# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Regulation

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Regulation", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

U.S. First Approved Perpetual Futures Launch Signals Wall Street Disruption

The first regulated Bitcoin perpetual futures contract in the US was approved by the CFTC on May 29, marking a significant shift. While the global perpetual market, pioneered by BitMEX in 2016, has grown to over $90 trillion in annual volume, US institutions were previously barred. The newly approved US product, however, differs fundamentally from its offshore counterparts, offering only up to 10x leverage with full customer asset segregation, compared to the 50-100x leverage common overseas. This development is seen as a regulatory endorsement of the asset class, benefiting platforms like Hyperliquid, the largest decentralized exchange, which saw its token surge. Analysts note the rise of perps is disrupting traditional derivatives by offering 24/7 trading, no expiry, and lower fees, capturing short-term speculative demand and pressuring incumbent businesses like Coinbase's spot trading revenue. The article concludes that while perps won't fully replace options, their efficiency makes them superior for most leveraged directional trading.

foresightnews_api06/05 04:21

U.S. First Approved Perpetual Futures Launch Signals Wall Street Disruption

foresightnews_api06/05 04:21

Former Bankless Member Lucas: Why I Still Bullish on Ethereum

Former Bankless member Lucas explains why he remains bullish on Ethereum despite widespread pessimism. He acknowledges ETH's poor price performance over the past five years compared to Bitcoin and traditional markets, but draws parallels to historical multi-year consolidations seen in tech giants like Amazon and NVIDIA before major breakouts. Fundamentally, Ethereum is stronger than ever: record-high daily transactions (2.27 million in May 2026), significantly lower average gas fees ($0.27), over 400 million total addresses, and more than 32% of ETH staked, securing the network. Lucas's core thesis remains unchanged: all valuable assets will eventually be tokenized, Ethereum will become the primary settlement layer for these assets, and ETH will capture the resulting value. This transition is already underway. Stablecoins, the first proven tokenized real-world asset (RWA), have a $300+ billion market cap, with 54% settled on Ethereum. The broader RWA sector has surpassed $30 billion, with over 53% deployed on Ethereum. He compares the current RWA adoption phase to early DeFi in 2019-20, suggesting immense growth potential. Key catalysts like the potential passage of the U.S. CLARITY Act in 2026 could accelerate institutional adoption. While other blockchains will share the market, Lucas argues that traditional finance prioritizes Ethereum's security, stability, and established ecosystem for trillion-dollar asset tokenization. He concludes that as global assets migrate on-chain, the market will reprice ETH accordingly.

foresightnews_api06/05 04:14

Former Bankless Member Lucas: Why I Still Bullish on Ethereum

foresightnews_api06/05 04:14

Trump's 'Bitcoin Retirement Plan' Hits Roadblock: Democrats Claim It Endangers American Workers' Pensions?

Democratic Senators Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), along with Rep. Bobby Scott (D-VA), are urging the Labor Department to repeal a proposed rule that would open U.S. retirement savings accounts, like 401(k) plans, to investments in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. In a letter to Acting Labor Secretary Keith Sonderling, they argue the rule would endanger workers' financial futures and contradicts long-standing legal precedents under the Employee Retirement Income Security Act (ERISA). The rule, stemming from a Trump executive order, would shift the legal standard for plan fiduciaries. Instead of requiring them to prove they conducted due diligence on volatile assets, it would presume prudence if they followed a specified process. The lawmakers warn this exposes the $14.2 trillion in 401(k) savings to highly volatile and less-regulated assets, citing FINRA warnings on crypto's risks and FBI data on massive crypto scam losses. The letter also alleges a conflict of interest, noting that President Trump's adult children manage the family's crypto business, which has raised billions. They claim the rule could allow the Trump family to profit at the expense of workers and retirees. Consumer advocates echo concerns that it could turn retirement savings into a lifeline for a risky industry. The Trump administration defends the rule as expanding worker choice, with officials stating it ends the department "picking winners and losers" and requires fiduciaries to follow a prudent process.

