# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Risk

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Risk", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Bitcoin’s Security Model May Shift As Quantum Computing Moves Forward: Analyst

Coinbase research lead David Duong warns that quantum computing advancements could threaten Bitcoin's security and economic model. Two primary risks exist: quantum computers could break cryptographic signatures to steal funds from addresses with exposed public keys (about 33% of Bitcoin's supply), and they could dominate mining by solving proofs of work much faster. While current quantum machines are not yet capable, experts are preparing for "Q-day" by developing quantum-resistant cryptography and promoting best practices like avoiding address reuse. The transition would require broad consensus and remains a complex, long-term challenge rather than an immediate threat.

bitcoinist01/08 00:02

Bitcoin’s Security Model May Shift As Quantum Computing Moves Forward: Analyst

bitcoinist01/08 00:02

Stop Obsessing Over Alpha, the Market's Beta Is More Important

The article argues that while generating alpha (outperforming the market) is a common goal for investors, the overall market return (beta) is often more critical for long-term success. Using a hypothetical example, it illustrates how a skilled investor (Alex) with consistent alpha can underperform a less skilled investor (Pat) if Pat invests during a stronger market period. Historical data shows that even with significant alpha, there's a substantial probability of underperforming a simple index fund over long periods. The core message is that market performance, which is outside an investor's control, is a more powerful driver of returns than individual skill. Therefore, investors should relieve themselves of the pressure to beat the market and instead focus on optimizing factors they can control: their career, savings rate, health, and family. These areas offer a greater potential for lifetime value than chasing marginal investment alpha. The conclusion is to embrace market beta and redirect energy toward more impactful life decisions.

marsbit01/07 08:06

Stop Obsessing Over Alpha, the Market's Beta Is More Important

marsbit01/07 08:06

3,200 Bitcoin In Motion: Galaxy Digital Activity Adds Sell-Side Pressure Risk

Bitcoin opened the year trading above $93,000, offering short-term relief to bulls and showing signs of stabilization above the $90,000 support level. However, the broader market structure remains fragile, with many analysts warning the dominant trend persists. Adding to caution, Galaxy Digital moved over 3,200 BTC, with approximately 560 BTC (worth nearly $50 million) transferred to major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. Such movements often signal potential selling or hedging activity, introducing short-term supply-side risk. While not all exchange inflows result in immediate selling, the timing amid Bitcoin’s struggle to reclaim key resistance levels suggests large players may be reducing exposure, reinforcing a cautious market outlook.

bitcoinist01/07 07:02

3,200 Bitcoin In Motion: Galaxy Digital Activity Adds Sell-Side Pressure Risk

bitcoinist01/07 07:02

Quantum Computing Emerges as a Potential Threat to Bitcoin Security

Quantum computing poses a potential threat to Bitcoin's security, as highlighted in a report by Coinbase’s David Duong and referenced in BlackRock’s SEC filings. While Bitcoin is known for its strong cryptographic security, advances in quantum computing could undermine it. Cryptographically relevant quantum computers (CRQCs) may eventually break Bitcoin’s encryption, compromising wallet security and transaction integrity. Specific risks include attacks on SHA-256 (used in mining) and Elliptic Curve Digital Signature Algorithms (used in transaction signing). Both traditional finance and open blockchain protocols like Bitcoin and Ethereum are urged to upgrade cryptographic systems to counter this emerging threat.

TheNewsCrypto01/07 06:24

Quantum Computing Emerges as a Potential Threat to Bitcoin Security

TheNewsCrypto01/07 06:24

Decoding IOTA’s 35% weekly rally and the RISKS still ahead

IOTA has experienced a significant 35% surge in the past week, supported by increased development activity and expanding partnerships, particularly in African trade and digital infrastructure. This has strengthened investor confidence, reflected in both price action and bullish community sentiment, with 96% of votes leaning positive. Technically, IOTA broke above a key descending resistance channel, with the next major resistance near $0.19. Indicators like the MACD turning positive and strong accumulation levels suggest growing momentum. However, while derivatives markets show strong bullish positioning, spot markets have seen modest selling. Sustained buying near key resistance will be crucial for the rally to continue.

ambcrypto01/06 18:02

Decoding IOTA’s 35% weekly rally and the RISKS still ahead

ambcrypto01/06 18:02

Memecoin Leads the Rebound: Prelude to a Bull Market or a Trap Set by Whales?

The memecoin market, led by tokens like PEPE and SHIB, has surged with its total valuation exceeding $50 billion, reigniting discussions about speculative fervor. After a prolonged decline, the "memecoin dominance rate" has rebounded strongly from historic lows, with the sector’s market cap reclaiming the $500 billion mark. Key tokens, including PEPE, BONK, and FLOKI, recorded double-digit gains at the start of the year. Analysts are divided on whether this surge represents a short-term speculative burst or an early signal of a broader market shift. Data from CryptoQuant shows memecoin dominance peaked at 11% of the altcoin market in late 2024 before plummeting to a record low of 3.2% by December 2025. This rebound mirrors past patterns where liquidity inflows eventually lifted the entire altcoin sector. Santiment reported a 20.8% surge in memecoin market cap in the first week of the year, reaching $45.3 billion, while CoinGecko estimated the total memecoin economy at $51.6 billion. The rally, driven by retail FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt) peaking around Christmas, saw savvy investors accumulating during panic selling. Notably, this cycle differs from previous ones due to increased institutional involvement. Leveraged memecoin ETFs, such as 21Shares' 2x Long Dogecoin ETF, have performed strongly, indicating demand beyond crypto-native traders. This institutionalization affects exchange listings and forces traditional finance to adapt to memecoin-driven liquidity. The memecoin landscape is also diversifying, with "boy club" and "frog-themed" coins challenging the dominance of "dog-themed" tokens. Emerging categories like "political finance" and "AI memecoin" are gaining traction, suggesting internal sector rotation. Blockchain networks like Solana and Base are benefiting significantly, with memecoin launchpad activity hitting multi-month highs. This resurgence reignites "fee wars" among chains competing for high-frequency speculative trading. Base developer Jesse Pollak argued memecoins act as "collaborative anchors" for communities, fostering creativity and collective action. However, a major risk lies in high concentration: for instance, 10 wallets control 63% of Shiba Inu's supply, with the largest holding 41%. This centralization poses significant downside risks for retail investors, as "whales" can trigger sell-offs. While the rebound from historic lows suggests a awakening market, CryptoQuant cautions it's too early to determine sustainability, highlighting the high-risk, high-reward nature of the current rally.

