# Сопутствующие статьи по теме War

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "War", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

A Longer Iran War Could Send Bitcoin Higher, Arthur Hayes Says

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, argues that a prolonged US military conflict with Iran could become a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin. He suggests that such a war would likely pressure the Federal Reserve to implement monetary easing—cutting interest rates and increasing liquidity—to support the economy and stabilize markets amid heightened uncertainty. Hayes cites historical precedents, including the Fed's responses to the Gulf War and the 9/11 attacks, where geopolitical shocks led to easier monetary policy. He advises waiting for clear policy signals, like a Fed rate cut, before aggressively buying Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $66,218.

bitcoinist03/02 12:01

A Longer Iran War Could Send Bitcoin Higher, Arthur Hayes Says

bitcoinist03/02 12:01

$1.8B in 60 minutes: How war headlines triggered historic leverage purge

On February 28th, news of a U.S.-Israeli military strike on Tehran triggered an immediate and severe reaction in the crypto markets. Within one hour, traders sold off a staggering $1.8 billion in assets, causing a historic leverage purge. This rapid liquidation cascade forced out over-leveraged positions, collapsing bullish sentiment as the Bitcoin Derivatives Pressure Index plummeted. Despite the initial panic, the market demonstrated resilience. The total crypto market cap has since rebounded to $2.32 trillion, with Bitcoin climbing back above $67,000. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, while still signaling "Extreme Fear," improved from its recent lows. The community highlighted Bitcoin's role as a hedge against geopolitical instability, with some analysts pointing to a potential upcoming altcoin season. Historically, war-related dips in Bitcoin have been short-lived. This event was unique because the market entered the crisis already oversold and had been deleveraging for months, meaning most weak hands had already been shaken out. Consequently, the shock did not break the market but may have instead helped establish a bottom. As global tensions persist, the market shows signs that the worst of the selling pressure may be over.

ambcrypto03/01 15:03

$1.8B in 60 minutes: How war headlines triggered historic leverage purge

ambcrypto03/01 15:03

Full Recap: US-Israel Joint Airstrike on Iran, Retaliatory Actions Impact the Entire Middle East, Prediction Markets Surge Again

On February 28, 2026, the US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military strike, named "Operation Roaring Lion" and "Operation Epic Fury," targeting Iran's nuclear facilities, missile systems, and leadership, with the stated aim of overthrowing the regime. The attack hit multiple locations, including Tehran and Isfahan, reportedly killing at least 200 people. Iranian state media confirmed Supreme Leader Khamenei was killed, though Israeli and Iranian sources gave conflicting reports. Iran retaliated immediately with missile and drone strikes against Israel and US bases in seven Arab nations, including Bahrain and the UAE. It also announced a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Dubai's Palm Jumeirah was hit by missile debris, causing a fire at the Fairmont Hotel, and the Burj Khalifa was evacuated. Multiple Middle Eastern countries closed their airspace. The conflict follows months of escalating tensions, including massive anti-government demonstrations in Iran since late 2025 and a breakdown in nuclear negotiations. Prediction markets on Polymarket reacted sharply, with the probability of Khamenei leaving power by March 31 surging to 95%.

Odaily星球日报03/01 14:31

Full Recap: US-Israel Joint Airstrike on Iran, Retaliatory Actions Impact the Entire Middle East, Prediction Markets Surge Again

Odaily星球日报03/01 14:31

My 24 Hours Under Bombardment in Dubai

Author Brother Bing recounts 24 hours in Dubai during missile attacks following US-Israel joint declaration of war against Iran. Initially dismissing the conflict due to Dubai's reputation as a safe haven, the author continues daily routines until hearing blasts in the afternoon. Despite explosions nearby, public life remains normal with cafes full and people outdoors. At midnight, intense bombardments prompt evacuation to the garage with neighbors. Rumors spread about leaders' deaths and airport destruction, though authorities later advise returning home. Attacks continue the next morning with reports of Burj Al Arab being hit but minimal casualties. The author analyzes impacts: Dubai's "safe hub" narrative is shattered, potentially affecting tourism, property speculation, and foreign migration. While ground invasion remains unlikely, the psychological blow to stability could divert capital and expatriates to alternatives like Singapore. The author concludes by noting the UAE's efficiency and wealth may mitigate long-term damage, while humorously requesting a bomb shelter for future incidents.

marsbit03/01 14:03

marsbit03/01 14:03

5 Bottles of Water Equal a Day's Wage, No Creases Allowed on US Dollars: What's Causing Myanmar's Financial Anomalies?

The article "War-Torn Myanmar: The Dignity of the Dollar, Trapped Youth, and the Underground Financial Market" details the severe economic and social conditions in Myanmar based on a two-week field study in 2026. Key observations include a massive black market exchange rate disparity (official 1:300 vs. black market 1:550 for USD to Myanmar Kyat), extreme wage gaps (e.g., servers earning as little as ¥300 monthly vs. ¥8000 in Shanghai), and rampant inflation where prices have surged 5x in a decade while wages only doubled. Basic goods like water are unaffordable for many; five bottles cost a day's wage. The financial system is fragile, with USD notes requiring perfect condition for acceptance, while the local currency is treated with far less care. Child labor is widespread, with children as young as nine working long hours for meager pay. Young adults are effectively trapped, as the government restricts passport issuance for those aged 18-60, making legal emigration nearly impossible. Illegal routes, such as human trafficking or dangerous border crossings, are often the only alternatives. The report concludes that ordinary citizens, burdened by survival and the constant threat of conscription, have no capacity to pursue happiness, encapsulating a life of relentless hardship.

