算构成的广泛加密威胁中,去中心化的区块链网络可能最先受到成功攻击,从而为更广泛的金融和加密系统(如传统银行系统)敲响警钟。

Q专家预计密码学意义上有效的量子计算机大约何时会出现?

A根据文章,行业普遍预计,像微软、IBM和谷歌这样投入巨资的公司,可能在2029年左右开发出具有商业可行性且在密码学意义上有效的量子计算机。

Q谷歌最近的研究报告在量子威胁方面有什么新发现?

A谷歌最近的研究报告显示,破解保护比特币和以太坊的密码系统所需的物理量子比特数量,比之前的估计减少了约20倍。这表明量子计算威胁的规模比之前预想的更大,我们距离可能被攻破的时间点也更近了。

Q文章指出,比特币面对量子威胁的最大风险可能是什么?

A文章指出,比特币面对量子威胁的最大风险可能不在于其当前的密码系统,而在于其网络采用重大更新的速度缓慢。缓慢的治理和升级过程可能会阻碍其及时部署抗量子密码学,从而成为防御量子攻击的最大障碍。

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