marsbit01/06 10:36

Memecoin Leads the Rebound: Prelude to a Bull Market or a Trap Set by Whales?

marsbit01/06 10:36

Violent Attacks On Crypto Holders Escalate Worldwide, Data Shows

Data shows a significant escalation in violent "wrench attacks" – physical robberies and kidnappings targeting cryptocurrency holders to force asset transfers – both in frequency and severity worldwide. Security researcher Haseeb Qureshi analyzed an incident database maintained by Jameson Lopp, finding 269 categorized attacks, with over half classified as "Serious" and 5% as "Fatal." The data indicates attacks are becoming more violent over time, with 2025 showing the highest incident count. Approximately 45% of the variation in attacks is explained by crypto market capitalization, meaning higher prices correlate with more incidents. However, when normalized per user (using Coinbase active users as a proxy), attack rates spiked in earlier market cycles, fell after 2019, and have recently risen again toward 2021 levels. Geographically, Western Europe and North America have the most incidents, but Latin America and Africa have significantly higher fatality rates. Notably, zero fatal attacks have occurred in North America. Researchers warn these events are transitioning from rare occurrences to a recurring risk for crypto participants.

bitcoinist01/06 04:03

Violent Attacks On Crypto Holders Escalate Worldwide, Data Shows

bitcoinist01/06 04:03

Bitcoin and Ethereum look bullish: But they face the same pre-breakout risk

Bitcoin broke above the $90k resistance after weeks of consolidation, though declining whale balances signaled potential setbacks. Analyst CrypNuevo warned of a possible "liquidity run"—a false breakout above $94.5k that could trap bulls, followed by a sweep of lows near $84k before a true rally toward $100k. Alternatively, rejection at the $92k resistance could lead to a drop toward $80.6k. Ethereum shows a comparable pattern, with key liquidity levels at $3,500 and $2,700–$2,800. Traders are advised to wait for clearer momentum shifts and avoid premature long entries, as both assets face pre-breakout volatility risks.

Ambcrypto01/05 21:03

Bitcoin and Ethereum look bullish: But they face the same pre-breakout risk

Ambcrypto01/05 21:03

Bitcoin Warning Signal Emerges: Whale Deposits Rise And Accumulation Slows

Bitcoin has rebounded above $92,000, offering short-term relief after a period of choppy trading. However, it remains below key structural levels needed to confirm a sustained uptrend. A CryptoQuant report highlights a concerning divergence in Binance exchange flows: average deposit sizes have increased sharply, indicating whales may be moving BTC onto exchanges for potential selling. Meanwhile, average withdrawal sizes remain subdued, suggesting weak accumulation and limited movement into long-term storage. This imbalance implies growing selling capacity without corresponding strong demand, increasing vulnerability to price declines if demand doesn't strengthen. While short-term momentum has improved, the on-chain data signals rising supply risks that may hinder a durable rally.

bitcoinist01/05 16:01

Bitcoin Warning Signal Emerges: Whale Deposits Rise And Accumulation Slows

bitcoinist01/05 16:01

Long-Short Showdown Imminent, Three Strategies to Help You Profit in the Short Term | Invited Analysis

Cody Feng, a quantitative trading analyst, provides a weekly Bitcoin market analysis and strategy report. Last week's short-term trades (1x leverage) yielded a net 0.62% return, successfully validating the forecast that BTC would consolidate between $86,500 and $91,000 if it held the $86,000-$86,500 support. The price action, with a high of $91,764 and a low of $86,675, matched this prediction. Technical analysis indicates the weekly chart remains in a downtrend with bearish momentum, while the daily chart shows the market is at a critical juncture, with momentum indicators approaching a key equilibrium point, suggesting a potential directional breakout. For the coming week (Jan 5-11), the primary trading range is projected to be $84,000 to $94,500. A breakdown below $84,000 could trigger a move toward $80,000, while a decisive break above $94,500 may signal the start of a stronger technical rebound. Three short-term trading plans are outlined: - **Plan A (Range-bound: $84k-$94.5k)**: Short 30% of capital at resistance ($93k-$94.5k), stop-loss above $95.5k, take profit near support levels. - **Plan B (Breakdown below $84k)**: Short on the break, stop-loss above $85k, target $80k. - **Plan C (Breakout above $94.5k)**: Go long on the break, stop-loss below $93k, target $97.5k. Key US macroeconomic events this week, including speeches from FOMC officials and critical employment data (ADP, Initial Jobless Claims, Non-Farm Payrolls), could significantly impact market expectations for Fed policy and influence Bitcoin's medium-term valuation. All strategies include strict risk management rules for dynamic stop-loss placement to protect capital and lock in profits. *Disclaimer: This is a personal trading log for educational purposes, not investment advice. DYOR.*

marsbit01/05 07:45

Long-Short Showdown Imminent, Three Strategies to Help You Profit in the Short Term | Invited Analysis