# Сопутствующие статьи по теме ETF

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "ETF", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

If MSCI Removes MSTR, Will the Stock Price Actually Fall? Historical Backtesting Reveals a Surprising Answer

The article examines whether MSCI's potential removal of MicroStrategy (MSTR) from its index would actually cause a significant drop in its share price, based on historical backtesting. MSCI index changes can trigger forced selling by passive funds, reducing liquidity and investor confidence. However, historical data from the November 2025 MSCI rebalancing shows that most of the price decline for removed stocks occurred during the pre-announcement anticipation phase (average drop of 24.5%), not after the official announcement (average drop of only 0.7%) or on the effective date. Some stocks even rebounded after removal. MSTR has already fallen 51% from its October high, suggesting the market may have already priced in the risk of removal. Additionally, Nasdaq 100's recent decision to retain MSTR indicates strong fundamentals and liquidity. The core driver of MSTR’s price remains Bitcoin’s performance. If MSCI retains MSTR on January 15, it could be a positive surprise. The current setup may present an asymmetric risk-reward opportunity for MSTR.

marsbit12/15 03:04

If MSCI Removes MSTR, Will the Stock Price Actually Fall? Historical Backtesting Reveals a Surprising Answer

marsbit12/15 03:04

Bitcoin's Financial War: How Digital Gold is Disrupting the Traditional Banking System?

In "The Financial War of Bitcoin: How Digital Gold is Disrupting the Traditional Banking System," the author frames the global financial landscape as a conflict between two forces: the "Financialists" and the "Sovereignists." The "Financialists"—central banks, major financial institutions, and old banking families—are described as having controlled the global financial system for over a century through a complex web of debt, derivatives, and credit instruments. Their power stems not from owning assets, but from controlling the claims on them. In contrast, the "Sovereignists"—nation-states, corporations, and individuals seeking autonomy—are turning to Bitcoin as an escape from this system. The pivotal moment in this "war" was not Bitcoin's creation, but MicroStrategy's demonstration that Bitcoin could function as collateral within the traditional capital markets through its innovative financial product, STRC. STRC, a regulated, yield-bearing product backed by Bitcoin, offers significantly higher returns than traditional savings accounts. More importantly, it creates a self-reinforcing "flywheel": investor funds flow in, MicroStrategy buys more Bitcoin, reducing supply and increasing its price, which in turn boosts the value of its collateral and attracts more investors. The article details the "synthetic counterattack" from traditional finance, such as J.P. Morgan raising margin requirements on MicroStrategy stock and later launching synthetic Bitcoin products like leveraged notes. This is characterized as a desperate attempt to control the "rails" of the new financial system by creating claims on Bitcoin, as they have with gold and other assets, rather than owning the underlying asset itself. The core argument is that Bitcoin represents a fundamental shift because it is a scarce, hard asset that cannot be synthetically multiplied like traditional collateral (e.g., dollars, gold certificates, or bonds). While Wall Street is now embracing Bitcoin through ETFs and structured products to capture fees and control, the author concludes that individuals don't need these synthetic versions. The real power lies in owning the actual, scarce asset itself, bypassing the traditional banking system entirely. Those who understand this early will be the winners in this financial transformation.

链捕手12/14 14:25

Bitcoin's Financial War: How Digital Gold is Disrupting the Traditional Banking System?

链捕手12/14 14:25

Spot volumes drop 66% in ‘lulls’ that often precede next cycle leg: Bitfinex

Bitfinex reports a 66% decline in crypto spot trading volumes this quarter, dropping from over $500 billion in early November to around $250 billion. The exchange notes this mirrors historical market lulls that often precede the next cycle upswing. Analysts observe Bitcoin's tightening price structure near key levels of $89,000–$92,000, suggesting a breakout toward $100,000 is possible if resistance is broken. Despite a recent Fed rate cut and a large institutional purchase, momentum faded as the move was already priced in, leaving markets subdued amid softer ETF inflows and macroeconomic uncertainty.

cointelegraph12/13 11:09

Spot volumes drop 66% in ‘lulls’ that often precede next cycle leg: Bitfinex

cointelegraph12/13 11:09

Interpreting CoinShares' 2026 Report: Farewell to Speculative Narratives, Embracing the Year of Utility

CoinShares' 2026 Outlook report, "The Year Utility Wins," marks a pivotal shift from speculative narratives to practical value in digital assets. The industry is no longer seeking to replace traditional finance but to enhance it through integration with public blockchains, institutional liquidity, and regulatory frameworks. Key themes include a fragile macroeconomic environment with cautious Fed policy, Bitcoin's continued mainstream adoption via ETFs and corporate holdings (though concentration risk exists), and the rise of hybrid finance through stablecoins, tokenized real-world assets (RWA), and revenue-generating protocols. Regulatory clarity is advancing in the EU (MiCA), US (GENIUS Act), and Asia, while infrastructure competition intensifies among Ethereum, Solana, and new L1s. Other trends cover mining’s pivot to high-performance computing, venture capital recovery, and the growth of prediction markets like Polymarket. The report concludes that 2026 will accelerate the maturation of crypto into a utility-driven, institutional asset class.

