Bitcoin remains undervalued, but profit-taking has begun: THIS metric says why

Ambcrypto发布于2025-05-13更新于2025-05-13

文章摘要

Bitcoin could be on verge of a short-term correction as on-chain metrics indicates a profit taking phase before a long-term rally.

  • BTC’s STH-SOPR ratio data signaled gradual profit-taking phase.
  • MVRV-Z Score highlighted that BTC was undervalued, hinting at a longer-term rally.
  • Bitcoin [BTC]has been rallying strong, moving past the $85K–$70K accumulation range to reclaim the $100K key milestone once again.

According to AMBCrypto’s earlier analysis backed by CryptoQuant data, this was a solid zone to start accumulating.

But as the market matures, it is time to now think differently. The profit taking phase may be looming as investors bank on gradual and smart positions distribution.

Short term holders data hints at a potential profit taking phase

The Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (STH-SOPR) is a key on-chain tool for tracking profit-taking activity among short-term Bitcoin holders.

Historically, when STH-SOPR enters the red zone, it signals increased selling near local market tops.

This doesn’t mean Bitcoin’s rally is over, but it does highlight a high-probability zone for gradual profit-taking.

Past market cycles show that red SOPR readings often align with euphoric phases.

For BTC investors holding spot positions, now is the time to plan a structured, step-by-step selling strategy—avoiding emotional exits in favor of a strategic approach.

In most cases smart investors usually offload 10–20% at key price milestones. This gives the “ammo” to sell at higher levels if the rally continues while also locking in gains along the way.

As the big players make these strategic profit locking moves, a short price correction to test the $100k demand zone could be engineered before a further BTC rally.

BTC’s MVRV Z-score confirms a room for further rally

Many analysts advocate for a gradual position exit, which could soon impact Bitcoin’s price action. To support this, AMBCrypto paired STH-SOPR with another key on-chain metric: the MVRV-Z Score.

This metric compares market value to realized value, helping identify potential overvaluation. At press time, the MVRV-Z Score was at just 2.3—far below the “overvalued” danger zone of 7+.

This strengthens the case for a measured distribution of BTC.

The market may continue higher, but the current SOPR red zone offers BTC investors a rational point to begin securing profits.

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