# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Volatility

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Volatility", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Matrixport Research: After Months of Caution, Bitcoin Enters a Phase of Structural Gameplay

Since mid-October, Bitcoin has been in a corrective phase with subdued market sentiment, though recent structural shifts suggest a transition from a one-sided downtrend to a more complex, range-bound consolidation. Key indicators from derivatives positioning, ETF flows, and technical analysis point to a market entering a new phase of structural博弈. Bitcoin has been trading within a $70,000–$100,000 range amid low implied volatility and reduced risk appetite. Factors such as tax-loss selling and cautious institutional behavior have contributed to the sideways movement, with limited upward catalysts and restrained risk asset momentum. A significant structural inflection point is approaching with the expiration of a record $17.2 billion in Bitcoin options on December 26, 2025. The concentration of put options near $85,000 may make that level a focal point for price action. Post-expiration, market dynamics may shift as risk budgets reset and potential ETF inflows return in January, offering room for sentiment improvement. While 2026 may remain challenging for long-only strategies, tactical opportunities are emerging as Bitcoin’s a period of underperformance relative to other assets. The options expiration event may serve as a catalyst for renewed positioning ahead of expected January inflows, marking a critical window for observing structural change and potential sentiment reversal.

marsbit12/26 09:37

Matrixport Research: After Months of Caution, Bitcoin Enters a Phase of Structural Gameplay

marsbit12/26 09:37

Bitcoin’s $85K price battle – Why BTC’s holiday setup looks familiar

Bitcoin is currently testing the $85K price level amid holiday season volatility, with a recent sharp 73% drop on Binance BTC/USD pair sparking manipulation debates. Despite this, the market shows resilience with a 2.2% intraday gain and a "fear" zone sentiment that historically indicates accumulation. Strong technical setup and reduced FUD suggest the dip may have reset Bitcoin for a potential rally, with $85K acting as a key support level. The overall outlook remains bullish for a holiday season surge.

ambcrypto12/26 09:02

Bitcoin’s $85K price battle – Why BTC’s holiday setup looks familiar

ambcrypto12/26 09:02

Analyst predicts XRP’s price could hit $5 by 2026 – Details

XRP's price is under pressure, ending December with a 15% monthly decline and trading near $1.86. Despite weak retail sentiment and potential short-term dips to $1.60-$1.70 due to derivatives pressure, analyst Zach Rector suggests a historic $7.1 trillion options expiry could trigger major volatility and break the bearish trend. Institutional interest is growing significantly, with XRP ETFs seeing record-breaking volumes and $1.14 billion in inflows since November, absorbing retail sell pressure. Ripple's CTO emphasizes XRP's utility and deep liquidity. High negative social media chatter historically precedes price rebounds. The growing adoption and institutional accumulation contrast with the current price, indicating potential for a significant rise, with one analyst predicting a target of $5 by 2026.

ambcrypto12/26 05:02

Analyst predicts XRP’s price could hit $5 by 2026 – Details

ambcrypto12/26 05:02

IOSG Founder: 2025 is a Dark Year for the Crypto Market, So What About 2026?

In a detailed analysis, IOSG Ventures' co-founder argues that 2025, while appearing to be a dark year for crypto with BTC down -5.4% and ETH -12%, actually marks a fundamental structural shift from retail-driven speculation to institutional adoption. Despite negative price action, institutional inflows were massive: BTC ETFs saw $25 billion in net inflows, pushing AUM to $114-120 billion, with institutions now holding 24% of BTC. Data shows long-term holders sold 1.4 million BTC over the year, which was fully absorbed by corporate treasuries and macro investors, not retail. This indicates a new cycle where stable institutional capital is replacing volatile retail speculation. Key drivers include the approval of spot BTC ETFs in 2024, aggressive accumulation by firms like BlackRock (now holding more BTC than MicroStrategy), and a favorable U.S. policy environment under the Trump administration, including pro-crypto executive orders and pending legislation. Looking ahead to 2026, the author expects continued institutional accumulation and policy momentum in H1, potentially driving BTC toward $120K-$150K, though H2 may bring increased volatility due to mid-term elections. The core conclusion is that 2025 was not a market top but the start of a new institutional cycle, with stronger fundamentals and broader adoption ahead.

深潮12/26 03:48

IOSG Founder: 2025 is a Dark Year for the Crypto Market, So What About 2026?

