# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Hedging

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Hedging", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Bitcoin price discovery has shifted decisively to derivatives markets

Based on a CoinGlass report, Bitcoin's price discovery has decisively shifted from spot trading to derivatives markets. Futures, perpetual swaps, and options now account for the majority of trading activity, with their volume consistently exceeding spot volume. Consequently, short-term price direction is increasingly determined by leverage, positioning, and hedging behavior rather than direct buying or selling of Bitcoin. This represents a structural shift from earlier cycles, making the market's behavior more akin to traditional macro assets. While this can lead to calmer surface-level price action, it masks underlying risks, increasing the potential for abrupt, volatility spikes triggered by funding stress or liquidation cascades. For participants, monitoring derivatives metrics has become more critical than tracking spot flows alone.

ambcrypto12/25 17:02

Bitcoin price discovery has shifted decisively to derivatives markets

ambcrypto12/25 17:02

Gold Prices Are Soaring Again and Again. Can Ordinary People Still Get on Board?

The price of gold has surged dramatically, rising from around $2,600 per ounce at the start of 2025 to over $4,400, while domestic prices in China broke through the ¥900–1,000 per gram mark. Against a backdrop of economic uncertainty, low returns on savings and wealth management products, and volatile equity markets, gold is re-emerging as a preferred asset for both individual and institutional investors. Gold serves as a reliable store of value and a hedge against instability, with its price often moving independently of stocks and bonds. Its historical role as a universal monetary asset makes it particularly attractive during periods of geopolitical tension and inflation. Over the past 20 years, gold denominated in RMB has delivered an average annual return of over 10%, outperforming many traditional investments. The concept of “gold+” is gaining traction—referring to multi-asset investment products that include a strategic allocation to gold (often 5–10%) alongside equities, bonds, and other assets. These products are designed to reduce volatility, improve risk-adjusted returns, and simplify decision-making for retail investors who may lack the expertise or discipline to manage gold exposure independently. Examples show that a portfolio with a 10% allocation to gold would have significantly outperformed a pure equity portfolio over the past decade. By integrating gold into a diversified strategy, “gold+” products offer a structured, long-term approach to wealth preservation and growth, making gold’s stability and defensive qualities accessible to everyday investors.

深潮12/23 06:52

Gold Prices Are Soaring Again and Again. Can Ordinary People Still Get on Board?

深潮12/23 06:52

CME's Cryptocurrency Portal

CME's Cryptocurrency Portal: CFTC's recent approval for CFTC-registered exchanges to list spot cryptocurrency products could pave the way for major platforms like CME to enter the market. This move may attract significant institutional capital from traditional markets into crypto, leveraging CME’s established trust, regulatory compliance, and infrastructure. CME already handles substantial crypto derivatives volume, with record daily contracts and growing year-over-year activity. Integrating spot trading could streamline hedging, reduce operational friction, and offer a regulated alternative to offshore platforms. It may also redefine "spot" for large traders who prioritize custody, settlement, and stability over mere price exposure. Additionally, shifting leveraged trading to regulated venues like CME could enhance transparency and consumer protection, reducing risks seen in events like the recent $19B liquidation crash. While initial adoption may be conservative, this step could gradually build trust and open crypto to broader, safer institutional participation.

marsbit12/23 01:57

CME's Cryptocurrency Portal

marsbit12/23 01:57

Prediction Markets: An Extended Form of Binary Options?

After observing prediction markets, it is increasingly evident that they share significant similarities with binary options. In many respects, prediction markets can be viewed as an extended form of binary options. Both utilize binary (yes/no) contracts where the price fluctuates between 0 and 1, reflecting the market's consensus probability of an event occurring. For instance, a price of 0.7 indicates a perceived 70% likelihood. At expiration, the contract settles at 1 if the event occurs and 0 otherwise—mirroring the payoff structure of binary options. The core of both systems lies in forecasting binary outcomes and using market prices to estimate event probabilities. They aggregate collective intelligence, allow speculation, and enable risk management. However, differences exist: prediction markets cover a broader range of verifiable events (e.g., weather, elections, or box office results) with flexible timeframes, while binary options are primarily focused on short-term financial asset movements (e.g., stocks or currencies). Additionally, binary options are often more speculative and face stricter financial regulations in regions like the EU and the US. Prediction markets, though currently less regulated (especially in crypto), emphasize accuracy and may eventually come under regulatory scrutiny due to concerns like market manipulation. These distinctions could lead to divergent regulatory and developmental paths in the future.

marsbit12/22 12:05

Prediction Markets: An Extended Form of Binary Options?

