# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Forecast

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Forecast", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Three AI tools predict XRP price on August 1st

"Three AI tools have made price predictions for XRP as of August 1st. Despite Bitcoin's struggles in July, XRP is currently trading at around $1.1, with a market cap of $68.9 billion and a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $575.7 million, indicating investor interest. To navigate the uncertain price dynamics, analysis was sought from three different AI agents using complex mathematical models and machine learning: 1. **CoinCodex's predictive algorithm** offered the most optimistic forecast. It predicts the average price of XRP in August 2026 will rise to $1.52, with a minimum not falling below $1.21, anticipating a strong influx of liquidity and a bullish sentiment. 2. **Changelly's AI agent** presented a more conservative and realistic outlook based on technical analysis. It forecasts an average August price of $1.18, with a monthly peak unlikely to exceed $1.21, suggesting consolidation without aggressive upward breaks. 3. **DigitalCoinPrice's neural network**, analyzing macroeconomic indicators and trading volumes, showed maximum caution. It predicts very low volatility, with the average price stabilizing at $1.11 and a maximum price also at $1.11. In summary, the AI tools present divergent views: one predicts confident growth above $1.50, another forecasts a slight increase, and the third anticipates a sideways trend (stagnation). This underscores a key rule of the cryptocurrency market: no algorithm offers a 100% guarantee. Investors should always conduct their own research and be aware of the risks."

cryptonews.ru12 ч. назад

Three AI tools predict XRP price on August 1st

cryptonews.ru12 ч. назад

SpaceX Shares Predicted to Recover No Earlier Than Early 2027

Analysts predict that a significant recovery in SpaceX's share price is unlikely before early 2027, when the current insider lock-up period is scheduled to end. Recently, shares have traded in a narrow range around $118-$124, still 48% below their 52-week high of $225.64. The short-term outlook depends heavily on potential insider selling, especially with the 52-week low of $110.85 acting as a floor. SpaceX's market capitalization stands at $1.56 trillion, but the company is not yet profitable, as evidenced by a $4.9 billion net loss in 2025 and an additional $4.28 billion loss in Q1 2026, attributed to heavy investments in Starship and AI infrastructure. The stock is currently trading at over 84 times trailing revenue, a valuation analysts say depends on a substantial future increase in Starlink's cash flow. The unlocking of 911.5 million shares worth ~$116 billion on August 6, 2026, followed by a phased release schedule, adds significant uncertainty. Quarterly results on August 4, 2026, could provide a short-term catalyst if Starlink performs strongly or Starship milestones are met. Wall Street analyst consensus for a 12-month price target is around $240, but individual forecasts vary widely from $63 to $800, reflecting deep divisions over the company's recovery prospects and future valuation. Key ratings include Morgan Stanley's $300 target and Oppenheimer's more modest $190 target.

cryptonews.ru17 ч. назад

SpaceX Shares Predicted to Recover No Earlier Than Early 2027

cryptonews.ru17 ч. назад

Five Historic Indicators Simultaneously Flash Signals: Bitcoin Bear Market Bottoms Out

Title: "Five Major Historical Indicators Simultaneously Flash, Bitcoin Bear Market Hits Bottom" Bitcoin is currently down 50% from its all-time high, with the bear market persisting over 40 weeks. A set of long-term cyclical indicators suggests the market may be at or nearing a price and time-cycle low point. Key Indicators: 1. Nasdaq/BTC Relative Strength: The 14-week moving average of the Nasdaq 100/BTC ratio's RSI has reached a historically unprecedented overbought level of 72.6, indicating Bitcoin is extremely oversold relative to equities. Historically, such extremes have preceded major cycle lows and strong outperformance by Bitcoin over the next 1-3 years. 2. Long-Term Expected Returns: Past instances of extreme Nasdaq/BTC RSI readings have been followed by asymmetric positive returns for Bitcoin over a 1-3 year horizon, though the magnitude of gains has diminished each cycle. 3. Gold/BTC Relative Strength: A similar RSI indicator for the Gold/BTC ratio also hit a record high in February 2026, another signal aligning with historical cycle lows for Bitcoin. 4. Bitcoin Realized Price: The on-chain realized price (average cost basis) is currently $53,000, 18% above the spot price. Historically, Bitcoin's spot price has spent only 12% of its time below this level, and every past bear market bottom has occurred below the realized price. 5. Cycle Clock: Previous cycles saw price lows form around 60 weeks after the all-time high. The current cycle is at week 40. If this pattern holds, a low point could form around late November 2026. Conclusion: The convergence of these rare, extreme signals points to Bitcoin being at or very near a long-term cyclical bottom, likely forming before the end of 2026. This period may present a highly attractive opportunity for long-term accumulation, with an asymmetric return profile favoring significant upside over the next 1-3 years, despite noted risks like diminishing marginal returns, small sample size, and potential structural market changes.