比推02/26 15:16

5 Bottles of Water Equal a Day's Wage, No Creases Allowed on US Dollars: What's Causing Myanmar's Financial Anomalies?

比推02/26 15:16

Analysis Report on Prediction Markets for the Russia-Ukraine War

As global tensions rise due to events like the Russia-Ukraine war, the Gaza conflict, and other geopolitical risks, the demand for open-source intelligence (OSINT) has grown significantly. This report analyzes the predictive market, particularly Polymarket, as a form of OSINT that leverages public data to forecast outcomes. Initially serving blockchain users, Polymarket gained mainstream attention during the 2024 U.S. presidential election by accurately predicting Trump’s victory with 65% probability a week before results were official, reaching 90% on election night—outperforming traditional polls and media. With $3.686 billion in trading volume, the event shifted perceptions of predictive markets from mere gambling to a credible data source. The core value lies not in betting itself, but in the informational edge it provides, allowing insiders to signal outcomes—from entertainment awards to geopolitical events—through market activity. This transforms traditional information flow, enabling early insight into everything from business decisions to military movements, making market prices a powerful real-time signal.

marsbit02/14 04:19

Analysis Report on Prediction Markets for the Russia-Ukraine War

marsbit02/14 04:19

The Pentagon's Pizza, Polymarket's Money

Summary: During the Cold War, Soviet agents monitored late-night pizza deliveries to the Pentagon as an indicator of imminent military action, a pattern later dubbed the "Pentagon Pizza Index." In 2024, a Twitter account @PenPizzaReport automated this surveillance using Google Maps data to track foot traffic at pizzerias near the Pentagon, accurately predicting events like Israel's airstrike on Iran and the U.S. raid in Venezuela. Concurrently, on the prediction market Polymarket, three newly created wallets placed large, well-timed bets on Venezuelan leader Maduro's ousting, netting $630,000 just hours before the operation. This highlights a shift in how information is accessed and monetized: once a secret intelligence tool, predictive signals are now public, blurring lines between open data, insider knowledge, and speculative profit.

marsbit01/04 06:43

The Pentagon's Pizza, Polymarket's Money

marsbit01/04 06:43

The Rise and Fall of Binance's Hegemony: The Stablecoin War from BUSD's 'Unification' to $U's 'Dominance'

"Binance's Stablecoin Wars: From BUSD's 'Unification' to $U's 'Domination'" This article chronicles Binance's evolving strategy in the stablecoin arena, tracing its journey from aggressive dominance to a more sophisticated, aggregator model. The story begins with the ambitious launch of BUSD, a Paxos-issued stablecoin born from a partnership between Binance's CZ and Paxos's Richmond Teo. Binance's most aggressive move came in 2022 with a "liquidity unification" blitz, automatically converting user balances of USDC, USDP, and TUSD into BUSD and removing their trading pairs. This tactic briefly propelled BUSD to a $23 billion market cap. However, its downfall was swift. A critical structural flaw was its "Binance-Peg BUSD," an unregulated, shadow version on the BNB Chain that sometimes lacked sufficient collateral. This led to a regulatory "Valentine's Day massacre" in February 2023, when the NYDFS ordered Paxos to stop minting BUSD, effectively killing the project. In the subsequent vacuum, Binance first promoted the Hong Kong-based FDUSD as a transitional solution and created BFUSD, an internal, yield-bearing "reward asset" for use as futures collateral. The narrative then shifts to Binance's latest and most surprising play: United Stables ($U). This new "meta-stablecoin" represents a strategic evolution. Instead of trying to eliminate rivals like USDT and USDC, $U aggregates them, backing itself with a basket of these major stablecoins. Notably, it also includes USD1, a stablecoin from the Trump-linked World Liberty Financial project, led by none other than Richmond Teo. A key innovation of $U is its design for the "AI economy," featuring gasless transactions (EIP-3009) to facilitate machine-to-machine micropayments. The article concludes that Binance's strategy has evolved from the "霸道" (hegemonic) force of BUSD to the "大同" (greater unification) approach of $U, which seeks to absorb existing liquidity rather than destroy it, while positioning itself for the future frontier of AI-driven finance.

marsbit12/19 12:13

The Rise and Fall of Binance's Hegemony: The Stablecoin War from BUSD's 'Unification' to $U's 'Dominance'