# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Fed Policy

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Fed Policy", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Fed doubts trigger $1.3B crypto outflows in days – Is risk appetite gone?

Despite a strong start to 2026 with $1.5 billion in inflows within the first two days, the crypto market saw a sharp reversal as $1.3 billion flowed out over just four days, nearly erasing early gains. This shift was primarily driven by fading expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in March, as strong U.S. economic data made safer assets more attractive. Outflows were concentrated in the U.S., with $569 million exiting, while Germany, Switzerland, and Canada saw inflows. Bitcoin and Ethereum experienced significant outflows, while XRP, Solana, and Sui attracted new investments. Despite the volatility, Bitcoin ETFs and several altcoin ETFs recorded inflows, suggesting selective confidence remains.

ambcrypto01/13 17:01

Fed doubts trigger $1.3B crypto outflows in days – Is risk appetite gone?

ambcrypto01/13 17:01

On the Eve of Fed Policy: The Dual Test of "Trillion-Dollar Tariff Ruling" and "Non-Farm Payroll Report"

Key events this week are set to reshape U.S. markets, with major implications for stocks, bonds, and metals. The Supreme Court may rule on the legality of Trump-era tariffs, potentially requiring refunds of up to $133 billion. A ruling against tariffs could boost S&P 500 profits but worsen the deficit, complicating Fed policy. Separately, the U.S. may decide on metals tariffs under Section 232 by January 10, affecting silver, platinum, and palladium. Meanwhile, the Bloomberg Commodity Index rebalancing is forcing significant sell-offs in gold and silver, adding volatility. Finally, the December nonfarm payrolls report on January 9 will be a critical data point for the Fed’s upcoming policy decision. Investors should brace for heightened market swings.

marsbit01/09 12:54

On the Eve of Fed Policy: The Dual Test of "Trillion-Dollar Tariff Ruling" and "Non-Farm Payroll Report"

marsbit01/09 12:54

Matrixport Market Watch: Crypto Market Repair Window Opens, Structure and Sentiment Warm Up Simultaneously

Matrixport Market Watch: Crypto Market Enters Recovery Phase with Improving Structure and Sentiment The crypto market has begun 2026 with a positive recovery, as BTC and ETH posted significant gains in the first week. This rebound follows the fading of year-end 2025 selling pressure, particularly from U.S. tax-loss harvesting. Key drivers include the return of normal trading activity post-holidays, the dissipation of concentrated selling, and fresh capital inflows, especially from Asian markets. Macro conditions remain supportive, with the Federal Reserve continuing its rate cut path and lowering the federal funds rate to 3.50%-3.75% by end-2025. Softer inflation and a cooling labor market suggest further monetary easing is possible in 2026. While geopolitical events caused brief risk-off sentiment, they were quickly absorbed as short-term noise. On-chain data indicates strengthening fundamentals: BTC and ETH are experiencing net outflows from exchanges, reducing immediate sell-side pressure; stablecoin market cap is rising again, providing more on-chain liquidity for crypto purchases; and network activity, measured by daily active addresses, is recovering. Derivatives markets signal a clear shift in sentiment from defensive to cautiously optimistic. Implied volatility (IV) has dropped to near two-year lows, indicating lower expectations for extreme near-term price swings. The 25-delta skew for BTC options has turned positive, showing reduced demand for downside protection and increased interest in upside calls. For investors, structured products like FCN/dual currency instruments (for range-bound markets), discount accumulators (for gradual accumulation), and decumulators/covered calls (for profit-taking or hedging) are suggested to align with current market conditions. In summary, the market is in a post-correction recovery phase, supported by improved macro liquidity, tighter on-chain supply, and warmer derivatives sentiment. However, the next sustained uptrend will depend on a decisive break above key resistance levels. *Content provided by Daniel Yu, Head of Asset Management. This represents the author's personal views only. Disclaimer: Markets are risky; invest with caution. This is not investment advice.*

marsbit01/07 08:18

Matrixport Market Watch: Crypto Market Repair Window Opens, Structure and Sentiment Warm Up Simultaneously

marsbit01/07 08:18

Dalio's Annual Analysis: AI is in the Early Stages of a Bubble, Beware of These Risks in 2026