marsbit07/24 07:13

Five Historic Indicators Simultaneously Flash Signals: Bitcoin Bear Market Bottoms Out

marsbit07/24 07:13

Bitcoin – ‘Break above $80K unlikely’ – CoinShares identifies missing trigger

Bitcoin is recovering, trading at $63,921, but a CoinShares report indicates the rally is driven by macroeconomic shifts, not crypto-specific developments. Recent lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data raised expectations of Federal Reserve monetary easing, reversing an eight-week outflow trend and triggering inflows into Bitcoin investment products. However, the report suggests Bitcoin has likely found a short-term bottom but is unlikely to break above $80,000 without a clear shift in Fed policy. It is expected to trade in a range, potentially between $60,000 and $120,000, until there are definitive signs of monetary easing. Investor sentiment remains cautious, with interest growing in blockchain stocks and the Crypto Fear and Greed Index indicating "extreme fear."

ambcrypto07/18 14:02

Bitcoin – ‘Break above $80K unlikely’ – CoinShares identifies missing trigger

ambcrypto07/18 14:02

Coinbase Stock Plummets 30% Year-to-Date, Wall Street Sees It Nearing Bottom

Coinbase's stock (COIN) has fallen nearly 30% year-to-date, but some analysts believe it's nearing a bottom. Investment bank William Blair downgraded its revenue and profit forecasts for Coinbase for 2026 and 2027, yet maintained its "outperform" rating. The firm argues that negative factors are already priced in and investors should hold, noting structural improvements like Bitcoin ETFs and a more mature regulatory landscape compared to 2022. It highlighted Coinbase's Base network and growing derivatives business as future profit drivers, despite predicting a 44% drop in total trading volume for the year. Technically, analyst John Bollinger points to a potential "W" double-bottom pattern forming in Bitcoin's price, which could signal a trend reversal if completed. On-chain data from Glassnode shows selling pressure from long-term holders may have peaked, and recent price lows attracted buying. However, a sustained uptrend isn't confirmed due to a lack of consistent spot market buying pressure. William Blair anticipates a trading volume recovery of over 32% in 2027, suggesting the current cycle's low point may arrive in late 2026.

marsbit07/16 13:54

Coinbase Stock Plummets 30% Year-to-Date, Wall Street Sees It Nearing Bottom

marsbit07/16 13:54

Tom Lee Says Ethereum Could Lead AI-Era Finance as Institutional Adoption Accelerates

At the WebX 2026 conference in Tokyo, Fundstrat's Tom Lee presented a bullish case for Ethereum, arguing it could become the foundational settlement layer for the AI era. He credited this potential to leadership changes at the Ethereum Foundation and accelerating institutional adoption. Lee cited key 2026 trends—U.S. monetary policy, the CLARITY Act, and AI investment—as macro factors impacting crypto. He highlighted rising institutional demand, noting Wall Street's growing preference for Ethereum. Comparing the current market to the post-1987 stock market recovery, Lee suggested Ethereum may be forming a significant bottom before a potential upswing. Supporting his outlook, Lee mentioned developments like Robinhood Chain and revealed that Bitmine now holds roughly 5.74 million ETH (~4.8% of supply), with plans to increase to about 5%. He framed this as part of a broader institutional shift toward investing in Ethereum's infrastructure for long-term value, beyond short-term price movements.

TheNewsCrypto07/13 11:09

Tom Lee Says Ethereum Could Lead AI-Era Finance as Institutional Adoption Accelerates

TheNewsCrypto07/13 11:09

Sky Protocol prints record $419mln revenue – Will 2026 keep favoring it?

Sky Protocol reported strong growth amid a struggling broader crypto market in 2026, with its annualized gross revenue run rate reaching a record $419.08 million. The protocol's reserves grew to $82.5 million, and cumulative yield for sUSDS holders surpassed $250 million. sUSDS deposits and USDS supply saw significant year-over-year increases of 85% and 96.9%, respectively. Following the positive report, the native token SKY posted gains, reclaiming key moving averages and trading around $0.0602. The rally was supported by increased capital inflows, with USD inflows surging to $120 million and strengthened demand in both Spot and Futures markets. Technical indicators like the Stochastic Momentum Index suggested improving momentum, potentially opening the door for a move toward $0.064. However, a loss of momentum could see SKY retreat to $0.056. The team also announced plans to enhance ecosystem security and reduce operational costs.

ambcrypto07/11 12:02

Sky Protocol prints record $419mln revenue – Will 2026 keep favoring it?

ambcrypto07/11 12:02

MORPHO tests key resistance after Solana launch—Will the breakout hold?

