# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Scarcity

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Scarcity", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Bitcoin's Post-Halving Supply Change Is Permanently Locked by Mathematical Rules

The fourth Bitcoin halving occurred on April 20, 2024, at block height 840,000, reducing the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This event, programmed into Bitcoin’s protocol and triggered automatically every 210,000 blocks, reinforces its deterministic and transparent monetary policy. Post-halving, daily Bitcoin issuance dropped by approximately 50%, from about 900 BTC to 450 BTC, with annualized issuance falling to around 164,250 BTC. This reduced Bitcoin’s annual supply inflation rate to roughly 0.83%, lower than gold's estimated 1–2% growth and contrasting sharply with central bank-controlled fiat systems. By the end of 2024, approximately 19.7 million BTC were in circulation, leaving fewer than 1.3 million left to be mined. Over 93.8% of the total supply has already been issued. The halving also shifted miner economics, significantly increasing the proportion of transaction fees in their total revenue. This aligns with Bitcoin’s long-term design, where security gradually transitions from block subsidies to fee-based incentives. Unlike traditional monetary systems, Bitcoin’s supply schedule is fixed, irreversible, and independent of market conditions. The next halving, expected around 2028, will further reduce the block reward to 1.5625 BTC. With the latest halving complete, Bitcoin’s low issuance rate is no longer a short-term event but a permanent baseline feature—verifiable, predictable, and enforced by code and consensus.

marsbit12/28 14:49

Bitcoin's Post-Halving Supply Change Is Permanently Locked by Mathematical Rules

marsbit12/28 14:49

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: Is Market Supply Running Low?

In a significant market move, investment firm Strategy purchased over 10,000 BTC (worth approximately $900 million) in a single week, reinforcing its position as one of the world’s largest Bitcoin holders with a total of 671,000 BTC valued at over $50 billion. This aggressive accumulation has raised questions about Bitcoin’s actual available supply. Although 19.96 million BTC (95% of the total 21 million cap) have been mined, the truly liquid supply is far smaller. An estimated 30% of Bitcoin is held long-term without movement, and around 20% is likely permanently lost. Additionally, exchange reserves have dropped to multi-year lows, reducing immediately tradable supply. Key institutional players include 153 companies with non-zero BTC balances—29 of which are public firms holding 1.082 million BTC. Strategy alone accounts for 671,000 BTC (62% of corporate holdings). Bitcoin ETFs hold about 1.311 million BTC, led by BlackRock, Fidelity, and Grayscale. Governments hold approximately 615,000 BTC, with the U.S. and China as top holders. Around 3.409 million BTC haven’t moved in over a decade, with at least 2.14 million considered permanently inaccessible due to lost keys—including an estimated 1 million BTC possibly owned by Satoshi Nakamoto. With rising institutional demand and shrinking liquid supply, the market is experiencing structural tightening, potentially driving future price dynamics as available BTC becomes scarcer.

比推12/17 15:15

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: Is Market Supply Running Low?

比推12/17 15:15

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: How Much is Left to Buy on the Market?

In the past week, the publicly traded company MicroStrategy (referred to as "Strategy" in the text) purchased over 10,000 BTC, valued at more than $900 million, reinforcing its position as one of the world's largest institutional Bitcoin holders with a total of 671,000 BTC worth over $50 billion. This aggressive accumulation occurs despite a declining Bitcoin price and the company's mNAV falling below 1. This buying spree raises a critical question: how much Bitcoin is truly available for purchase on the market? While 19.96 million BTC have been mined (95% of the total 21 million cap), the actual liquid supply is far smaller. An estimated 30% of Bitcoin is considered "dormant," and around 20% is presumed permanently lost. Furthermore, institutional holdings from corporations, ETFs, and national funds are rapidly absorbing available supply, withdrawing it from active circulation. Exchange balances have also plummeted to multi-year lows, standing at approximately 2.49 million BTC, indicating a sharp contraction in immediately sellable "float." Key data points on illiquid supply: * Long-term holders control ~14.35 million BTC (over 70% of supply). * 153 corporations hold Bitcoin, with 29 public companies holding 108.2K BTC. MicroStrategy alone holds 671K BTC, 62% of the corporate total. * Spot Bitcoin ETFs hold ~1.31 million BTC. * National governments hold ~615,000 BTC. * An estimated 2.14 million BTC (including ~1.08 million from 2009) are likely permanently lost due to lost private keys. The combination of massive institutional demand and a structurally shrinking liquid supply is creating a scenario of increasing scarcity, potentially signaling a major shift in market dynamics.

marsbit12/17 13:36

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: How Much is Left to Buy on the Market?

marsbit12/17 13:36

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: How Much Is Left to Buy on the Market?

