# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Gold

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Gold", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Four Wars, One Logic: How Capital Reshapes Asset Prices in Conflict

The article analyzes how capital markets react to geopolitical conflicts through the lens of four major wars over the past 36 years: the 1991 Gulf War, the 2003 Iraq War, the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict, and the current Middle East tensions. It identifies a recurring pattern: markets fear uncertainty most, leading to surges in oil and gold prices and stock sell-offs during pre-conflict phases. However, once conflicts begin and outcomes become predictable, markets often reverse—oil and gold retreat while equities rebound sharply. Key insights include: - Markets discount uncertainty rather than conflict itself. - Commodity spikes are often temporary unless supply chains are fundamentally disrupted (as in Ukraine’s case). - Equities tend to bottom when conflict erupts, validating the Wall Street adage "buy when cannons roar." - Crypto behaves more like a high-risk asset (correlated with tech stocks) than a safe haven. The article advises defensive strategies: holding cash, hedging with gold/energy ETFs, focusing on broad equity indices, avoiding leverage, and resisting speculative bets. It emphasizes capital preservation over profit-seeking in volatile times.

比推03/06 06:14

Four Wars, One Logic: How Capital Reshapes Asset Prices in Conflict

比推03/06 06:14

Dialogue with Ray Dalio: Why I Only Trust Gold, Not Bitcoin?

In a recent interview, renowned investor Ray Dalio discusses the severe U.S. debt crisis and its implications. He identifies five key forces shaping the global order: debt and currency issues, domestic polarization, international conflict, technological advancement, and natural disasters. Dalio compares the debt problem to arterial plaque, where rising debt service costs squeeze other economic expenditures. He argues that government reform is structurally difficult due to political opposition and systemic inefficiencies. Dalio emphasizes gold as a critical asset due to its historical stability, transferability, and independence from promises, unlike fiat currencies or Bitcoin. He notes Bitcoin's limitations, including lack of privacy, central bank reluctance, and vulnerability to technological changes like quantum computing. Dalio tariffs can be a reasonable tool for revenue and addressing trade deficits but are not a complete solution. He highlights the need for economic independence amid growing global tensions. Education, civil order, and avoiding war are cited as keys to national success. Dalio warns that the U.S. is nearing a crisis point due to unmanageable debt, social division, and ideological conflicts, potentially leading to socialism or fascism. He also cautions that AI may not generate expected profits and could face competitive challenges from countries like China.

marsbit03/05 08:16

Dialogue with Ray Dalio: Why I Only Trust Gold, Not Bitcoin?

marsbit03/05 08:16

Why tokenization could make Solana a CLARITY Act winner

The article argues that Solana (SOL) is well-positioned to be a major beneficiary of the proposed U.S. CLARITY Act, which would provide regulatory clarity for digital assets. This follows former President Donald Trump's pro-crypto stance, which is seen as a long-term bullish signal for the market. Analysts point to Solana's speed, scalability, and robust infrastructure as key advantages, making it a prime candidate for increased Layer-1 use cases, particularly in tokenization. This thesis is supported by a record surge in tokenized gold trading volume on the Solana network, which jumped 290% amid market uncertainty. The piece concludes that tokenization is the sector expected to gain the most from the act, and Solana's significant share of this market positions it as a potential asymmetric winner.

ambcrypto03/04 20:02

Why tokenization could make Solana a CLARITY Act winner

ambcrypto03/04 20:02

Bitcoin’s hedge test begins as oil surges – Here’s what analysts say!