Morpho (MORPHO) has officially launched on the Solana network, with trading now available on DEXs like Raydium and Jupiter. Following the news, the token's price surged 8.34% in 24 hours, accompanied by significant increases in trading volume (105%) and Open Interest (18%), indicating strong short-term bullish momentum. This aligns with a recent forecast setting a $60 price target for MORPHO. Technically, the token has been consolidating within a range, approximately between $1.64 and $2.28, since April. A recent 43% rally from June 23 has pushed the price to test key resistance. While the RSI supports the upward move, the Accumulation/Distribution indicator suggests underlying selling pressure remains. Although a bullish breakout appears to be forming, analysts urge caution. The price has attempted to break out of this range twice since May, only to reverse back toward the $1.60 support level each time. For a confirmed bullish trend, a daily close above the late-May swing high of $2.42 is needed. Traders are advised to wait for this confirmation or have clear exit strategies, as the current $2.20-$2.42 zone represents a critical supply area that could trigger another reversal.

ambcrypto07/11 03:32

MORPHO tests key resistance after Solana launch—Will the breakout hold?

ambcrypto07/11 03:32

Bitcoin’s ‘next major buying opportunity’ forms in Q4 – Former NASA researcher explains why!

Bitcoin's price rose 2.32% to $64,380.20, yet failed to breach the $80k resistance level from mid-May. While technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest continued bullish momentum, on-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals a mixed picture. The market appears to be in a transitional phase, with U.S. investor caution evident through $10 billion in ETF outflows since October 2025 and a persistently negative Coinbase Premium. However, new large investors (whales) are accumulating BTC, absorbing selling pressure and potentially preventing steeper declines. Analyst Benjamin Cowen and others remain optimistic, pointing to historical cycles. One analyst cites a 4-year cycle model, suggesting Q4 2026 could present the next major buying opportunity, with significant potential gains in 2027. Another analyst, Adam Livingston, notes Bitcoin is currently trading only 19.2% above its realized price—well below the historical average premium of 81.9%—and that similar past valuations have led to substantial medium-term returns. Overall, despite weak short-term sentiment and a lack of new capital inflows, the community anticipates a strong future trajectory for Bitcoin based on cyclical patterns and current undervaluation.

ambcrypto07/10 20:02

Bitcoin’s ‘next major buying opportunity’ forms in Q4 – Former NASA researcher explains why!

ambcrypto07/10 20:02

Wall Street's Take on the June Fed Meeting Minutes: Focus on Core Inflation, No Short-Term Urgency to Hike Rates

Wall Street's View on Fed June Minutes: Inflation is the Key, No Urgency for Near-Term Hike The minutes of the Federal Reserve's June FOMC meeting revealed a unified Wall Street interpretation: inflation remains the true determinant for future policy moves. Major institutions including Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Citigroup concluded that the Fed remains data-dependent, with its path hinging on upcoming inflation data. Key takeaways from the minutes: * **No Immediate Tightening**: Despite "a few" participants seeing reasons to hike, none actively advocated for it at the June meeting. The consensus was to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%. * **Inflation as the Decisive Factor**: The Fed outlined two primary scenarios. If inflation declines "soon" toward the 2% target, "almost all" officials would support maintaining or eventually cutting rates. If inflation persists high due to factors like AI demand or supply shocks, "almost all" would see some policy tightening as necessary. * **Patience is Warranted**: Officials noted inflation remains above target but cited anchored inflation expectations and a labor market not currently driving price pressures as reasons for patience. The Fed is focused on the *direction* of inflation over the next few months. * **No Policy Framework Shift**: The minutes reaffirmed a data-dependent approach rather than a fundamental shift toward pre-emptive tightening. Institutional Forecasts: * **Morgan Stanley**: Expects rates on hold in 2026, with potential cuts in 2027 if inflation cools. * **Goldman Sachs**: Baseline scenario sees rates unchanged through 2026, with inflation moderating gradually. * **Citigroup**: Takes a more dovish view, suggesting market pricing for a July hike is too aggressive and forecasting potential rate cuts starting in late 2026. Overall, the minutes were perceived as marginally dovish, emphasizing a watchful stance on inflation data with no near-term urgency to hike.

marsbit07/09 02:09

Wall Street's Take on the June Fed Meeting Minutes: Focus on Core Inflation, No Short-Term Urgency to Hike Rates