深潮12/26 03:48

Intraday Quantitative Sentiment Fluctuation Analysis Report — December 26, 2025

BTC Market Sentiment Analysis Report — 2025.12.26 Over the past 24 hours, BTC market sentiment exhibited a V-shaped pattern, starting stable, then declining, before rebounding. Overall sentiment was negative, with the CED (Crypto Emotion Index) dropping from an initial 12.27 to a low of -15.14, with a slight recovery to -13.05 by the end of the session. Key情绪时段 (Emotional Phases): - Morning (09:45–12:00): High volatility in sentiment (CED 12.27 → 7.12) with narrow price fluctuations. - Afternoon to Evening (12:00–20:00): Sustained weakening of sentiment (CED 7.12 → -5.64), accompanied by a gradual price decline. - Night (20:00–04:00): Intense sentiment swings (CED -5.64 ↔ 4.28) alongside significant price oscillations. - Early Morning to Open (04:00–09:45): Sentiment plunged deeply (CED 1.86 → -13.05), resulting in a breakdown in price. Extreme Sentiment and Price Correlation: - Periods of extreme negative sentiment (CED < -10) showed a significantly higher probability of price declines, with an average drop of 0.12%. - Neutral sentiment ranges (|CED| ≤ 10) showed minimal directional bias, with a slight average increase of 0.03%. - Extreme sentiment phases often signal potential price reversals, particularly rebounds following intense negative sentiment. Summary and Conclusions: - Market sentiment remains deeply negative (CED = -13.05), reflecting severe lack of investor confidence. - Emotional momentum has noticeably weakened, suggesting a possible consolidation or bottoming phase in the short term. - A short-term support level has formed between 87,000–87,400; monitoring sentiment recovery is crucial. - Prolonged extreme negative sentiment increases the risk of further downward movement.

marsbit12/26 02:26

Intraday Quantitative Sentiment Fluctuation Analysis Report — December 26, 2025

marsbit12/26 02:26

Monad up 19% a day – But is MON’s current rise sustainable?

Monad (MON) surged 19% in 24 hours, driven by a slight recovery in network activity and increased liquidity. Key factors include a rise in daily active users (averaging 76,000) and new users (around 24,000), alongside the integration of the USD1 stablecoin and the introduction of staking on exchanges, which reduced circulating supply. Technically, MON broke out of a wedge consolidation pattern, with RSI and Bollinger Bands indicating bullish momentum. Sustaining above $0.02169 could push the price toward $0.02667, though a retracement is possible. The project has seen significant capital inflow, ranking as the third-most sold new token in 2025 with over $217 million in sales. Continued growth depends on maintaining user engagement and market sentiment.

ambcrypto12/26 02:02

Monad up 19% a day – But is MON’s current rise sustainable?

ambcrypto12/26 02:02

Here’s how Bitcoin’s price could finally breach the $90k ceiling

Recent analysis indicates Bitcoin faced its highest sell pressure in three years, driven by aggressive taker sell activity and persistently negative ETF flows, reflecting weak market sentiment. Bitcoin's price is expected to drop toward $82k before potentially bouncing to $95k, influenced by recent Options expiry. On-chain metrics show BTC is trading near its fair value after a period of overvaluation. Short-term holder pressure has reached a rare equilibrium, signaling balanced buying and selling. Key liquidity zones are identified at $83.5k and $94.7k, with a bearish structure suggesting a possible dip to $84k. The market is likely to remain sideways with volatility, and a bounce to $94k-$97.2k may present a selling opportunity.

ambcrypto12/26 01:05

Here’s how Bitcoin’s price could finally breach the $90k ceiling

ambcrypto12/26 01:05

Crypto Liquidations Topped $150 Billion In 2025, CoinGlass Report Shows

A CoinGlass report on the 2025 crypto derivatives market reveals that total liquidations exceeded $150 billion for the year, averaging $400-500 million daily. The most significant event occurred on October 10th, when Bitcoin’s sharp drop from its all-time high above $126,000 triggered a historic liquidation squeeze. While initially reported at $19 billion, the actual scale likely reached $30-40 billion, with long positions comprising 85-90% of the losses. That day also saw derivatives trading volume surge to $748.3 billion, nearly triple the yearly average of $264.5 billion. Total derivatives volume for 2025 reached $85.70 trillion, reflecting the market’s heavy use of leverage. Bitcoin was trading around $88,200 at the time of reporting.

bitcoinist12/25 23:02

Crypto Liquidations Topped $150 Billion In 2025, CoinGlass Report Shows

bitcoinist12/25 23:02

Why Bitcoin shorts look confident now, even as $90K looms

Despite Bitcoin's potential to reach $90K, short sellers are exhibiting strong confidence due to a significant 23% price drop in Q4 and waning institutional demand. U.S. Spot ETFs have seen consecutive daily net outflows since mid-December, while Open Interest on the CME has fallen below $10 billion for the first time since September 2024, signaling a risk-off shift. The decline is partly attributed to the breakdown of the basis trade, whose yield has dropped from 10% to around 5%, making it less attractive. Analysts project a potential drop below $80K in early 2026 if weak sentiment persists. However, a surge to $90,600 could liquidate $3 billion in leveraged shorts. Options trading indicates a range-bound market with key levels at $85K for a dip and $88K-$90K for a rally.

ambcrypto12/25 22:02

Why Bitcoin shorts look confident now, even as $90K looms

ambcrypto12/25 22:02

Here’s How The Largest XRP Treasury Company Has Fared In 2025

Evernorth's large-scale XRP treasury experiment in 2025 has resulted in significant paper losses, testing institutional crypto strategies. The company accumulated 388.7 million XRP, reaching a peak value of $947 million with a $71 million gain. However, as XRP's price fell from $2.60 to around $1.80, the position dropped below its cost basis, resulting in an unrealized loss of approximately $220–225 million by late December. Despite the drawdown, Evernorth has not sold any assets. The case highlights concentration risks in single-asset crypto treasuries and the divergence between direct holdings and institutional ETF inflows, which continued despite the price decline. The outcome underscores the importance of endurance in long-term crypto investment strategies.

bitcoinist12/25 21:35

Here’s How The Largest XRP Treasury Company Has Fared In 2025