marsbit12/13 10:43

Interpreting CoinShares' 2026 Report: Farewell to Speculative Narratives, Embracing the Year of Utility

marsbit12/13 10:43

The Silver Crisis: When the Paper System Begins to Fail

Silver Crisis: When the Paper System Begins to Fail In December, silver became the most volatile asset in the precious metals market, surging from $40 to over $64 per ounce—a year-to-date increase of nearly 110%, far outpacing gold. While the rally appears fundamentally justified—driven by Fed rate cut expectations, industrial demand from solar/EV/AI sectors, and declining global inventories—it masks deeper structural risks. Unlike gold, which is backed by central bank purchases, silver lacks institutional support and has minimal official reserves. Its market is shallow, with a daily trading volume of only $5 billion (vs. gold’s $150 billion), dominated by paper derivatives like futures and ETFs. This makes it vulnerable to volatility and manipulation. The real driver of the rally is a futures squeeze. The market has entered a persistent “backwardation” (futures prices exceeding spot prices), indicating either extreme bullishness or deliberate market manipulation. Physical delivery demands have surged, with COMEX and Shanghai exchange inventories dropping sharply. The system—where paper claims vastly exceed physical silver—is under stress. JPMorgan, a historically dominant player in silver markets, controls ~43% of COMEX silver inventory and acts as custodian for major silver ETFs. Its influence over physical supply and delivery eligibility adds to market fragility. The silver crisis reflects a broader shift: investors are losing faith in financialized paper assets and moving toward physical holdings. This “physicalization” trend, also seen in gold, signals declining trust in traditional financial intermediaries and a reevaluation of monetary security in a deglobalizing world. As the paper system strains, those holding physical silver—and gold—may hold the ultimate advantage.

深潮12/13 10:27

The Silver Crisis: When the Paper System Begins to Fail

深潮12/13 10:27

Even 0.1 $BTC is Financial Independence for Decades. But That's Not Enough

The article argues that simply holding Bitcoin (BTC) is no longer sufficient for long-term financial gains. While BTC remains a foundational asset, its price volatility and the limitations of its base layer (slow speeds, high fees, lack of programmability) are driving a shift in focus. Capital is now flowing towards infrastructure that enhances Bitcoin's utility, particularly Layer 2 solutions. These projects aim to transform BTC from "digital gold" into a usable asset for daily payments, DeFi, NFTs, and gaming. The piece highlights Bitcoin Hyper as an aggressive example, which uses Solana's Virtual Machine (SVM) to enable fast, low-cost smart contracts on top of Bitcoin. Its modular architecture keeps security on the main chain while moving execution to L2. The project has reportedly attracted significant pre-sale funding, indicating market belief in the need for a Bitcoin execution layer. The core conclusion is that the next wave of ecosystem growth will come from Bitcoin's usefulness, not just its price appreciation.

bitcoinist12/12 17:59

Even 0.1 $BTC is Financial Independence for Decades. But That's Not Enough

bitcoinist12/12 17:59

When Crypto Faith Becomes the 'Plato's Cave' in Modern Investing

In "When Crypto Belief Becomes a Modern 'Plato's Cave'," the author reflects on how initial optimism in cryptocurrency has evolved into a "sunk cost trap," where past investments—whether financial, temporal, or emotional—keep individuals tethered to an ecosystem that may no longer serve their best interests. Drawing parallels to Plato’s allegory of the cave, the piece argues that many in crypto remain chained not by ignorance but by their accumulated stakes, mistaking shadows (past efforts) for reality. The author shares a personal journey from professional poker to crypto, illustrating how sunk costs—like a decade in poker—can create a "luxurious trap" that’s hard to escape. Despite crypto’s maturation (e.g., Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, Robinhood adopting blockchain tech), the landscape has shifted: traditional finance co-opts crypto innovations, and gains increasingly flow to insiders or equities rather than retail token holders. The article categorizes crypto adherents into four camps (pro-Bitcoin, pro-crypto, both, or neither) and further divides them based on belief in future upside. It suggests that only those fully convinced of crypto’s potential should devote all their time to it; others should diversify skills and consider exit strategies. The core message: don’t let sunk costs imprison you in a fading dream. Freedom lies in acknowledging when to step away and explore broader opportunities beyond the crypto.

