Reddit's Stock, Included in S&P 500, Still Down 42% from its September Peak

cryptonews.ru发布于2026-08-14更新于2026-08-14

文章摘要

Reddit's stock surged more than 11% after S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed it will be added to the S&P 500 index before trading begins on August 18. JP Morgan estimates this inclusion will force index funds to buy approximately 16.7 million shares of the company. While stocks newly added to the S&P 500 historically outperform the index from announcement to inclusion, gains typically fade afterwards, lagging the benchmark by about 2% over the following three months. Reddit is replacing AvalonBay Communities, which is exiting the index due to a planned merger. Despite reporting a net profit of $253 million on $805 million in Q2 revenue—marking eight consecutive quarters of over 60% growth—Reddit's stock remains down more than 31% year-to-date and over 42% below its September 2025 peak. The social media platform raised its revenue outlook but noted unstable traffic from search engines has negatively impacted U.S. user growth. CEO Steven Huffman stated that AI-generated Google reviews have not yet replaced the traditional search links Reddit relies on. Reddit joins an S&P 500 index where AI-related stocks now make up roughly 45% of its market capitalization, increasing its vulnerability to swings in a few major tech firms.

Reddit's stock will be included in the S&P 500 index before trading begins on August 18. According to JP Morgan estimates, this change will force index funds to purchase 16.7 million shares of the company.

On Friday, the stock surged more than 11% after S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed this move.

S&P Index Lags Benchmark by 2% After Three Months

Since its launch in March 2024, Reddit (RDDT) stock has traded an average of 5.98 million shares per day. Passive funds need to buy 16.7 million shares, which is roughly equivalent to three full trading sessions of normal activity, squeezed into the rebalancing process.

The stock price was around $175.69, and over $201 million worth of trades had been executed by 9:32 AM ET on Friday. Later, according to intraday data, Reddit's stock rose 14.55% to reach $181.12.

Stephens analyst Melissa Roberts noted that new companies added to the S&P 500 have historically outperformed the index from the announcement date until their actual inclusion, with the biggest movement typically occurring the day after the news is announced.

The expert stated that once the shares are already purchased, the resulting gains tend to disappear, and over the following three months, growth volumes have lagged the benchmark by approximately 2%.

Reddit is taking the place of AvalonBay Communities (AVB). This apartment market operator is exiting the index following a merger with Equity Residential (EQR), which was agreed upon in May and involves a stock swap.

The value of this deal is estimated at approximately $69 billion, and it is expected to be completed in the second half of 2026.

S&P Dow Jones Indices stated that the combined company, which will be named Vivmarkdent, will retain AvalonBay's spot in the S&P 500 index after the deal's completion.

Reddit Reports $253 Million Profit, But This Year's Earnings Fall 31%

After a challenging year, Reddit's stock became one of the growth leaders. As of Thursday's close, its value had fallen more than 31% by 2026, declining over 42% from the all-time high reached in September 2025.

According to Cryptopolitan, the company reported a second-quarter net profit of $253 million on revenue of $805 million, which is 61% higher than a year ago and marks the eighth consecutive quarter of growth exceeding 60%.

The social media platform raised its revenue forecast, but volatile transitions from search engines negatively impacted user growth in the US at the end of the reporting period.

"Referral traffic transparency remains low," CEO Stephen Huffman told analysts, adding that AI-generated Google reviews have not yet replaced the traditional search links that Reddit relies on.

Reddit joins a list increasingly dominated by just a few large technology companies.

As Cryptopolitan previously reported, stocks of companies related to artificial intelligence currently account for approximately 45% of the S&P 500 index's market capitalization, making the index more vulnerable to price fluctuations of a few individual firms.

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相关问答

QWhat is the significance of Reddit being added to the S&P 500 index, and when will it happen?

AReddit's inclusion in the S&P 500 index is a significant milestone that signals its importance in the U.S. market. It will force index-tracking funds to buy approximately 16.7 million of its shares. The change is scheduled to take effect before trading begins on August 18th.

QHow did Reddit's stock price react to the S&P 500 inclusion news?

AReddit's stock price surged more than 11% on the Friday after S&P Dow Jones Indices confirmed the news. During intraday trading, it was up as much as 14.55%, reaching $181.12.

QWhat does historical data suggest about the stock performance of companies newly added to the S&P 500, according to analyst Melissa Roberts?

AAccording to analyst Melissa Roberts from Stephens, newly added S&P 500 companies have historically outperformed the index from the announcement date to their effective inclusion date, with the biggest move often occurring the day after the announcement. However, this outperformance tends to disappear after inclusion, with these stocks underperforming the benchmark by about 2% over the subsequent three months.

QDespite strong revenue growth, what challenges did Reddit's CEO mention regarding user growth in the U.S.?

AReddit's CEO, Steven Huffman, mentioned that volatile referral traffic from search engines negatively impacted U.S. user growth. He stated that transparency on referral traffic remains low and that AI-generated Google reviews have not yet replaced the traditional search links that Reddit relies on.

QWhat was Reddit's financial performance in Q2, and how does its current stock price compare to its peak?

AIn Q2, Reddit reported a net profit of $253 million on revenue of $805 million, which was 61% higher than the previous year. Despite this strong growth, as of the article, its stock price is still more than 42% below its all-time high reached in September 2025 and is down over 31% for the year 2026.

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