# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Investment

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Investment", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Hedge by Buying Gold and Oil, Chase Soaring Returns with AI. ‘Dated’ Bitcoin Enters a Bear Market

Bitcoin has recently declined, hitting a two-month low near $66,123, while Ethereum fell to a three-month low around $1,837. Analysts suggest the drop is not merely due to factors like ETF outflows or MicroStrategy's selling but reflects a deeper issue: Bitcoin is losing a broader asset competition. In a near-zero interest rate environment, Bitcoin previously thrived as an outlet for investor dissatisfaction with inflation and limited options. However, the market landscape has shifted. Bitcoin now occupies an "awkward middle ground," facing competition on three fronts. For inflation hedging, investors prefer gold, energy stocks, and commodity producers—assets with tangible backing and clearer pricing power. For growth exposure, AI-related companies with actual revenues and profits are more attractive. Even within crypto, investors can choose stablecoins, exchanges, or infrastructure firms tied directly to adoption, offering clearer business models and leverage. Thus, Bitcoin is no longer the top choice for hedging, growth, or crypto exposure. This shift is evident in market reactions: despite recent warnings about persistent inflation from a Fed official, Bitcoin did not rally as it might have in the past. Instead, capital flowed to assets with direct commodity or energy exposure. The recent ETF outflows and MicroStrategy sales are symptoms, not causes, of this new reality. Investors are becoming more selective, demanding clearer value propositions beyond mere scarcity. The emerging bear case for Bitcoin is not about it being a bubble or failed technology, but that scarcity alone is no longer sufficient.

华尔街日报Вчера 00:40

Hedge by Buying Gold and Oil, Chase Soaring Returns with AI. ‘Dated’ Bitcoin Enters a Bear Market

华尔街日报Вчера 00:40

Pantera Partner: In the Age of Agents, Blockchain is the Inevitable Answer for AI

Summary: AI and blockchain are converging around four key pillars: payment settlement, identity systems, open systems, and resource aggregation, with commercial projects already emerging in each area. The two technologies are fundamentally complementary: AI enables infinite supply (content, agents), while blockchain establishes scarcity and verifiable ownership. AI agents generate content and services, and blockchain handles the verification and value settlement. A significant valuation mismatch exists, with leading AI companies historically overvalued compared to crypto assets, despite their deep underlying integration. The emergence of autonomous AI agents—which require assets, value transfer, and large-scale coordination—creates a need for a non-human-centric financial infrastructure. Blockchain, with its programmability, 24/7 access, and low-trust settlement, is the only suitable foundation. AI agents will not use traditional bank accounts or payment rails; they will transact using stablecoins and on-chain systems. Examples include OpenFX, which settles hundreds of billions in forex trades on-chain for AI agents, and Alchemy, a core development platform. For human identity verification in an age of AI-generated content, projects like World (Worldcoin) use blockchain-based biometric verification, while TransCrypts focuses on self-sovereign identity and verifiable credentials. The current divergence presents a unique investment opportunity. AI valuations are highly elevated, while crypto assets trade at a significant discount, even though the future smart agent economy will be built on blockchain infrastructure. The fusion of AI and blockchain is not a future trend but an ongoing reality, creating a prime environment for entrepreneurs in areas like agent-native finance, decentralized identity, and on-chain AI coordination.

marsbit2 дня назад 13:12

Pantera Partner: In the Age of Agents, Blockchain is the Inevitable Answer for AI

marsbit2 дня назад 13:12

API Stories Can't Support Valuations, AI Giants Start Offering Consulting Services

The AI industry is shifting from simply selling APIs to providing intensive, on-site consulting services, as major players like OpenAI and Anthropic seek new revenue streams to justify high valuations. OpenAI has established "Deploy Co," raising over $40 billion from investors led by TPG at a $140 billion valuation. The deal has an unusual structure, guaranteeing investors a minimum 17.5% return with a profit cap, resembling debt more than equity. OpenAI also acquired the AI consulting firm Tomoro to gain over 150 "Frontline Deployment Engineers" (FDEs). Similarly, Anthropic formed a $15 billion joint venture with Blackstone, Hellman & Friedman, and Goldman Sachs with the same goal: embedding engineers within client companies. A key driver is Anthropic's rapid market share growth, now holding 40% of the enterprise LLM API market compared to OpenAI's 27%, which has put pressure on OpenAI to accelerate its enterprise strategy. Notably, major consulting firms Bain & Company, McKinsey & Company, and Capgemini are among the investors in OpenAI's venture, a move seen as either seeking deeper insight into AI or funding their potential future disintermediation. This pivot is creating a major shift in tech employment. Demand for FDEs—who integrate AI into client workflows on-site—has surged over 800% in the past year, with salaries reaching $350,000-$550,000. Meanwhile, demand for traditional software engineers has declined significantly. The trend marks a strategic inflection point: core AI models are becoming commoditized, while the complex, labor-intensive work of deployment is becoming the new high-value, capitalized service layer. The $55 billion in combined funding represents a bet that hands-on consulting, not just API access, is the future of enterprise AI monetization.