比推12/12 14:10

When Crypto Faith Becomes the 'Plato's Cave' in Modern Investing

比推12/12 14:10

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Trend and Investor Sentiment Suggest a Bullish December

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of a potential bullish December, challenging a decade-old bearish seasonal pattern where November losses typically extend into year-end declines. Key factors supporting this shift include reduced leverage, with open interest dropping from $94 billion to $60 billion, and Bitcoin’s price reclaiming its monthly volume-weighted average price (rVWAP), indicating controlled distribution. Liquidity dynamics have also shifted, with deep liquidity clusters moving upward, and around $3 billion in short positions set to liquidate near $96,000. Market structure diverges from historical cycles due to spot ETF inflows, introducing constant structural demand and accelerating price discovery. Analysts note that Bitcoin’s four-year cycle, while not obsolete, is no longer time-aligned, resembling extended accumulation phases like mid-2016 or late-2019. Macro liquidity (M2) growth has plateaued, creating a late-cycle environment where risk assets rally despite underlying economic softening. Supporting indicators, such as CNY/USD and ETH/BTC correlations, along with improving PMI data and gold’s relative strength, suggest continued risk-on momentum rather than cycle fatigue. While buy-sell ratios show urgency, analysts caution this may reflect positioning squeeze rather than sustainable accumulation. Overall, December’s performance may depend more on structural forces—ETF flows, liquidity rotation, and shifting macro correlations—than traditional halving-driven周期 patterns.

cointelegraph_中文12/12 12:20

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Trend and Investor Sentiment Suggest a Bullish December

cointelegraph_中文12/12 12:20

Market Divergence: SOL Becomes Institutional Darling, Terra Ecosystem Completely Collapses, ZEC Shorts Forced to 'Hold the Bag' by Whales?

The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing significant divergence, with some assets surging while others face severe downturns. Bitcoin (BTC) is testing a critical resistance zone between $92,000 and $94,000. A successful breakout could propel it toward $100,000, while failure may lead to a pullback below $90,000. Similarly, Ethereum (ETH) is approaching its key level at $3,400. Holding above this could push it to $3,700-$3,800, otherwise a retest of $3,000 support is likely. Solana (SOL) has emerged as a major institutional favorite. Despite market volatility, SOL ETFs continue seeing consistent inflows. Support from major platforms like Coinbase, which integrated Solana DEX functionality, and growing adoption by traditional finance giants like JPMorgan and Nasdaq, highlight strong fundamental strength. Accumulating SOL gradually is recommended. In contrast, the Terra ecosystem (LUNA, LUNC, USTC) has effectively collapsed. Founder Do Kwon received a 15-year prison sentence, and the project's $40 billion collapse triggered a broader market crisis. These assets are considered uninvestable. Zcash (ZEC) presents a cautionary tale for short sellers. Many are trapped in losing positions as large holders (whales) maintain price range, collecting funding rates systematically. This strategy allows whales to profit from perpetual funding while gradually squeezing shorts. The lesson: take profits quickly when shorting ZEC and avoid greed. Overall strategy: Wait for BTC/ETH to break key levels before acting, accumulate SOL steadily, avoid Terra assets entirely, and short ZEC with extreme caution.

金色财经12/12 11:30

Market Divergence: SOL Becomes Institutional Darling, Terra Ecosystem Completely Collapses, ZEC Shorts Forced to 'Hold the Bag' by Whales?

金色财经12/12 11:30

Ripple (XRP) Buy Signal Flashes as Funding Rate Plummets Deep into Negative: Will Bulls Step In?

XRP's funding rate on perpetual futures contracts plunged to -20% on Thursday, December 11, its lowest level since the October market crash. This negative funding—where short sellers pay long holders—typically suggests bearish dominance but can sometimes signal a potential bullish reversal. However, despite this classic buy signal, several factors are dampening trader optimism. XRP broke below the $2.00 support level this week, falling 9% over two days. Open interest in XRP futures remained stagnant near $2.8 billion, failing to recover to November's $3.2 billion level. This indicates a lack of new short positions even after XRP dropped 45% from its July high of $3.66. Institutional interest also appears weak. U.S.-listed XRP ETF trading volumes have significantly declined, rarely exceeding $30 million daily. These ETFs hold approximately $3.1 billion in assets under management, slightly less than Solana ETFs. Furthermore, on-chain activity on the XRP Ledger (XRPL) has diminished. Its Total Value Locked (TVL) fell to a 2025 low of $68 million, and Ripple's own stablecoin, Ripple USD (RLUSD), is primarily issued on Ethereum, with only $235 million on XRPL. These factors—coupled with strong competition from chains like BNB and Solana that offer more robust DApp ecosystems and native staking yields—suggest limited short-term upside potential for XRP. The lack of clear mechanisms linking XRPL activity to value accrual for XRP holders further reduces bullish momentum.

cointelegraph_中文12/12 11:02

Ripple (XRP) Buy Signal Flashes as Funding Rate Plummets Deep into Negative: Will Bulls Step In?