# Trading Volume的所有文章

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Gate Institute: Polymarket Accelerates Growth, Gate Launches New Portal to Prediction Markets

Gate Research Institute: Polymarket Growth Accelerates, Gate Expands into Prediction Markets with New Portal This analysis examines the growth of the prediction market platform Polymarket, which has evolved from an early experiment into a major event-driven trading venue. Data shows a significant, step-like increase in trading volume and active users, though growth remains heavily tied to major political, sports, and geopolitical events. Fee and revenue growth is driven by both genuine trading demand and recent changes to platform fee structures. Polymarket's market structure is highly concentrated, with over 90% of volume in these few high-profile categories. While it functions as both an information and sentiment market, its price discovery is most active during high-attention news cycles. The platform's core value lies in creating a liquid market for trading the outcome of future events, a unique niche within crypto. Gate's recent integration of Polymarket addresses different challenges. It simplifies access by allowing users to trade with exchange-held USDT, lowering friction for its existing user base. This highlights two emerging pathways for prediction markets: Polymarket's native, on-chain model versus Gate's centralized, low-friction account integration. Both paths will likely coexist, targeting different user segments. Key challenges for Polymarket include ongoing regulatory uncertainty, reliance on cyclical event-driven demand, potential oracle or settlement disputes, and achieving sustainable user retention beyond peak event periods. The platform has proven its commercial viability and ability to scale but has yet to demonstrate it can become a stable, everyday trading category independent of major news cycles.

marsbit05/09 02:07

Gate Institute: Polymarket Accelerates Growth, Gate Launches New Portal to Prediction Markets

marsbit05/09 02:07

The Midfield Battle of Perp DEX: The Declining, The Self-Rescuers, and The Latecomers

The article "Perp DEX Midfield Battle: The Declining, The Self-Rescuers, and The Newcomers" discusses the shifting landscape of decentralized perpetual exchanges (Perp DEX). Hyperliquid saw a weekly trading volume of approximately $15 billion, driven largely by commodity contracts like crude oil, gold, and silver amid geopolitical tensions and market volatility. Meanwhile, GMX Labs is hiring a CEO, moving away from its founder-driven model, and dYdX's market share dropped from 73% in early 2023 to single digits by late 2024. The decline of GMX and dYdX is attributed to several factors: reliance on token incentives that inflated trading volumes artificially, architectural limitations (e.g., GMX's liquidity pool model capping open interest, dYdX's costly migration to Cosmos), and misjudging key competitive factors like performance and market maker density. Hyperliquid, in contrast, grew slowly without VC backing or token incentives. It built its own L1 chain with a fully on-chain order book, focusing on transparency to attract market makers. It strategically expanded into traditional assets only after establishing a robust ecosystem, enabling it to capture demand during events like the Iran crisis. It now leads with ~54% of open interest among top Perp DEXs, ahead of Aster (~15%). The article concludes that the first generation of Perp DEXs is transitioning to professional management, while new opportunities lie in replacing traditional financial infrastructure, as Hyperliquid demonstrates by handling real-world demand.

marsbit03/27 09:31

The Midfield Battle of Perp DEX: The Declining, The Self-Rescuers, and The Latecomers

marsbit03/27 09:31

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