Strategy, a major long-term Bitcoin holder, has significantly increased its BTC holdings by over 10,000 BTC (worth $900 million) in a single week, despite a declining market and its mNAV falling below 1. This brings its total holdings to approximately 671,000 BTC, valued at over $50 billion, reinforcing its position as one of the world's largest institutional Bitcoin holders. This aggressive accumulation raises questions about the actual available supply of Bitcoin on the market. While 19.96 million BTC have been mined (95% of the total 21 million cap), the truly liquid supply is far smaller. An estimated 30% of Bitcoin is held long-term in "dormant" wallets, and around 20% is presumed permanently lost. Furthermore, institutional ownership from public companies, ETFs, and national funds is rapidly growing, and exchange balances have hit multi-year lows, indicating a shrinking pool of immediately sellable "float." Key data points on illiquid supply: - Long-term holders possess ~14.35 million BTC (over 70% of circulating supply). - 153 corporations hold BTC, with 29 public companies accounting for 1.082 million BTC. Strategy alone holds 671,000 BTC, representing 62% of that corporate total. - Spot Bitcoin ETFs hold ~1.311 million BTC, led by BlackRock (777,000 BTC) and Fidelity (202,000 BTC). - Governments hold ~615,000 BTC, with the U.S. (325,000 BTC) and China (190,000 BTC, per Glassnode) as the largest holders. - ~3.409 million BTC haven't moved in over a decade, with at least ~2.14 million BTC (including ~1 million attributed to Satoshi Nakamoto) considered permanently lost. With only ~2.49 million BTC left on exchanges (a multi-year low), the report concludes that the available supply is structurally shrinking as institutional buying pressure intensifies and long-term holders continue to accumulate, potentially leading to a significant shift in market dynamics.

Odaily星球日报12/17 13:25

Strategy Scoops Up 10,000 BTC in a Single Week: How Much Is Left to Buy on the Market?

Odaily星球日报12/17 13:25

Reviewing Past Bitcoin Bull Markets: Why the Four-Year Cycle Occurs and Is It Over?

The article examines Bitcoin's four-year market cycles, traditionally aligned with its halving events, and questions whether this pattern still holds. It outlines the typical cycle phases: accumulation (low volatility, long-term buying), pre-halving bullish anticipation, a parabolic bull run with retail FOMO and leverage, and a sharp correction leading to a bear market. Bitcoin halvings, which reduce mining rewards by half every four years, are highlighted as a core mechanism for creating scarcity, similar to precious metals. Past cycles (2013, 2017, 2021) are reviewed, each driven by distinct catalysts (e.g., Mt. Gox collapse, ICO boom, COVID-19 stimulus) and ending with crashes exceeding 80%. Reasons for the cycle include the stock-to-flow model (measuring scarcity), market psychology/self-fulfilling prophecies, and global liquidity conditions. The current 2025 cycle is noted for unprecedented institutional involvement via ETFs and corporate treasuries, causing Bitcoin to hit new highs before the 2024 halving with less retail participation. Arguments for the cycle's end cite increased adoption by disciplined institutions (reducing volatility), Bitcoin's growing correlation with macro factors like Fed policy, and the diminishing impact of each halving. Key indicators to watch for cycle validation include post-halving price surges, large leverage unwinds, and retail altcoin speculation. The conclusion states that while historical patterns are evident, Bitcoin's evolution into a mainstream asset makes future cycles potentially different. Only time will tell if the four-year cycle persists or becomes obsolete.

marsbit12/16 06:26

Reviewing Past Bitcoin Bull Markets: Why the Four-Year Cycle Occurs and Is It Over?

marsbit12/16 06:26

活动图片