foresightnews_api06/05 04:11

Trump's 'Bitcoin Retirement Plan' Hits Roadblock: Democrats Claim It Endangers American Workers' Pensions?

foresightnews_api06/05 04:11

Rules Change Mid-Game, Polymarket’s Billion-Dollar Bitcoin Prediction Market Mired in Settlement Controversy

A nearly $150 million prediction market contract on Polymarket is in turmoil after the platform refused to settle in favor of traders who correctly predicted that MicroStrategy (now Strategy) would sell Bitcoin. The core dispute revolves around a sale of 32 BTC, which occurred between May 26-31 but was officially disclosed in an SEC 8-K filing on June 1. The original contract stated it would resolve to "Yes" if Strategy sold any Bitcoin before May 31, 11:59 PM ET, using public disclosures and on-chain data as proof. After the filing on June 1, traders who saw the disclosure rushed to buy "Yes" contracts, believing it was conclusive evidence. However, Polymarket's operators later added a rule that the disclosure itself must occur by the deadline, not just the transaction, invalidating the filing as proof. This retroactive rule change has sparked accusations of market manipulation, leaving traders like "willo2," who invested $527,000, facing total losses. The controversy highlights a deeper structural flaw in Polymarket's decentralized settlement system, which relies on UMA's optimistic oracle. Disputed resolutions are ultimately decided by a vote among UMA token holders, a mechanism critics say is vulnerable to manipulation by large holders ("whales") who can vote in their own financial interest rather than on objective facts. Data suggests a high concentration of voting power and significant overlap between voters and Polymarket traders. The dispute emerges as prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi are experiencing massive growth and seeking mainstream financial legitimacy, having recently secured regulatory approval from the U.S. CFTC. However, the incident underscores the unresolved tension between decentralized, token-vote-based settlement and the need for transparent, rules-based outcomes in high-stakes financial contracts.

foresightnews_api06/05 04:08

Rules Change Mid-Game, Polymarket’s Billion-Dollar Bitcoin Prediction Market Mired in Settlement Controversy

foresightnews_api06/05 04:08

Expected $1 Billion Crypto Windfall Shrinks To Fraction In Israel Disclosure Program

Israel's voluntary crypto disclosure program has seen a much weaker response than expected, with only 58 individuals coming forward. Tax authorities had projected up to $1 billion in revenue from the initiative, but early reports indicate declared crypto capital totals only about $50 million. The program offered immunity from criminal charges for correcting past reporting errors, but its lack of an anonymous option reportedly deterred many holders who feared putting their names on record. With an estimated $1 billion in digital assets held by Israeli residents, the disclosures so far represent only a small fraction of the market. The filing window, which has specific conditions and runs until August 2026, remains open.

bitcoinist06/05 00:31

Expected $1 Billion Crypto Windfall Shrinks To Fraction In Israel Disclosure Program

bitcoinist06/05 00:31

Probability in the Price: How World Cup Odds Are Calculated

**The Probability in the Price: How World Cup Odds Are Calculated** Two major systems released their "championship probabilities" before the 2026 World Cup, and they disagreed on the favorite. Prediction market aggregators listed France at around **17%**, while the Opta supercomputer gave European champion Spain **16.1%**. These numbers look similar, but their production methods are fundamentally different. The market's **17%** is the **price** that clears after hundreds of millions of dollars in trading across platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, where contracts trade between 0 and 100 cents, directly representing implied probability. This liquidity is provided by crypto-native market makers like Wintermute, though the market still has "the liquidity profile of an early-stage" asset class. In contrast, Opta's **16.1%** is a **simulated frequency**. Its model uses team data (including betting market odds as an input) to estimate match probabilities, then runs **10,000 full tournament simulations**, counting how often each team wins. Which is more accurate? There is **no rigorous, cross-tournament academic study** directly comparing their track records. However, a persistent **longshot bias**—where low-probability outcomes are systematically overvalued—observed in traditional betting for nearly a century, has also been found in modern crypto prediction markets. Research shows low-price contracts on Kalshi/Polymer less likely to pay out than their implied odds suggest. Unlike traditional bookmakers, prediction markets operate on **public blockchain ledgers**, making every transaction auditable and enabling such research. However, price formation is also influenced by **regulatory uncertainty**, as seen in recent US state-level bans and legal battles over jurisdiction. In summary, the "probability" you see is either a **market-clearing price** subject to behavioral biases and liquidity constraints, or a **model-simulated frequency** that partially incorporates market data. The question of which method is more reliable remains open, highlighting the importance of asking: **How was this number produced?**

marsbit06/05 00:26

CLARITY Act News: Coinbase CEO Responds To Dimon While JPMorgan Sees Low Odds Of 2026 Passage

