# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Gambling

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Gambling", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Nibbling Away at a Hundred-Billion-Dollar Gambling Cake, Prediction Markets Face Bans from Multiple States

Prediction markets are facing regulatory crackdowns in multiple U.S. states, with Tennessee’s Sports Wagering Council (SWC) recently issuing cease-and-desist orders to platforms including Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com. These platforms, though registered with the CFTC as designated contract markets, are accused of offering illegal sports betting products without state licensing. They must halt operations in Tennessee by January 31 or face penalties. The conflict stems from the rapid growth of both the legal U.S. sports betting market—which reached $148.7 billion in handle in 2024—and prediction markets, which saw trading volume surge to $40 billion in 2025, up 400% year-over-year. Sports-related event contracts now dominate prediction market activity. While sports betting is regulated at the state level, prediction markets subject to federal oversight argue they offer “event contracts” rather than gambling, creating a regulatory loophole. This has led to legal battles in several states, including Nevada, New Jersey, and Maryland, with mixed court rulings so far. The outcome of ongoing appeals could set a national precedent, determining whether prediction markets must comply with state gambling regulations or can operate under federal rules alone.

比推01/12 15:23

Nibbling Away at a Hundred-Billion-Dollar Gambling Cake, Prediction Markets Face Bans from Multiple States

比推01/12 15:23

Disrupting the Billion-Dollar Gambling Industry, Prediction Markets Face Crackdown from the Established Order

Pioneering prediction markets like Polymarket, Kalshi, and Crypto.com’s Truth Predict are facing regulatory pushback in the U.S., particularly from state authorities overseeing sports betting. On January 9, the Tennessee Sports Wagering Council (SWC) issued cease-and-desist orders to these platforms, accusing them of offering illegal sports gambling products without state licensing, despite being registered with the CFTC as designated contract markets. The conflict stems from the rapid growth of both sectors. Since the federal ban on sports betting was overturned in 2018, 30 states—including Tennessee—have legalized online sports betting, generating billions in wagers and significant tax revenue. In 2024 alone, U.S. sports betting handle reached $148.74 billion, with taxes contributing $2.82 billion. Tennessee collected $97.16 million in taxes from sports betting in 2024. Prediction markets, which trade “event contracts” classified as financial derivatives under CFTC jurisdiction, have surged in popularity. Their 2025 trading volume hit $40 billion, a 400% increase from 2023, with sports-related contracts being the largest category. This growth threatens traditional sportsbooks, whose stocks have underperformed the market. Multiple states—including Maryland, Ohio, and Nevada—have taken action against prediction markets. Kalshi has challenged these actions in court, arguing federal compliance should preempt state regulations, but court rulings have been mixed. The legal battles are expected to escalate, potentially reaching the Supreme Court, as states defend their regulatory authority and tax base against what they perceive as unlicensed gambling operations.

marsbit01/12 02:55

Disrupting the Billion-Dollar Gambling Industry, Prediction Markets Face Crackdown from the Established Order

marsbit01/12 02:55

Disrupting the Billion-Dollar Gambling Industry, Prediction Markets Are Being Hunted by the Old Order

Prediction markets are facing regulatory crackdowns in the United States, particularly from state-level authorities overseeing the lucrative sports betting industry. The Tennessee Sports Wagering Council (SWC) recently issued cease-and-desist orders to platforms like Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com, demanding they halt sports-related prediction contracts for state residents. The SWC alleges these platforms are offering illegal gambling services without a state license, despite being registered with the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as designated contract markets. This conflict stems from the rapid growth of both sectors. Since the federal ban on sports betting was overturned in 2018, the legal U.S. sports betting market has exploded, reaching nearly $150 billion in total bets in 2024. Tennessee, which legalized online-only sports betting, collected over $97 million in tax revenue from it in 2024. Prediction markets, which frame their offerings as "event contracts" (financial derivatives under CFTC purview) rather than gambling, have seen even more explosive growth, with trading volume surging 400% to $40 billion in 2025, with sports-related contracts being the largest category. This creates a "regulatory arbitrage," allowing prediction markets to operate without state licenses, addiction controls, or high gambling taxes, directly competing with and eroding the tax base of the traditional sports betting industry. The friction is not isolated to Tennessee; multiple other states have taken similar action. Kalshi has challenged several states in court, arguing federal regulation preempts state law, but court rulings have been mixed and the issue is expected to eventually be decided by the U.S. Supreme Court. The core of the conflict is the fundamental similarity of the services offered versus their differing regulatory classifications, setting the stage for a prolonged legal battle over this grey area.

