Dogecoin: Breakout attempts fail, short sellers regain control – What’s next?

ambcrypto发布于2026-01-19更新于2026-01-19

文章摘要

Dogecoin's attempt to break through the $0.15 resistance level on January 13th failed, leading to a continued price decline. This downward trend was further accelerated by Bitcoin's recent volatility. Market data shows the memecoin sector lost 6.66% of its market cap in 24 hours, with traders seeing significant long liquidations. The price has fallen below the key long-term support level of $0.129, indicating severe selling pressure. Analysis suggests seller dominance has persisted since October, with each price bounce being used for profit-taking. The overall sentiment remains bearish, with a potential short-term bounce to $0.14-$0.15 seen as a selling opportunity. A significant shift in momentum would require a reclaim of the $0.15 level and a resurgence in Bitcoin's price to improve capital flows into DOGE.

On the 13th of January, Dogecoin [DOGE] bulls forced a short-term rally to $0.15.

On that day alone, the leading memecoin had rallied by 8.8%, challenging the local supply zone where a breakout attempt failed in the first week of the month.

The second try was a failure too, and DOGE prices have been falling since then. Bitcoin’s [BTC] wobble in the early hours of Monday sent Dogecoin prices further south.

CoinMarketCap data showed that the past 24 hours saw the memecoin sector shed 6.66% of its total market cap. Traders faced $35.42 million in liquidations in the past 24 hours, with $33.69 million being long positions.

Dogecoin slips below key long-term support

The $0.150 supply zone was just below the key swing high from November at $0.156. Breaching it would have flipped the swing structure bullishly, but it was not to be.

Though the CMF was above +0.05 at the time of writing, the OBV signaled the seller dominance since October has not let up. Moreover, the $0.129 low from April 2025 was ceded to bears yet again.

It showed the severe selling pressure on Dogecoin. Each bounce is a profit-taking opportunity for underwater investors.

Arguing the bullish DOGE case

This was a tough argument to make. In 2025, Dogecoin shed 62.8%, measured from the year’s open to its close.

A recent AMBCrypto report highlighted the lack of conviction from smart money, evidenced by the 500 million DOGE deposit to Binance.

Traders’ call to action – Sell a bounce

There were sizeable imbalances overhead on the hourly chart. The one at $0.137 coincided with the $0.136-$0.140 zone, where the memecoin consolidated over the past few days before plummeting lower.

Traders can use a retest of $0.140 to go short if they see a lower timeframe trend shift to act as an early signal of a bearish reversal. Alternatively, the $0.150 was another supply zone to sell at.

Traders looking to buy would want a reclaim of $0.150 to signal strength from the bullish side.


Final Thoughts

  • The Dogecoin price prediction was bearish for the rest of the month. A price bounce toward $0.14-$0.15 is possible before another move lower.
  • A Bitcoin resurgence is necessary to shift sentiment and encourage capital flows to DOGE, which have been weak after the first week of January.

Disclaimer: The information presented does not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice and is solely the writer’s opinion.

相关问答

QWhat was the key resistance level that Dogecoin failed to break out of in early January?

AThe key resistance level was the $0.150 supply zone, which was just below the key swing high from November at $0.156.

QWhat does the data on liquidations in the past 24 hours indicate about market sentiment?

AThe data indicates a bearish sentiment, as $35.42 million in liquidations occurred, with the vast majority ($33.69 million) being long positions.

QAccording to the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator, what has been the dominant market force since October?

AThe OBV indicator signaled that seller dominance has been the dominant market force since October and has not let up.

QWhat is suggested as a potential trading strategy for a price bounce towards $0.14-$0.15?

AThe suggested strategy is to sell into a bounce, using a retest of the $0.140 or $0.150 supply zones as an opportunity to go short.

QWhat event does the article state is necessary to shift sentiment and encourage capital flows back into Dogecoin?

AA Bitcoin resurgence is stated as necessary to shift sentiment and encourage capital flows back into Dogecoin.

你可能也喜欢

STRC大脱锚后的首份财报,Strategy如何修复资本飞轮?

比特币财库公司Strategy于7月31日公布了2026年第二季度财报。报告显示,公司总营收1.22亿美元,但因比特币价格波动,录得82.2亿美元净亏损,其中未实现亏损达83.2亿美元。尽管账面亏损严重,Strategy仍坚持其比特币战略,截至季度末持有843,775枚BTC,平均持仓成本约7.5万美元,每股对应比特币数量也有所增加。 市场更关注的是,自其核心融资工具STRC(一种优先股)于5月脱锚(价格低于100美元面值)以来,Strategy的资本模式可持续性面临考验。为此,公司推出了“数字信用资本框架”,其资本管理策略从过去单一的“融资-买币”单向循环,转向更加主动和灵活的双向管理。这体现在:1)BTC可作为储备资产,也可通过“变现计划”出售以获取流动性,截至7月26日已出售约2.184亿美元BTC;2)利用现金储备、证券回购(如已回购2890万美元面值STRC)和债务优化(如折价回购债券降低长期债务)来管理负债和支撑STRC价格。 管理层在电话会上明确,当前首要任务是修复STRC至面值区间,并设定了9月8日左右为关键参考节点。在回锚前,公司将不会折价增发STRC,并计划维持其12%的年化派息率。同时,公司美元储备已增至37.5亿美元,用以增强市场信心。 未来,Strategy资本飞轮能否重启取决于两大考验:短期内STRC能否成功回锚,以恢复市场对其数字信用体系的信任;长期则仍需比特币价格重回上行通道,为其整体增长逻辑提供根本支撑。

Odaily星球日报9分钟前

STRC大脱锚后的首份财报,Strategy如何修复资本飞轮?

Odaily星球日报9分钟前

交易

现货
活动图片