Rising oil prices, driven by Middle East conflicts and supply disruptions like the shutdown of Iraq's Rumaila field, are creating long-term inflationary pressures. This environment is testing Bitcoin's role as a hedge. Analysts note that energy-driven inflation is boosting BTC's appeal as a safe haven, evidenced by significant capital outflows from Iranian platforms and a rising BTC/Gold ratio. With technical support around $65,000 and growing demand, these factors could catalyze a breakout from its consolidation phase and set the stage for a Q2 rally.

ambcrypto03/04 17:02

Bitcoin’s hedge test begins as oil surges – Here’s what analysts say!

ambcrypto03/04 17:02

Ray Dalio: Gold is a better option than Bitcoin, tech stocks because…

Global economies faced significant uncertainty in 2025-2026 due to trade restrictions and geopolitical tensions, leading investors toward established assets like gold. According to Ray Dalio, gold is perceived as a safer, more established store of value, especially since central banks and individuals are acquiring it as a hedge against inflation and debt. Gold has shown strong performance, trading within an ascending channel and avoiding major drawdowns. In contrast, Bitcoin lags behind due to its lack of privacy and traceable transactions, which deter central banks from holding it. Dalio also notes that Bitcoin has a high correlation with tech stocks, making it vulnerable during market downturns. Investors tend to liquidate BTC during financial stress, adding downward pressure. While gold benefits from its role as a portfolio diversifier and sustained demand, Bitcoin remains influenced by global liquidity and risk sentiment. For Bitcoin to rival gold, a shift in demand and improved market liquidity would be necessary. Until then, gold is positioned to outperform.

ambcrypto03/04 15:02

Ray Dalio: Gold is a better option than Bitcoin, tech stocks because…

ambcrypto03/04 15:02

Tiger Research: Can Bitcoin, Plunging Amid Geopolitical Crisis, Still Be Called 'Digital Gold'?

Tiger Research questions Bitcoin's status as "digital gold" after its price fell sharply during the Iran-Israel geopolitical crisis in February 2026, while gold rose. Historical data from six major crises shows Bitcoin consistently drops during such events, unlike gold. Neither sovereign states (which hoard gold but exclude Bitcoin from reserves) nor investors treat Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset. For investors, it falls with stocks but doesn’t rise with them—a poor risk profile. Three structural asymmetries explain this gap: 1) market structure (Bitcoin’s derivatives market is 6.5x larger than spot, causing cascading sell-offs), 2) participant composition (leveraged traders dominate vs. patient capital in gold), and 3) behavioral accumulation (gold has decades of "crisis buying" trust; Bitcoin lacks this record). However, Bitcoin proves useful in crises for its functional value—enabling transfers when borders close or banks fail, as seen in Ukraine and Iran. For Bitcoin to become "next-generation gold," these asymmetries must shrink. Key enablers include generational shift (as digital-native generations inherit wealth) and algorithmic adoption (embedding "buy in crisis" logic into AI trading systems. Bitcoin isn’t digital gold yet, but could evolve into a new asset class if these changes occur.

marsbit03/04 12:10

Tiger Research: Can Bitcoin, Plunging Amid Geopolitical Crisis, Still Be Called 'Digital Gold'?

marsbit03/04 12:10

Global Asset Plunge: Hormuz, Chips, and a Korean Holiday

A major geopolitical shock occurred on February 28th when a US-Israel coalition launched a massive airstrike on Iran, resulting in significant global market turmoil. This event served as a severe stress test for popular financial narratives, particularly the "debasement trade" which posits that gold and Bitcoin act as hedges against currency devaluation during crises. Initially, gold spiked but then fell over 4%, while silver plummeted 8%. Bitcoin remained largely stagnant. Contrary to expectations, the US Dollar Index rose 1.1%. The core insight was that in an acute crisis, the US dollar, due to its deep liquidity, became the primary safe-haven asset as investors rushed to cover margins and deleverage. South Korea's market, closed for a holiday, experienced a delayed and extreme reaction, with the KOSPI crashing 7.24% upon reopening. This sell-off was exacerbated by high retail leverage and concentrated exposure in key semiconductor firms like Samsung and SK Hynix, critical to the global AI supply chain. The conflict also raised fears about oil supply disruptions via the Strait of Hormuz, directly impacting energy-dependent economies and manufacturing. The event demonstrated that while long-term narratives about dollar debasement and the rise of hard assets remain valid, acute crises overwhelmingly favor dollar liquidity. In moments of panic, the financial system's architecture ensures that the dollar remains the ultimate refuge.

