# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Fed

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Fed", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Shorting the Dip, Buying the Rally? FOMC Outcome Reveals the Truth Behind Bitcoin (BTC) Price Trends

Based on historical data from 2025, Bitcoin's (BTC) price action around FOMC meetings reveals a distinct pattern: the market often prices in macroeconomic expectations in advance, leading to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" dynamic. Despite the actual policy decisions, BTC typically experiences selling pressure post-announcement, even during rate-cut cycles. Key findings show that BTC declined after most FOMC events in 2025, with the sharpest seven-day drops (-6.9% and -8%) occurring after the two 25-basis-point rate cuts in September and October. In contrast, meetings with unchanged rates resulted in mixed performance, ranging from +6.92% to -4.58%. This counterintuitive reaction is attributed to structural market dynamics rather than macroeconomic fundamentals. Before FOMC meetings, especially in July, September, and October, significant capital inflows and leveraged long positions were observed, leading to reduced spot liquidity. This over-leveraging often meant that any "hawkish" momentum was already priced in, leaving the market vulnerable to a sell-off once the actual decision was announced. Analysts note that FOMC events act more as market reset points than directional catalysts. When policy outcomes are highly anticipated, pre-meeting volatility compresses, and post-announcement volatility expands, creating predictable short-term dislocations. The data suggests that traders should prepare for heightened volatility, with potential retests of key support levels, such as $88,000, following the typical post-FOMC decline.

cointelegraph_中文12/11 05:16

Shorting the Dip, Buying the Rally? FOMC Outcome Reveals the Truth Behind Bitcoin (BTC) Price Trends

cointelegraph_中文12/11 05:16

Powell: Weakening Employment, Inflation Still High, No One Talks About Rate Hikes Now

In his latest address, Federal Reserve Chair Powell highlighted a noticeable cooling in the U.S. labor market, marked by slower hiring and reduced layoffs, declining challenges in recruitment, and diminished household expectations for job opportunities. The unemployment rate has risen to approximately 4.4%, with employment gains significantly weaker than at the start of the year. This slowdown stems partly from reduced labor supply—due to decreased immigration and lower participation rates—but also reflects weakening labor demand itself. On inflation, core PCE remains at 2.8% year-on-year, above the long-term 2% target. While goods inflation has edged up due to tariffs, service inflation continues to moderate. Although overall inflation has declined substantially from its 2022 peak, it has not yet reached a level that fully assures the Fed. The FOMC responded by cutting rates by 25 basis points and initiating short-term Treasury purchases to maintain ample reserves and ensure effective policy transmission. Powell emphasized that, with rising employment risks and persistently elevated inflation, there is no "risk-free" policy path. The Fed must carefully balance its dual mandate constraints. He noted that interest rates are nearing a neutral range, and future policy decisions will be data-dependent, avoiding preset directions and instead being assessed meeting by meeting based on economic conditions and risks.

marsbit12/11 04:02

Powell: Weakening Employment, Inflation Still High, No One Talks About Rate Hikes Now

marsbit12/11 04:02

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