[Weekly Readings] Shanghai Upgrade Finished, Ethereum Price Surge

HTX News发布于2023-04-15更新于2023-04-15

文章摘要

Review the hot articles in the past week and help you quickly understand the crypto market.

Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade

Ethereum Shanghai unlocks a minimal market impact – 84k ETH withdrawn

The chart below shows approximately 10,000 tokens are processed every hour. Interestingly, most withdrawals are attributed to “reward” rather than “principal” — indicating that the majority of individuals have chosen partial withdrawals to capitalize on staking profits but still plan to continue as validators.

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Market Interpretation of Last Week

Big Week Ahead For Bitcoin And Crypto: This Will Be Crucial

The Bitcoin and crypto markets have seen a strong weekly close. Bitcoin's price moved straight up into the current key...

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Bitcoin MVRV Suggests Rally May Have More Room To Grow

The current trend in the Bitcoin MVRV ratio suggests the ongoing rally in the cryptocurrency's price may have room to...

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Dollar, Stocks Slide Bitcoin Shines $30K Amid Recession Fears

Wall Street and Europe Stocks rallied after data suggested a cooler than expected inflation in March. BTC Price stood above $30K.

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Bitcoin Network Shows High Potential for BTC Price Surge: Analyst

Crypto analyst and trader Ali Martinez has taken to Twitter to share some positive news about the Bitcoin network as it continues to expand.

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Soars to 10-Month Highs – Where is the Resistance Toward $40K?

The price of Bitcoin surged by an impressive 7% this week, allowing the cryptocurrency to break the previous channel it...

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Bitcoin Price Rallies Past 30K, A Strengthening Case for Upside

Bitcoin price rallied above the $28,800 resistance. BTC is up over 6% and it could rise further above the $30,500 resistance zone.

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AI

Utopia Messenger Launches New ChatGPT Assistant Feature for Enhanced User Experience

Utopia, the decentralized and secure communication platform, has announced the launch of a new feature designed to make life easier for its users. The ChatGPT Assistant is a 24/7 chatbot assistant that is absolutely free to use and available right after Utopia Messenger is installed.

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历史唯一:持有 4 年,胜率 100% 的资产

本文探讨了一个独特的资产表现现象:在主流高风险可交易资产中,只有比特币(Bitcoin)实现了“任意时点买入并持有满4年,历史名义收益率为100%”的记录。 文章首先对比了其他各类资产: * **标普500指数**:在1929-1932年、1999-2002年等周期出现过4年累计亏损。 * **纳斯达克100指数**:互联网泡沫破裂后,2000-2003年周期亏损约60%。 * **黄金**:在1981-1984年等周期出现显著下跌,甚至经历过长达12年的熊市。 * **美国房地产**:整体市场在2007-2010年周期下跌约23.3%。 * **长期国债与公司债**:受利率波动影响,例如2021-2024年长期国债亏损约19.8%。 能够实现4年名义胜率100%的资产集中在两个极端: 1. **极低风险、合同兑付类资产**:如持有到期的美国短期国债、4年期定期存款(CD)或到期日在4年内的国债。其收益由合同和主权信用保障锁定,但可能无法抵御通胀导致的购买力损失。 2. **比特币**:作为一种没有发行人、不产生现金流、无人承诺兑付的高波动性资产,其100%的胜率完全源于历史市场价格在每次深跌后(如跌幅70%-90%),都能在4年内收复失地并创新高。数据显示,在其统计的4419个滚动4年窗口中,最差收益仍为+32.6%(年化约7.3%)。 **核心结论**:比特币与低风险固收资产的“100%胜率”内涵截然不同。前者体现了其极强的价格恢复能力和长期增长特性,而后者源于信用担保。这一历史记录突显了对比特币而言,长期持有远比频繁交易更为重要。

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历史唯一:持有 4 年,胜率 100% 的资产

marsbit11分钟前

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