Gold Price ‘Heading For A Fall,’ Claims Cathie Wood — ‘Great Depression’ Levels To Pull It Lower?

ccn.com发布于2026-01-30更新于2026-01-30

文章摘要

Cathie Wood warns that gold is "heading for a fall" after its sharp decline from recent record highs. She notes that gold’s market cap relative to the U.S. M2 money supply reached an all-time high, surpassing even the 1980 peak. Drawing parallels to the Great Depression, Wood suggests the current rally shows signs of excess and may be a bubble. On Thursday, gold fell nearly 9% from its peak, dropping to around $5,100 per ounce and erasing trillions in market value. The sell-off also impacted silver and cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin falling below $83,000. Wood argues the current economic environment differs from past crises and believes an upturn in the dollar could "pop" the gold bubble. Analysts attribute the rapid decline to forced liquidations rather than fundamental shifts.

Ark Invest founder Cathie Wood warned that the precious metal may be heading for another fall, after gold’s price slid sharply from record highs this week in a dramatic market collapse that carried over to crypto.

On Thursday, gold fell nearly 9% from its peak, retreating to around $5,100 an ounce after touching just below $5,600 earlier in the session, wiping trillions of dollars from the metal’s estimated global market value.

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Wood’s Stark Warning

Cathie Wood said the rally in gold price shows signs of excess, pointing to valuation measures she says have reached historic extremes relative to U.S. money supply.

“Odds are high that the gold price is heading for a fall,” Wood wrote on X.

She said that during intraday trading, “the market cap of gold as a percent of the US money supply (M2) hit an all-time high: higher than its peak in 1980 when inflation and interest rates soared to the mid-teens.”

In a separate post, Wood drew parallels with the 1930s, noting that “the ratio of gold to M2 has hit the all time high recorded during The Great Depression in 1934.”

She added that during that period, “the dollar devalued relative to gold by almost 70% on January 31, 1934, the government banned private ownership of gold, and M2 collapsed.”

Wood argued, however, that today’s macroeconomic backdrop differs sharply from past crisis periods.

“The U.S. economy today looks nothing like the double-digit inflation-prone 1970s or the deflationary bust of the 1930s,” she said.

Wood added that while foreign central banks have diversified away from the dollar, “the 10-year Treasury bond yield peaked at 5% in late 2023 and is now 4.2%.”

She also rejected the idea that gold’s surge reflects a durable structural shift.

“While parabolic moves often take asset prices higher than most investors would think possible, the out-of-this-world spikes tend to occur at the end of a cycle,” Wood said.

“In our view, the bubble today is not in AI, but in gold. An upturn in the dollar could pop that bubble, a la 1980 to 2000 when the gold price dropped more than 60%.”

Gold and Silver Price Retreat From Record Highs

The pullback followed a sharp risk-off move across markets, with gold and silver retreating alongside declines in U.S. technology stocks.

Gold’s fall of roughly 8.7% from its peak erased an estimated $3.4 trillion from the value of all above-ground gold, according to market calculations.

Silver fell even more steeply, dropping close to 12%, as investors sold industrial metals alongside equities.

Bitcoin also fell leading below $83,000.

Analysts Flag Forced Selling

Victor Olanrewaju, an analyst at CCN, said the speed of the move suggested forced liquidation rather than a reassessment of fundamentals.

“Specifically, the gold price collapsed from near $5,600 to around $5,100 in a matter of minutes,” Olanrewaju said.

“In the move, gold shed roughly $3 trillion in market capitalization before the recent bounce.”

He added that silver followed with a comparable decline, while cryptocurrencies were caught in the downdraft.

“As expected, Bitcoin was not left out, leading the crypto market crash with a decline below $83,000,” Olanrewaju said.

The spillover into digital assets triggered widespread liquidations, with automated selling accelerating losses across the sector.

“As cross-asset correlations snapped higher, automated liquidations swept through the crypto market, wiping out $1.68 billion in positions over 24 hours, the largest liquidation event of 2026 so far,” he said.

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相关问答

QWhat did Cathie Wood warn about the gold price and what historical period did she compare it to?

ACathie Wood warned that the gold price is heading for a fall and compared its current market cap relative to the U.S. money supply (M2) to the peak levels seen during the Great Depression in 1934.

QHow much did the gold price fall from its peak and what was the estimated impact on its global market value?

AThe gold price fell nearly 9% from its peak, retreating to around $5,100 an ounce after touching just below $5,600, which wiped an estimated trillions of dollars from the metal's global market value.

QAccording to Cathie Wood, what is the bubble in today's market and what could potentially pop it?

AAccording to Cathie Wood, the bubble today is not in AI but in gold, and an upturn in the dollar could pop that bubble, similar to the period from 1980 to 2000 when the gold price dropped more than 60%.

QWhat other assets experienced a decline alongside gold, and how much did silver fall?

ASilver fell alongside gold, dropping close to 12%, and Bitcoin also declined, falling below $83,000, as investors sold industrial metals and equities in a risk-off move.

QWhat did analyst Victor Olanrewaju suggest was the cause of the rapid decline in gold and crypto markets?

AVictor Olanrewaju suggested that the speed of the move indicated forced liquidation rather than a reassessment of fundamentals, with automated selling accelerating losses and causing a liquidation event of $1.68 billion in the crypto market over 24 hours.

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