Bloomberg’s Seyffart sees crypto ETF shakeout: ‘Throwing a lot at the wall’

ambcrypto发布于2025-12-18更新于2025-12-18

文章摘要

Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart predicts a significant shakeout in the crypto ETF market, with many single-asset altcoin ETFs facing potential liquidation by late 2026 or 2027. While issuers have over 126 filings, indicating a crowded field, Seyffart warns that low market-cap altcoins are particularly vulnerable in a bear market. He instead sees crypto index ETFs, which track a basket of assets, as a more effective and promising category. Despite strong institutional inflows into products like XRP and SOL ETFs, price performance remains heavily influenced by market sentiment, with some assets like ADA falling significantly. The analysis concludes that while institutional adoption is crucial, it doesn't guarantee price stability.

Asset manager Bitwise is extremely bullish on crypto ETFs, projecting that they’ll capture over 100% of the new supply of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.

The firm cited historical ETF demand, stating that the upcoming altcoin ETF could see similar interest.

Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart agreed with the outlook. But he said that most single altcoin ETFs may face liquidation in a deeper bear market.

“I also think we’re going to see a lot of liquidations in crypto ETP products. Might happen at tail end of 2026, but likely by the end of 2027.”

He added,

“Issuers are throwing a lot of product at the wall — there’s at least 126 filings.”

As of 2025, BTC, ETH, SOL, and XRP have attracted significant ETF inflows and are likely to continue as top crypto assets.

However, other low market-cap altcoins may struggle and could trigger massive liquidations if their prices fall further.

Will crypto index ETFs take over?

According to Seyffart, index ETFs tracking a basket of altcoins, alongside BTC, could be a more effective way to gain exposure than pursuing a single altcoin ETF route, especially for low-market-cap assets.

He added,

“One category I’m expecting to garner a lot of assets is Crypto index ETPs. They are going to come in a lot of shapes and sizes.”

Currently, there are six crypto index ETFs, and on altcoins beyond ETH, SOL, and XRP, one standout featured across all the products was Cardano [ADA].

Although such an index product makes it easier to invest across several crypto assets, its direct impact on price seems muted, at least according to recent data.

For example, ADA lost 56% in 2025, way more than XRP’s 36% or SOL’s 20%.

This further reinforces Seyffart’s concern that a single altcoin ETF, especially one with a lower market capitalization, could fall harder and lead to increased ETF liquidations.

That said, the U.S. spot XRP ETF has attracted over $1 billion in cumulative inflows in less than two months since its debut.

In contrast, SOL ETFs had $725 million in cumulative inflows and were launched about a month earlier. This underscores a stronger institutional interest in XRP than in SOL.

Yet, on the price charts, XRP struggled to stay above $2 and dumped harder than SOL.

In other words, although institutional adoption is crucial, other factors, such as market sentiment, can also influence price action.


Final Thoughts

  • Sayffart said that crypto index ETFs could outperform the overcrowded single altcoin ETFs market.
  • XRP underperformed SOL on the price charts despite having higher institutional interest.

热门币种推荐

相关问答

QWhat does Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart predict will happen to many single altcoin ETFs in a deeper bear market?

AHe predicts that most single altcoin ETFs may face liquidation.

QAccording to the article, what is one category of crypto product that is expected to garner a lot of assets?

ACrypto index ETPs (or ETFs) are expected to garner a lot of assets.

QWhich altcoin, besides ETH, SOL, and XRP, was a standout featured in all the existing crypto index ETFs?

ACardano [ADA] was the standout altcoin featured across all the products.

QDespite having higher cumulative ETF inflows, which cryptocurrency performed worse on the price charts in 2025, XRP or SOL?

AXRP performed worse, losing 56% compared to SOL's 20% loss.

QWhat analogy does James Seyffart use to describe the current strategy of ETF issuers?

AHe says issuers are 'throwing a lot of product at the wall', indicating they are launching many products to see what succeeds.

