# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Long Term

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Long Term", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Has the Cryptocurrency Market Hit Bottom? Here's What Institutions Think

"Has the crypto market bottomed out? Major institutions are divided on the outlook, according to a recent analysis by Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise. Three prominent research firms published in-depth reports on the topic with differing conclusions. Galaxy Digital argues Bitcoin has not yet found its bottom, pointing to only 4 out of 13 historical bottoming indicators being met. Their analysis suggests a potential bottom range of $30,000 to $54,000. NYDIG adopts a more cautious stance, noting that while metrics are close to historical bear market lows, a classic panic-selling capitulation event is missing. They acknowledge the possibility of a bottom but consider it unlikely, citing structural changes from institutional adoption. In contrast, Standard Chartered Bank asserts the bottom is already in at around $59,000. Their revised bullish view, predicting a year-end target of $100,000, hinges on anticipated reductions in ETF selling pressure linked to events like a potential SpaceX IPO. Despite the surface-level disagreement on the exact price floor, the reports share significant common ground crucial for long-term investors. All three institutions agree that a market bottom will likely form within the current year, that current prices are closer to the bottom than to previous cycle highs, and that Bitcoin is poised for another major bull cycle in the future. The core takeaway is that while the precise bottom level remains debated, the long-term value proposition for Bitcoin remains strong and may even be strengthening. Key supportive trends include rising global debt, persistent inflation, declining trust in traditional institutions, accelerating digitization, and improving market infrastructure. Therefore, for investors with a long-term horizon, the focus should shift from pinpointing the exact bottom to recognizing that the cycle's peak is likely still ahead, making current levels an attractive entry point for substantial potential upside."

Foresight News06/16 07:33

Has the Cryptocurrency Market Hit Bottom? Here's What Institutions Think

Foresight News06/16 07:33

Matrixport Research Report | Re-evaluating the Long-Term Allocation Value of U.S. Stocks: Institutional Dividends, Industry Cycles, and Global Capital Resonance

Matrixport Research Report: Reassessing the Long-Term Allocation Value of U.S. Stocks — Institutional Advantages, Industry Cycle, and Global Capital in Sync The core of U.S. stocks' long-term allocation value lies in the convergence of three key drivers: institutional advantages, the real validation cycle of the AI industry, and structural capital inflows—rather than short-term macro trading opportunities. U.S. equity markets, particularly the Nasdaq, have significantly outperformed global peers like China’s创业板指 and恒生科技指数 from 2015 to 2025, with smaller drawdowns and stronger compound returns. This resilience stems from deep institutional strengths: a mature innovation financing ecosystem, corporate fiscal discipline, shareholder return mechanisms, and the dollar’s global liquidity role. The AI industry is transitioning from infrastructure expansion to application penetration. Real adoption is accelerating—78% of organizations reported using AI in 2024—and capital expenditure by AI-related U.S. firms has nearly doubled since 2019. This reflects tangible investment, not speculative valuation. Global institutional capital, particularly from Europe, has structurally increased allocation to U.S. equities, with overseas holdings rising ~48% over the past two years. The deep, liquid U.S. market offers concentrated exposure to leading tech and AI assets with high regulatory predictability and low transaction costs. While 2026 may see moderate rate cuts and fiscal policy debates, the long-term outlook remains robust. Short-term volatility may offer entry opportunities. The enduring value of U.S. stocks is anchored in this self-reinforcing system of institutional, technological, and capital advantages—making them a core holding for long-term investors.

Matrixport02/13 08:38

Matrixport Research Report | Re-evaluating the Long-Term Allocation Value of U.S. Stocks: Institutional Dividends, Industry Cycles, and Global Capital Resonance

Matrixport02/13 08:38

Dissecting 290,000 Data Points: We Uncovered 6 Secrets of Polymarket's Liquidity

Based on an analysis of 295,000 markets on Polymarket, this investigation uncovers six key truths about its liquidity. A significant finding is that 67.7% of markets have a lifespan of less than 7 days, with 63.16% of current short-term markets having zero trading volume, resembling the high failure rate of meme coins. These short-term markets, dominated by sports and crypto predictions, suffer from extremely low liquidity, often under $100. In contrast, long-term markets (over 30 days), though fewer in number, attract substantial capital, with an average liquidity of $450,000. U.S. politics is the most capitalized category. The platform exhibits a stark divide: sports markets are either ultra-short-term with high volume or long-term "season bets," with mid-term interest lacking. New, complex markets like U.S. real estate face a "cold start" problem due to high expertise requirements and low volatility, deterring participation. The market is highly polarized; a tiny fraction of high-value contracts (1,000+ with over $10M volume) capture 47% of all trading volume, while the vast majority of markets are illiquid. Finally, the "Geopolitics" category is the fastest-growing, indicating rising user interest. The core insight is that liquidity in prediction markets is not evenly distributed but concentrates around events that offer either instant gratification (sports/crypto) or deep macro bets (politics), transforming Polymarket into a specialized financial tool rather than a universal prediction platform.

比推01/08 08:17

Dissecting 290,000 Data Points: We Uncovered 6 Secrets of Polymarket's Liquidity

比推01/08 08:17

Digging into 290,000 Market Data Points: Revealing 6 Truths About Polymarket's Liquidity

Based on an analysis of 295,000 markets on Polymarket, this report uncovers six key truths about its liquidity. A significant portion (22.9%) of markets are ultra-short-term (under 1 day), with 63% of these currently having zero trading volume, resembling the illiquidity of meme coins. While short-term crypto and sports markets exist, sports dominates short-term volume ($1.32M average) compared to crypto ($44k). Conversely, long-term markets (over 30 days), though fewer in number, are liquidity powerhouses, attracting large capital with an average liquidity of $450k. U.S. politics is the top category here, with an average trading volume of $28.17M. The analysis reveals a clear market dichotomy: short-term "casino-like" markets (crypto, sports) for small, high-frequency players, and long-term "macro" markets (politics, geopolitics) for large, patient capital. Most markets are concentrated in a few high-volume events, with 47% of all trading volume occurring in just 505 markets. New, complex markets like U.S. real estate face a "cold start" problem due to high expertise requirements and low volatility. Finally, the "Geopolitics" category is the fastest-growing, with the highest ratio of active-to-total markets (29.7%), indicating rising user interest. The core finding is that liquidity is not evenly distributed but clusters around events that offer either instant feedback or deep macro narratives.

marsbit01/08 07:34

Digging into 290,000 Market Data Points: Revealing 6 Truths About Polymarket's Liquidity

marsbit01/08 07:34

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