marsbit03/04 05:58

Global Asset Plunge: Hormuz, Chips, and a Korean Holiday

marsbit03/04 05:58

XRP Is Not Competing For Digital Gold Status, The Settlement Layer Is The Real Deal

XRP is not competing to be "digital gold" but is positioning itself as a global settlement layer, according to analyst Luke Suther. He argues that XRP's value lies in its utility as a digital bridge for moving value instantly across borders, especially in a multipolar world where no single currency dominates. While gold serves as a store of value and reserve asset, XRP facilitates frictionless, high-speed settlements. This complementary role makes it essential for institutions seeking efficient cross-border liquidity free from political interference. Another expert, Versan Aljarrah, emphasizes that such neutral settlement infrastructure is becoming a national security priority for countries avoiding dollar-dominated systems.

bitcoinist03/04 04:08

XRP Is Not Competing For Digital Gold Status, The Settlement Layer Is The Real Deal

bitcoinist03/04 04:08

Flames of War Reignited: How the Middle East Conflict Reshapes the Risk Premium of Gold and Crude Oil

Renewed conflict in the Middle East is reshaping risk premiums for gold and crude oil, driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and supply disruption risks. The article analyzes how the escalation, particularly near the Strait of Hormuz—a critical chokepoint for global oil transit—has amplified volatility in energy and safe-haven assets. Oil prices surged due to concerns over supply security, rising shipping and insurance costs, and potential disruptions, even without actual supply cuts. Gold strengthened as investors sought refuge amid elevated uncertainty and rising inflation expectations, supported by central bank buying and ETF inflows. The transmission mechanisms include: (1) direct supply shocks impacting energy and related commodities; (2) rising inflation expectations influencing monetary policy and real interest rates; and (3) risk aversion favoring safe assets like gold and the dollar while pressuring equities. Historically, conflicts like the Gulf War, Iraq War, and Russia-Ukraine war triggered similar short-term spikes in oil and gold, with prices often overshooting initially before stabilizing as situations clarify. Bitcoin showed mixed behavior—sometimes correlating with risk assets during sell-offs but also acting as a capital flight tool in certain regions. It remains a high-volatility asset rather than a stable safe haven. Key variables ahead include: potential conflict spillover, actual shipping disruptions, and central bank responses to persistent energy-led inflation. Market pricing will hinge on whether supply shocks materialize, inflation resurges, and risk appetite contracts. In summary, war溢价 is repricing commodities, with gold benefiting from避险 demand and oil from physical risks, while Bitcoin faces liquidity and sentiment pressures. The outlook depends on geopolitical developments and their macroeconomic ripple effects.

marsbit03/04 02:28

Flames of War Reignited: How the Middle East Conflict Reshapes the Risk Premium of Gold and Crude Oil

marsbit03/04 02:28

March 4 Market Summary: U.S. Stocks Slaughtered, Cryptocurrencies Show Resilience

March 4 Market Summary: U.S. stocks experienced a sharp decline, with the Dow dropping 403 points (-0.83%), the S&P 500 falling 0.94%, and the Nasdaq losing 1.02%. Intraday losses were even more severe, reaching over 2.5% amid heightened panic due to the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict and Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices surged, with WTI rising 8.2% to $77.05/barrel. Unexpectedly, gold plummeted 3.7% as the dollar strengthened, while cryptocurrencies demonstrated resilience. Bitcoin rose 5.8% to around $69,413, and Ethereum held near $2,000. The crypto market cap remained stable at $2.41 trillion. Key factors supporting crypto include the "digital gold" narrative, reduced selling by long-term holders and miners, and accumulation by large holders. Technical analysis suggests $65,000 is a critical support level for Bitcoin. Market sentiment hinges on the conflict's duration; a prolonged war could push oil above $100, spur inflation and potential Fed rate hikes, further pressuring stocks. However, some analysts, like Tom Lee, anticipate a market rebound in March led by tech and crypto.

marsbit03/04 01:20

March 4 Market Summary: U.S. Stocks Slaughtered, Cryptocurrencies Show Resilience