Odaily星球日报01/12 02:50

Disrupting the Billion-Dollar Gambling Industry, Prediction Markets Are Being Hunted by the Old Order

Odaily星球日报01/12 02:50

Andrew Tate, Russel Brand Among Controversial Streamers Enabled for Audience Bitcoin Payments on Rumble

Rumble, a video platform popular with conservative commentators and controversial figures, has introduced direct Bitcoin and cryptocurrency tipping for creators. This feature, built using Tether's Wallet Development Kit, allows users to support creators like Andrew Tate and Russell Brand without relying on traditional advertising or banks. MoonPay will handle crypto conversions to and from traditional payment methods. Rumble CEO Chris Pavlovski stated this aligns with the platform's commitment to free speech and financial freedom. The platform is known for its minimal content moderation and has attracted users banned from other sites. The article also highlights concerns about crypto casino streams on other platforms glamorizing gambling and influencing young viewers.

ccn.com01/08 12:05

From a "Preemptive Bet" Trade, Understanding the Hottest Web3 Trend of 2025: Prediction Markets

In early January 2025, a significant transaction on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket drew widespread attention. An account invested approximately $32,537 over four days betting that Venezuelan President Maduro would leave office by January 31. The bet was placed hours before related geopolitical news became public, eventually yielding over $400,000 in profit as the event's perceived likelihood surged. This incident highlights the growing influence of prediction markets—a rapidly expanding Web3 sector in 2025. Prediction markets use financial incentives to aggregate dispersed information, allowing participants to trade on event outcomes. Prices reflect collective intelligence, often outperforming traditional polls, as seen during the 2024 U.S. election. Key platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have attracted over $3.15 billion in funding, with Polymarket’s valuation reaching $8–9 billion after a strategic investment from ICE. The sector is projected to grow from $900 million in trading volume in 2024 to $40 billion in 2025, with users increasing from 4 million to 15 million. Unlike gambling, prediction markets use transparent, market-driven pricing and serve as data products for decision-making, attracting researchers and institutional players. Their growth is fueled by regulatory clarity from the CFTC, expanded event categories, and improved technology. However, risks remain, including potential insider trading and market manipulation. Participation is prohibited in mainland China. Nonetheless, prediction markets represent a shift in Web3 toward real-world information infrastructure rather than pure asset speculation.

marsbit01/07 06:37

From a "Preemptive Bet" Trade, Understanding the Hottest Web3 Trend of 2025: Prediction Markets

marsbit01/07 06:37

Stop Gambling Within the Framework of Luck

Stop Gambling Under the Guise of Fortune Human instinct drives us to act quickly when facing problems, creating an illusion that action alone can ease the anxiety of the unknown. However, the greatest trap lies in the mismatch between rapid action and the resources invested. Most actions are merely pseudo-diligence aimed at alleviating anxiety. When the speed of action surpasses the precision of thought, the consumption of capital is no longer an investment—it becomes a gamble on luck. This is a common pitfall, and the ability to confront it and develop effective solutions truly separates individuals. The first step is to find your unique edge. Rather than following idealized or high-barrier methods, the author suggests using AI as a "cognitive leverage amplifier" to help identify personal strengths. By engaging in detailed self-analysis through AI conversations—discussing childhood, personality, investment experiences, and missed opportunities—one can uncover and refine their advantages through constructive dialogue and counterarguments. The second step involves building an execution framework. After identifying a direction, it’s crucial to establish a systematic approach that allows agile responses to dynamic market conditions. This framework is built through复盘 (review and reflection)—extracting underlying logical patterns from past experiences, such as recognizing similar opportunities like $AERO and $ZORA based on Coinbase’s strategic needs, and turning them into a reusable decision model: signal identification → logic verification → execution. In essence, the key is to know yourself. Most trading pain stems from a mismatch between personality and holdings. Abandon the fantasy of being all-capable; recognize your boundaries, cultivate your strengths, and use them within a structured framework to succeed.

marsbit01/05 05:38

Stop Gambling Within the Framework of Luck

marsbit01/05 05:38

Why Did It Take Prediction Markets Nearly 40 Years to Explode?

This article explores the explosive growth of prediction markets in 2025, which saw an estimated 400% increase in trading volume, reaching $40 billion, and a user base growing to 15 million. It examines why, despite existing since the 1980s (e.g., Iowa Electronic Markets), prediction markets only recently surged in popularity. Key factors for the 2025 boom include major regulatory progress. The CFTC approved platforms like Polymarket as designated contract markets, allowing them to operate legally in the US. This compliance enabled wider distribution, integration into major apps like Robinhood, and attracted institutional investment, with both Polymarket and Kalshi securing over $1 billion in new funding. Regulatory clarity also allowed for a diversification of event types, including sports and crypto, which now dominate trading volume. The article contrasts prediction markets with traditional gambling, noting the US government distinguishes them based on their "positive externalities." Unlike sportsbooks that set odds, prediction markets facilitate peer-to-peer betting, aggregating collective knowledge to improve information efficiency and decision-making, which regulators view as socially beneficial despite gambling-like elements. A provocative section discusses insider trading. Some argue that insiders using non-public information on anonymous, decentralized platforms like Polymarket can enhance market accuracy and serve as a form of information discovery. However, this may harm retail trader trust and long-term liquidity. In conclusion, the convergence of regulatory approval, product improvement, and AI-driven tools created a perfect environment for prediction markets to thrive in 2025, though questions about fairness, competition, and global adoption remain open.