marsbit12/22 12:05

Introducing: Taker-Flow-Based Gamma Exposure

This article introduces a Taker-Flow-Based Gamma Exposure (GEX) model specifically designed for crypto options markets. Unlike traditional equity markets, crypto options have different participant behaviors and data availability, making classic GEX heuristics inaccurate. The new methodology leverages the unique transparency of crypto exchanges, where the taker of each trade is identifiable, to reconstruct actual dealer positioning by mirroring cumulative taker flows. This flow-based approach provides a realistic, net view of dealer gamma exposure across strikes and maturities. The resulting GEX metric helps identify price zones where dealer hedging flows are likely to stabilize (positive gamma) or destabilize (negative gamma) the market, offering traders a map to anticipate volatility regimes and potential pinning effects. The model is available for major cryptocurrencies on Deribit.

insights.glassnode12/18 17:16

Introducing: Taker-Flow-Based Gamma Exposure

insights.glassnode12/18 17:16

Introducing: Taker-Flow-Based Gamma Exposure

Introducing a flow-based approach to Gamma Exposure (GEX) tailored for crypto options markets. Unlike traditional equity markets, crypto options exhibit distinct participant behavior and trade motivations, making conventional GEX heuristics unreliable. By leveraging taker-level trade data from venues like Deribit, this methodology reconstructs dealer positioning by mirroring cumulative taker flows—strike by strike and maturity by maturity—rather than relying on static assumptions. The resulting GEX metric identifies zones where dealer hedging flows may either stabilize prices (positive gamma, causing "pinning") or amplify volatility (negative gamma, creating "slippery" zones). This framework provides a dynamic, realistic view of market structure, helping traders anticipate volatility regimes and key price levels in assets like BTC, ETH, and SOL.

insights.glassnode12/18 17:13

Introducing: Taker-Flow-Based Gamma Exposure

insights.glassnode12/18 17:13

Coins of the Year. How Cryptocurrency Traders Made Money on Gold

In 2025, while Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies experienced significant volatility, gold consistently reached new all-time highs. Crypto investors gained exposure to this rally through gold-backed stablecoins, a niche asset class that became one of the year's top performers with returns of approximately 65%. The leading tokens, Paxos' PAXG and Tether's XAUT, saw their combined market capitalization surge past $4 billion, dominating the sector. Gold itself hit a record high above $4,380 per ounce in October. In contrast, Bitcoin, which also peaked in October, fell over 30% from its high and was down 8% year-to-date. The article highlights that gold confirmed its role as a safe-haven asset during a year of geopolitical tension, notably after Donald Trump administration's policies began, while Bitcoin's hedging properties were questioned. Gold's performance (+26%) significantly outpaced Bitcoin and major US stock indices like the NASDAQ (+17%) and S&P 500 (+12%).

RBK-crypto12/17 15:54

Coins of the Year. How Cryptocurrency Traders Made Money on Gold

RBK-crypto12/17 15:54

Market Liquidity Survey: Under Diminishing Liquidity, Retail Investors 'Buy Lottery Tickets', Main Players 'Purchase Insurance'

Following the sharp market decline on October 11, the crypto market has entered a period of low activity and structural divergence. Analysis of order book depth, derivatives data, and stablecoin flows reveals a clear trend: liquidity is deteriorating, institutional players are adopting defensive strategies, while retail investors remain in a wait-and-see mode. Order book depth on major exchanges like Binance has weakened significantly, with both bid and ask liquidity thinning out. Altcoin open interest and trading volumes have also declined, indicating a lack of retail participation and speculative interest. A notable shift is observed in the options market. Bitcoin options now dominate trading activity, with put options—particularly those concentrated around the $85,000 strike—carrying significantly higher premiums than calls. This suggests that while retail traders are buying cheap, out-of-the-money call options (like “lottery tickets”), institutions are paying high premiums for downside protection, reflecting a bearish or defensive stance. The max pain point for December is around $100,000, indicating a key level where option sellers would profit most. Stablecoin data further highlights this divide. USDT reserves on exchanges have reached an all-time high, suggesting available capital from retail and non-compliant players waiting to enter. In contrast, USDC—predominantly used by U.S. institutions—has seen a sharp 40% withdrawal from exchanges, signaling institutional exodus or de-risking. Overall, the market shows fragile liquidity, major capital fleeing or hedging, and a cautious retail crowd. A break below the $85,000 support—where institutional puts are concentrated—may be more critical than any push toward $100,000.

marsbit12/15 09:29

Market Liquidity Survey: Under Diminishing Liquidity, Retail Investors 'Buy Lottery Tickets', Main Players 'Purchase Insurance'

marsbit12/15 09:29

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