In his annual reflection, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio analyzes key market dynamics of 2025, emphasizing that currency devaluation—not U.S. equities—was the year's dominant story. The dollar fell significantly against gold (39%), the euro (12%), and other major currencies, making gold the best-performing asset with a 65% return in dollar terms. U.S. stocks returned 18% in dollars but declined 28% when measured in gold. Dalio notes a major shift in asset allocation away from U.S. markets, with non-U.S. equities (especially in Europe, China, and emerging markets) outperforming U.S. stocks. He highlights stretched valuations, low expected equity returns (4.7%), and compressed risk premiums as warning signs. Political and geopolitical factors—including U.S. domestic policies, wealth inequality, and a shift toward unilateralism—drove market behavior, boosting gold demand and reducing appetite for dollar assets. Regarding AI, Dalio states it is in the "early stages of a bubble." He warns of debt refinancing risks, potential Fed easing inflating bubbles further, and stresses the importance of currency-hedged strategies. The interplay of monetary, political, geopolitical, and technological forces will continue shaping the macro landscape in line with his "Big Cycle" framework.

比推01/05 21:48

Dalio's Annual Analysis: AI is in the Early Stages of a Bubble, Beware of These Risks in 2026

比推01/05 21:48

Arthur Hayes' Latest Podcast: Got the Script for Next Year, Already Fired 90% of the Bullets

In his latest podcast, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, shares his macro outlook and investment strategy for the coming year. He argues that the market is waiting for a form of quantitative easing (QE) that will never be explicitly announced. Instead, the Federal Reserve will use new tools like "Reserve Management Purchases" (RMP) to inject liquidity by buying short-term Treasury bills, effectively achieving the same stimulative effect as QE without using the politically toxic term. Hayes believes the market will initially misunderstand RMP but will eventually recognize it as money printing, leading to a significant asset price rebound starting in early 2025, with potential volatility around March before a sustained uptrend. Hayes reveals his fund, Maelstrom, is nearly fully invested, with 90% of capital deployed, and remains confident even if Bitcoin drops below $80,000. He highlights Ethena (ENA) as one of his most successful altcoin bets due to its capture of interest rate dynamics, and is bullish on privacy and zero-knowledge (ZK) projects like Zcash for the next cycle, despite regulatory hurdles that limit exchange listings. He cautions against shorting AI-related stocks like NVIDIA and emphasizes that the U.S. administration will prioritize low rates and financial market growth to sustain the AI-driven economy, regardless of who leads the Fed. Hayes maintains his long-term Bitcoin target of $250,000 by 2026, warns against the overuse of leverage, and dismisses the notion that market makers are manipulating prices. He concludes that "altcoin seasons" are constant but require adapting to new narratives rather than clinging to past cycles.

marsbit12/20 02:21

Arthur Hayes' Latest Podcast: Got the Script for Next Year, Already Fired 90% of the Bullets

marsbit12/20 02:21

Federal Reserve quietly reverses anti-crypto stance with new policy

The Federal Reserve has reversed its restrictive 2023 policy on "novel activities" and replaced it with a new framework that creates a clear pathway for banks to engage in digital-asset and blockchain innovation. Announced on 17 December, the move adopts a "same activity, same risks, same regulation" philosophy, allowing banks to pursue crypto-related services like custody, tokenization, and stablecoin integration if they demonstrate strong risk management. The policy shift enables both insured and uninsured state member banks to apply for innovative activities, benefiting crypto-focused institutions. This marks a significant regulatory pivot from discouraging crypto engagement to encouraging responsible innovation under supervision, aligning with broader U.S. efforts to integrate blockchain into mainstream finance.

ambcrypto12/17 23:22

Federal Reserve quietly reverses anti-crypto stance with new policy

ambcrypto12/17 23:22

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