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong responded to JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon's criticism of the CLARITY Act, a crypto regulation bill, calling Dimon's personal remarks "kind of sad" while expressing personal respect. Armstrong argued the bill would benefit traditional banks by providing a clearer regulatory framework and also help crypto companies, urging a focus on passing the legislation. Dimon had stated banks would not accept the current bill and predicted continued resistance from traditional finance. Meanwhile, JPMorgan analysts indicated the odds of the bill passing in 2026 are low, citing time constraints, the approaching midterm elections, and legislative hurdles like stablecoin yield debates.

bitcoinist06/04 23:01

CLARITY Act News: Coinbase CEO Responds To Dimon While JPMorgan Sees Low Odds Of 2026 Passage

bitcoinist06/04 23:01

UK House Of Lords Urges BoE To Ease Stablecoin Rules Over Competitiveness Concerns

The UK House of Lords has urged the Bank of England (BoE) to revise its proposed stablecoin regulations, warning that overly strict rules could harm the country's competitiveness. While supporting core principles like 1:1 backing, a parliamentary committee criticized specific proposals. These include a requirement for issuers to hold 40% of reserves as non-interest-bearing bank deposits and suggested caps on individual and corporate holdings. The committee argued these measures create operational burdens, hinder the growth of pound-based stablecoins, and could cause the UK to fall behind other jurisdictions with clearer regimes. The report follows industry pressure, and the BoE has indicated openness to easing its "overly conservative" plans, with final rules expected soon.

bitcoinist06/04 13:28

UK House Of Lords Urges BoE To Ease Stablecoin Rules Over Competitiveness Concerns

bitcoinist06/04 13:28

SEC’s 2026–2030 Plan Puts Crypto At The Center Of Its Regulatory Agenda

The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has placed cryptocurrency at the center of its draft strategic plan for fiscal years 2026-2030, aiming to modernize regulation to keep pace with rapid market and technological changes. The SEC argues that the current regulatory framework has been outpaced by growth in digital assets and distributed ledger technologies, creating legal uncertainty. Its key objectives are to establish a clearer, more coherent regulatory foundation for crypto assets, clarify how securities laws apply to them, and resolve jurisdictional questions with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). The agency believes this "harmonization" is necessary to encourage compliant innovation, support on-chain infrastructure, and ensure robust investor protection and market integrity.

bitcoinist06/04 10:01

SEC’s 2026–2030 Plan Puts Crypto At The Center Of Its Regulatory Agenda

bitcoinist06/04 10:01

Blockchain Association Urges Senate To Pass CLARITY Act With Letter Backed By 160 Ex-Officials

The Blockchain Association, along with 160 former national security and law enforcement officials, has urged Senate leaders to pass the CLARITY Act. They argue that without clear federal regulation, crypto activity will move to opaque offshore markets, hindering U.S. efforts to combat financial crime. The letter highlights that the Act would strengthen law enforcement by expanding anti-money laundering and sanctions requirements under the Bank Secrecy Act, improving information sharing between agencies like the Treasury, DOJ, and FBI, and enhancing oversight of digital asset kiosks with measures like transaction monitoring and fraud prevention. The Association emphasizes these are enforcement enhancements, not deregulation. Momentum for the bill is building, with a Senate vote expected this summer, though it would still need reconciliation with a previously passed House version.

bitcoinist06/04 06:01

Blockchain Association Urges Senate To Pass CLARITY Act With Letter Backed By 160 Ex-Officials