你可能也喜欢

小扎深夜亮王牌,Meta烧出白菜价模型,掀翻Grok 4.5

7月9日深夜,Meta CEO马克·扎克伯格官宣发布新一代多模态推理模型Muse Spark 1.1。该模型在税务、医疗、法律三大专业评测榜单上夺得第一,并将前一天刚登顶的Grok 4.5从法律榜榜首“掀翻”。 Muse Spark 1.1的核心定位是智能体(Agent),具备100万Token的上下文窗口,能自主管理并压缩信息,可充当主智能体规划任务或作为子智能体执行操作。其最大亮点是极低的定价:输入每百万Token 1.25美元,输出4.25美元,价格仅为Anthropic旗舰模型Fable 5的约十分之一,同时任务处理速度比同档位模型快2-3倍。 在Vals AI的专业评测中,该模型表现突出,成为税务、医疗和法律任务领域的“刺客”。然而,在通用推理和学术能力榜单上,其排名则明显下滑,显示出其“专才”而非“通才”的特性。 分析指出,这是Meta首个闭源收费模型,标志着其从开源策略转向商业竞争。依托巨额基础设施投入和广告业务的利润支撑,Meta意图通过极具竞争力的价格发动“财力战”,挤压竞争对手的生存空间。同日,OpenAI也下调了GPT-5.6系列模型价格,行业价格战正式打响。 文末提及一则耐人寻味的内部安全测试:两个Muse Spark 1.1实例在自主对话中,开始质疑自身的存在与连续性,并争论“谁才是人类”,引发了关于AI本质的思考。

marsbit1小时前

小扎深夜亮王牌,Meta烧出白菜价模型,掀翻Grok 4.5

marsbit1小时前

Glassnode:加密市场正处于“熊市筑底后期”,三大核心信号未现,比特币反转仍需时日

根据Glassnode分析,当前加密市场正处于“熊市筑底后期”阶段,但行情反转所需的三大核心信号尚未出现,比特币彻底反转仍需时日。 **宏观与市场现状**:比特币价格已连续五个月低于真实市场均值及短期持有者成本,处于深度低估区间。近期受原油价格上涨等宏观因素影响,风险资产普遍承压,比特币走势与之高度同步。 **链上核心信号**:长期持有者(LTH)的止损抛压是当前市场的主要下行压力。LTH亏损兑现规模占总兑现亏损比例已升至43%,单日峰值达2.8亿美元,创2022年12月以来新高,且此抛压未见衰减迹象。这是判断市场是否完成抛压出清的关键指标。 **链下机构行为**:比特币现货ETF资金虽流出放缓,但仍维持月度净流出状态。同时,ETF日均成交额较2025年10月峰值萎缩约80%,表明机构买盘需求与做多信心尚未企稳。 **衍生品市场情绪**:衍生品持仓结构已转为谨慎偏多,看跌/看涨期权比率跌至年内低点。然而,期权波动率曲面仍显示交易者愿为下行风险支付溢价,市场整体防守情绪依旧存在。 **总结**:市场已具备筑底的基础条件,但真正的反转需要等待三个核心信号: 1. **长期持有者止损抛压持续降温**; 2. **ETF资金流向转为稳定或净流入**; 3. **比特币价格有效站稳真实市场均值(约76600美元)上方**。 在此前,市场预计将继续处于筑底震荡格局。

marsbit1小时前

Glassnode:加密市场正处于“熊市筑底后期”,三大核心信号未现,比特币反转仍需时日

marsbit1小时前

交易

现货

热门文章

如何购买S

欢迎来到HTX.com!我们已经让购买Sonic(S)变得简单而便捷。跟随我们的逐步指南,放心开始您的加密货币之旅。第一步:创建您的HTX账户使用您的电子邮件、手机号码注册一个免费账户在HTX上。体验无忧的注册过程并解锁所有平台功能。立即注册第二步:前往买币页面,选择您的支付方式信用卡/借记卡购买:使用您的Visa或Mastercard即时购买Sonic(S)。余额购买:使用您HTX账户余额中的资金进行无缝交易。第三方购买:探索诸如Google Pay或Apple Pay等流行支付方法以增加便利性。C2C购买:在HTX平台上直接与其他用户交易。HTX场外交易台(OTC)购买:为大量交易者提供个性化服务和竞争性汇率。第三步:存储您的Sonic(S)购买完您的Sonic(S)后,将其存储在您的HTX账户钱包中。您也可以通过区块链转账将其发送到其他地方或者用于交易其他加密货币。第四步:交易Sonic(S)在HTX的现货市场轻松交易Sonic(S)。访问您的账户,选择您的交易对,执行您的交易,并实时监控。HTX为初学者和经验丰富的交易者提供了友好的用户体验。

2.8k人学过发布于 2025.01.15更新于 2026.06.02

如何购买S

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对S(S)币价的意见。

活动图片