Reading Cardano’s latest signs – Will altcoin breach $1-level in September?

ambcrypto发布于2025-08-25更新于2025-08-26

Key Takeaways

Cardano’s price action in recent months has been bullish, but this suggested there may be a risk of profit-taking activity that could stall the uptrend. The mean coin age showed that network-wide accumulation was getting started.


Cardano [ADA] is gearing up to challenge the $1 psychological resistance once again. This, on the back of Bitcoin’s [BTC] price pullback from the weekend continuing on Monday, 25 August.

In fact, over the past three days alone, Bitcoin has dropped by 4.6% from $117k to $111.5k.

Cardano 1-day ChartCardano 1-day Chart

Source: ADA/USDT on TradingView

During the same period, Cardano shed 6.67% of its value and fell from $0.93 to $0.86. However, the price action on the 1-day price chart looked bullish. The trading volume has been relatively high in August too.

On 14 August, ADA tested $1 as resistance, but was unable to climb higher. It was likely to make another attempt. If successful, the $1.2-level would be the next target, based on the Fibonacci extension levels.

Do on-chain metrics agree with the bullish Cardano price trajectory?

Cardano Dev ActivityCardano Dev Activity

Source: Santiment

The development activity, a metric that Cardano generally dominates, has been falling throughout 2025. At the time of writing, it was still a respectable figure of 80.86. For comparison, the development activity score for Ethereum [ETH] was 25.05 at press time.

Even so, the falling activity could be a concern for long-term investors. An even greater concern appeared to be the steady drop-off in transaction volume. There have been two step-downs in transaction activity over the past year.

The first was in November 2024, and the second in April. The volume on-chain in recent months was down 90% compared to levels from early November. On the contrary, the daily active addresses have been steady throughout 2025.

Cardano MVRV RatioCardano MVRV Ratio

Source: Santiment

Cardano’s bullish structure and its challenge of the $1-resistance mean that a large number of holders may be in profit. The 180-day MVRV reflected this. Its high value also underlined the threat of profit-taking from holders.

This threat has not yet materialized though. The dormant circulation has remained relatively low in August. Another encouraging factor might be the slow uptick in the mean coin age (MCA).

The MCA tracks the average age of all tokens on the network. A falling trend implies coins are being distributed, something Cardano has witnessed since May. Over the past two weeks, the mean coin age has slowly begun to trend higher – A sign of accumulation.

Share

热门币种推荐

你可能也喜欢

这么拥挤的跨境支付赛道,下一站未来在哪里?

跨境支付赛道竞争激烈,表面热闹但利润空间因价格战和资本补贴被严重挤压。行业未来破局点在于深度融合本地法币能力与稳定币技术,并构建资金网络效应。 首先,稳定币的效率提升依赖于法币出入口的合规与顺畅,而全球法币监管正趋于碎片化和收紧。因此,**深刻理解并打通各国本地“最后一公里”的支付、合规与银行关系是基础**。许多中国支付服务商的“出海”更多是服务中国商户出海,而非真正打入海外本地主流生态,需要突破这一路径依赖。 其次,单一支付通道业务终将陷入内卷,未来竞争力在于升级为**跨境资金网络运营商**。通过内部撮合多国、多币种资金流,实现头寸复用和净额结算,从而提升整体资金效率,而不仅仅是赚取手续费差价。从业者应关注未被充分开发但贸易与资金流动频繁的特定区域走廊,构建区域清算枢纽。 最后,Web3支付(如稳定币)并非要颠覆传统金融,更现实的路径是与传统金融体系融合。下一代支付公司的核心将是构建 **“本地法币+稳定币”的两栖清算底座**,兼具本地化的厚重合规能力与链上清结算的轻快效率。真正的难点和壁垒在于获取深层的本地流动性,这需要长期投入、本地化经营并嵌入当地商业网络。 未来的赢家不是靠更低价格,而是靠更深的本地化、更强的网络效应和更成熟的稳定币原生能力。机会蕴藏在复杂、非标准的深水区市场,需要真正沉入当地,构建难以复制的底层基础设施。

链捕手28分钟前

这么拥挤的跨境支付赛道,下一站未来在哪里?

链捕手28分钟前

AI牛市的悬头之剑:不只是韩国,美股杠杆同样触目惊心

全球股市在AI热潮推动下不断创出新高,但支撑这轮涨势的杠杆融资已达到危险水平,正成为市场潜在的重大风险。 数据显示,美国融资融券余额在5月同比增长54%,达到1.4万亿美元的历史峰值。与此同时,杠杆ETF总资产规模在短短两个多月内接近翻倍,突破2200亿美元。投资者大量涌入追踪科技股、半导体指数及英伟达等单股的杠杆产品。 这种高杠杆具有顺周期放大效应。巴克莱警告,杠杆基金已积累约3000亿美元衍生品头寸,一旦市场转向需要集中平仓,冲击力将非常巨大。杠杆ETF的资金流动还会反过来影响所追踪股票的走势,形成“尾巴摇动狗”的负向螺旋。 韩国市场近期剧烈震荡已敲响警钟。KOSPI指数因高度集中于芯片股且叠加极端杠杆,出现单日暴跌10%触发熔断、随后又急速反弹的极端行情。韩国监管机构对散户大量参与高风险杠杆产品表示担忧。 此外,股票融资成本正在飙升。摩根士丹利指出,融资变得昂贵且稀缺,边际买家正在消失。市场上涨过于依赖少数板块的杠杆资金,结构脆弱。一旦市场回调触发去杠杆,卖压将被成倍放大,可能导致远超预期的跌幅。 分析师警告,此前通过杠杆放大上涨动量的力量,在市场转向时可能开始反向切割,形成非线性冲击。当前金融条件实际上已在收紧,但被股市上涨的表象所掩盖,投资者需警惕潜在的去杠杆风险。

marsbit1小时前

AI牛市的悬头之剑:不只是韩国,美股杠杆同样触目惊心

marsbit1小时前

交易

现货

热门文章

如何购买S

欢迎来到HTX.com!我们已经让购买Sonic(S)变得简单而便捷。跟随我们的逐步指南,放心开始您的加密货币之旅。第一步:创建您的HTX账户使用您的电子邮件、手机号码注册一个免费账户在HTX上。体验无忧的注册过程并解锁所有平台功能。立即注册第二步:前往买币页面,选择您的支付方式信用卡/借记卡购买:使用您的Visa或Mastercard即时购买Sonic(S)。余额购买:使用您HTX账户余额中的资金进行无缝交易。第三方购买:探索诸如Google Pay或Apple Pay等流行支付方法以增加便利性。C2C购买:在HTX平台上直接与其他用户交易。HTX场外交易台(OTC)购买:为大量交易者提供个性化服务和竞争性汇率。第三步:存储您的Sonic(S)购买完您的Sonic(S)后,将其存储在您的HTX账户钱包中。您也可以通过区块链转账将其发送到其他地方或者用于交易其他加密货币。第四步:交易Sonic(S)在HTX的现货市场轻松交易Sonic(S)。访问您的账户,选择您的交易对,执行您的交易,并实时监控。HTX为初学者和经验丰富的交易者提供了友好的用户体验。

2.7k人学过发布于 2025.01.15更新于 2026.06.02

如何购买S

相关讨论

欢迎来到HTX社区。在这里,您可以了解最新的平台发展动态并获得专业的市场意见。以下是用户对S(S)币价的意见。

活动图片