marsbit2 дня назад 11:51

API Stories Can't Support Valuations, AI Giants Start Offering Consulting Services

marsbit2 дня назад 11:51

After the 'Golden Finger' Points to IBM, the Stock God Trump's Next Target Emerges

The White House occupant is being called a "stock god." Financial disclosures show former President Trump executed 3,642 stock trades in Q1 2026, averaging 58 per trading day. More significantly, a pattern has emerged where companies he publicly praises often see their stock prices rise and frequently overlap with his personal portfolio holdings, government industrial policy, and federal funding. Since a high-profile Tesla event in March 2025, Trump has publicly endorsed at least nine companies, including Intel, Dell, Micron, Palantir, IBM, Apple, Thermo Fisher, Nvidia, and AMD. These "Trump concept stocks" share key traits: they are tied to AI, semiconductors, quantum computing, or "Made in America" narratives; they often receive government contracts, subsidies (like CHIPS Act funding), or regulatory favors; and their CEOs typically have strong personal or political ties to Trump. Timing raises questions. In several instances, such as with Palantir and Dell, Trump's personal account established or increased positions weeks before his public endorsements, which were followed by significant stock price jumps. While his assets are reportedly held in a blind trust managed by his children, the correlation is notable. Based on this pattern, analysis suggests the next companies likely to be endorsed are those where the US government has already taken a strategic equity stake but which haven't yet received a high-profile "call-out." Prime candidates include MP Materials (rare earths, 15% DoD interest), Lithium Americas (lithium, DoE-backed), and quantum computing firms like IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave, which are reportedly in talks for government equity-for-funding deals. Other potential names are Oracle (deep political ties) and GlobalFoundries (semiconductors and quantum funding). These stocks carry high political premium, meaning their valuations are highly sensitive to political favor, which can be volatile.

marsbit2 дня назад 08:07

After the 'Golden Finger' Points to IBM, the Stock God Trump's Next Target Emerges

marsbit2 дня назад 08:07

Zhou Hang: How Much Is SpaceX Really Worth?

**Zhou Hang: How Much is SpaceX Really Worth?** SpaceX, arguably one of the greatest industrial companies of the past 50 years, is reportedly targeting a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation in its potential IPO. However, the author argues this figure is inflated by approximately $1.25 trillion when assessed through standard financial metrics. The analysis begins by acknowledging SpaceX's undeniable success: drastically reducing launch costs, achieving near-monopoly in commercial launches, and building the strategic Starlink network. Its achievement surpasses even Tesla's, given it disrupted a state-monopolized industry. Despite this greatness, a $1.75 trillion valuation places SpaceX above the combined market cap of Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, RTX, and General Dynamics. Projecting optimistic 2030 revenues of $50-80 billion and applying generous tech-sector multiples yields a "reasonable" valuation range of $500 billion to $1.2 trillion. The $1.25 trillion gap is attributed to three non-financial premiums: 1. **Long-term vision premium** for future Starship-enabled markets (e.g., space-based computing). 2. **Sovereign asset/strategic premium**, as SpaceX is deeply integrated into U.S. national security. 3. **Retail narrative/Musk cult premium**, driven by a heroic story and personal following. Post-IPO, three scenarios are outlined: valuation solidifying (25% probability), sideways volatility as narrative outpaces reality (50%), or a re-rating down to $800B-$1.2T if execution falters or Musk-related risks emerge (25%). The probability-weighted expected value is $1.3-1.5 trillion, suggesting negative expected returns for those buying at the IPO price. The conclusion advises investors to separate the company's excellence from its stock price. Buying at the IPO likely prices in excessive optimism. A more prudent strategy would be to wait for key milestones (e.g., Starship V3 stability) or a significant price correction before investing, or to treat an early purchase as a long-term, high-conviction hold with limited position size, not a short-term bet.

链捕手2 дня назад 02:12

Zhou Hang: How Much Is SpaceX Really Worth?

链捕手2 дня назад 02:12

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