marsbit12/31 03:49

Why Did It Take Prediction Markets Nearly 40 Years to Explode?

marsbit12/31 03:49

The Rise of Long-Term Speculation: Insights into the Financial Dilemmas and High-Stakes Gambles of a New Generation

The article "The Rise of Long-Term Speculation: A Generation's Financial Trap and High-Stakes Gamble" argues that long-term speculation is becoming the dominant socioeconomic theme for young generations. Traditional wealth-building paths—stable careers, home ownership, and gradual savings—are now inaccessible due to wealth inequality (with Baby Boomers holding 50% of wealth vs. Millennials' 10%), rising costs, and AI-driven job displacement. Young people, while basic needs are met, are denied higher Maslow-level aspirations (purpose, freedom, self-actualization) through conventional means. Social media exacerbates dissatisfaction by constantly showcasing unattainable lifestyles. This creates a "rational" turn to high-risk, high-reward avenues like crypto, prediction markets, sports betting, and meme stocks—the only domains where they feel agency and a non-zero chance of escape. Platforms facilitating speculation (e.g., Polymarket, Coinbase, DraftKings) profit regardless of user outcomes, making them viable long-term investments. The author stresses this is a descriptive, not prescriptive, analysis: a symptom of systemic failure, but one driving enduring behavioral shifts.

比推12/29 14:23

The Rise of Long-Term Speculation: Insights into the Financial Dilemmas and High-Stakes Gambles of a New Generation

比推12/29 14:23

All-In on Crypto, Leverage Maxed Out: Why Do Young People Prefer Gambling Over Hard Work?

The article explores the rise of "long-term speculation" as a dominant socio-economic theme, arguing that younger generations are increasingly turning to high-risk, high-reward financial activities like cryptocurrency trading, prediction markets, and sports betting because traditional paths to wealth accumulation—such as stable careers, home ownership, and gradual savings—are no longer viable. Driven by unaffordable housing, stagnant wages, generational wealth inequality, and the threat of AI-driven job displacement, young people feel economically trapped. Social media exacerbates this by constantly showcasing unattainable lifestyles, creating a perpetual sense of lack. With basic survival needs met but higher aspirations blocked, they seek control and meaning through speculation, where even a small chance of success feels more rational than certain stagnation. Platforms facilitating this behavior—exchanges, prediction markets, sportsbooks, and educational content sellers—profit regardless of user outcomes. The author frames this not as financial illiteracy but as a rational response to systemic failure, predicting that speculative behavior will persist as economic conditions worsen. The piece concludes with a moral reflection on the phenomenon, acknowledging its tragic nature while recognizing the strategic opportunities it presents for platforms and informed participants.

marsbit12/29 08:04

All-In on Crypto, Leverage Maxed Out: Why Do Young People Prefer Gambling Over Hard Work?

marsbit12/29 08:04

Prediction Market Veteran Narrates a Decade of Evolution: From Augur's 'Innovation Theater' to Polymarket's Practical Breakthrough

Prediction market pioneer Joey, co-founder of Augur, reflects on the evolution of the sector over the past decade. He identifies Augur’s early challenges—low liquidity, poor user experience, and regulatory uncertainty—as key reasons it initially failed to achieve product-market fit. While Augur demonstrated the potential of crypto-native innovation, it also revealed the gap between theoretical decentralization and practical usability, which he refers to as "innovation theater." Key lessons include the need to solve the oracle problem (real-world data integration) and reduce user barriers rather than relying solely on decentralization ideals. Founders should avoid premature decentralization by first testing centralized prototypes before moving on-chain. Polymarket’s recent success stems from focusing on real-time event prediction (elections, sports), high liquidity mechanisms, and attracting non-crypto users. It has proven effective as an information market, outperforming traditional polls in accuracy, especially during events like the 2024 U.S. election. Joey argues that prediction markets are evolving beyond gambling into risk-hedging tools—for example, helping businesses forecast supply chain disruptions. This shift reflects crypto’s broader move from speculation to utility. While speculation exists, the core value lies in information discovery. Regarding regulation, he expects the U.S. to enforce KYC/AML rules, limiting anonymity. The EU and Asia may adopt more favorable policies, but U.S. standards could dominate globally. Clear regulation could attract institutional participation, but overregulation—such as banning certain event types—may stifle innovation. He advises projects to collaborate with regulators rather than adopt a confrontational approach.

marsbit12/23 04:07

Prediction Market Veteran Narrates a Decade of Evolution: From Augur's 'Innovation Theater' to Polymarket's Practical Breakthrough