# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Perpetuals

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Perpetuals", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Hyperliquid vs Polymarket: How Do On-Chain Exchanges Price Crises?

Hyperliquid and Polymarket, two leading on-chain exchanges, played critical roles in pricing the recent US-Israel airstrike on Iran during traditional market closures. Polymarket, a prediction market, allowed users to trade on event probabilities—such as the likelihood of a US strike or the closure of the Strait of Hormuz—effectively converting information asymmetry into actionable data. Its probability shifts often preceded asset price movements, serving as an early warning system. Notably, new wallets placed large, profitable bets on conflict outcomes, suggesting potential insider activity. Hyperliquid, a perpetual futures exchange, provided 24/7 trading for commodities like crude oil and gold, which are directly impacted by geopolitical tensions. During the crisis, oil spiked to $71.76 and gold rose, reflecting real-time risk pricing unavailable in traditional markets. The platforms complement each other: Polymarket creates new asset classes for otherwise untradeable events, while Hyperliquid enables continuous trading of traditional assets. Strategies include using Polymarket’s probability shifts as leading indicators for futures positions on Hyperliquid, or using prediction markets to hedge commodity exposures. Beyond trading, these platforms offer societal value by generating transparent, real-time signals that can serve as early warnings for civilians in conflict zones, transforming on-chain finance into a vital information system during crises.

marsbit03/03 10:00

Hyperliquid vs Polymarket: How Do On-Chain Exchanges Price Crises?

marsbit03/03 10:00

Don't Just Focus on Trading Volume, Learn to Understand the 'True and False Prosperity' of Perpetual Contracts

Title: Look Beyond Trading Volume: Understanding the Real Growth of Perpetual Contracts Perpetual contracts (perps) have become a dominant force in crypto trading, with their volume now accounting for about 75% of decentralized exchange activity, up from 44% in February 2025. This surge occurred even as the total crypto market cap fell nearly 40% between August 2025 and February 2026, indicating a shift towards derivatives for speculation and hedging during volatility. However, volume alone can be misleading. It may reflect high-frequency, incentive-driven activity rather than meaningful capital deployment. A more nuanced view comes from combining volume with Open Interest (OI)—the total value of outstanding contracts. While cumulative perps volume doubled in the past six months to $14 trillion (exceeding the previous four years' total), OI grew by about 50%, from $13B to ~$18B before settling at $13B. The OI/Volume ratio, a measure of capital efficiency, rose from 0.33x to 0.49x over the past year. This growth wasn’t linear: it peaked at ~0.72x from June to mid-October 2025, then dropped to ~0.38x after a major liquidation event in October wiped out $19B in leveraged positions. At the platform level, Hyperliquid leads in capital efficiency with an OI/7-day volume ratio over 45% and a take rate of 3.2 bps, effectively converting trading activity into sustained positions and fee revenue. Aster follows with a 34% ratio but a lower take rate of 1.6 bps, prioritizing capital retention over revenue. edgeX and Lighter both show 21% efficiency, with edgeX matching Hyperliquid’s take rate. The key insight is that true growth in perps markets is signaled not just by volume but by rising OI/Volume ratio, reflecting patient capital and confidence in these platforms. Sustainable success will come from optimizing conviction and value capture, not just incentivized trading volume.

marsbit02/23 08:10

Don't Just Focus on Trading Volume, Learn to Understand the 'True and False Prosperity' of Perpetual Contracts

marsbit02/23 08:10

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