# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Bitcoin

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Bitcoin", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Despite Fed Policy Shift, Bitcoin (BTC) Rally Stalls at $94,000

Despite the Federal Reserve's policy pivot, Bitcoin's (BTC) rally continues to face resistance around the $94,000 mark. Even as traders grow optimistic about U.S. monetary policy and long-term crypto market prospects, BTC has struggled to break through this key level after multiple attempts. Key factors include significant liquidity contraction, particularly in stablecoin flows, which have dropped nearly 50% from August’s $158 billion to around $76 billion this month. This reduction in buying power has limited upward momentum. Analysts note that recent price rebounds were driven more by short-selling pressure easing rather than strong capital inflows. The $94,000 to $98,000 range remains a critical liquidity zone. However, failure to break above $94,000 could expose BTC to increased volatility and a potential drop toward $88,000. A break below this support might trigger further declines toward $84,000 or even the quarterly low near $80,600. While some traders view the current consolidation as a healthy shakeout of weak positions, Bitcoin must achieve a weekly close above $90,000 (ideally near $93,000) to rebuild structural support for a potential push toward $96,000.

cointelegraph_中文12/12 05:41

Despite Fed Policy Shift, Bitcoin (BTC) Rally Stalls at $94,000

cointelegraph_中文12/12 05:41

Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin (BTC) Unlikely to Break $100,000 Before Year-End

According to prediction markets, Bitcoin (BTC) is unlikely to surpass the $100,000 mark before the end of the year. Data from platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi shows the probability of BTC reaching this milestone by January 1st is only around 30-34%. This bearish sentiment follows a significant weakening of bullish momentum since Bitcoin's price crash on October 10th. Several factors are suppressing short-term price recovery, including growing macroeconomic uncertainty and a notable slowdown in Bitcoin purchases by large corporate buyers, such as MicroStrategy. Data from Capriole Investments indicates that the daily rate of corporate BTC acquisitions has been consistently declining, suggesting institutional investors may be experiencing fatigue. Technically, BTC is currently facing resistance around the $ $94,000 level. Analysts note that the price is consolidating within an ascending triangle pattern. A breakout above $ $94,589 could potentially push the price toward the $ $98,000 to $ $100,000 liquidity zone, though this is seen as a challenging hurdle in the short term.

cointelegraph_中文12/12 03:18

Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin (BTC) Unlikely to Break $100,000 Before Year-End

cointelegraph_中文12/12 03:18

USDT Rating Controversy: S&P's 'Stability Scale', Tether's 'Market Debate', and the 'Shadow Central Bank' Transformation

The recent S&P Global downgrade of USDT's stability rating from "constrained" to "weak" has ignited a significant debate between traditional finance (TradFi) and the crypto ecosystem. S&P's decision was primarily based on concerns over Tether's reserve composition—now comprising ~24% in higher-volatility assets like Bitcoin and gold—and a perceived lack of governance transparency, fearing these assets could not be liquidated quickly in a mass redemption scenario. Tether countered by emphasizing its proven market resilience, having maintained its peg through multiple past crises, and its real-time reserve reporting. The core of the article identifies a fundamental clash in risk assessment frameworks: TradFi prioritizes redeemability and capital adequacy in extreme stress, while the crypto market's stability is underpinned by 24/7 on-chain liquidity and automated清算 mechanisms. The report further analyzes Tether's strategic shift from a simple stablecoin issuer to a "shadow central bank," diversifying its reserves into assets like BTC and gold for inflation hedging, yield generation, and de-dollarization. This strategy, while profitable in a bull market (e.g., $10B profit in 2025), introduces cyclical risks if asset prices fall. Looking forward, the article suggests the need for a dual-rating system: a traditional stability rating for redeemability and a new investment risk rating for收益 sustainability and exposure management, reflecting the evolving and divergent needs of the market.

marsbit12/12 02:17

USDT Rating Controversy: S&P's 'Stability Scale', Tether's 'Market Debate', and the 'Shadow Central Bank' Transformation

marsbit12/12 02:17

Digital Asset Vaults Lose Their Luster: Twenty One's Stock Plunges 20% on First Trading Day

Twenty One Capital, a Bitcoin-focused treasury company backed by Tether and SoftBank, saw its shares plunge approximately 20% on its first day of trading on the New York Stock Exchange. The sharp decline reflects investor skepticism toward the valuation and business model of Bitcoin treasury companies amid a significant cryptocurrency market downturn. The company, led by 31-year-old CEO Jack Mallers, holds around 43,500 BTC. However, Bitcoin holdings have fallen over 25% since October’s all-time high near $126,000, putting pressure on the "digital asset treasury" (DAT) model. Despite its large Bitcoin reserve and strong backers, investors remain cautious due to unclear revenue paths and heavy reliance on Bitcoin’s volatile price. Twenty One went public via a merger with SPAC Cantor Equity. Unlike traditional companies, its valuation is almost entirely tied to its Bitcoin holdings, using metrics like "Bitcoin per Share" (BPS). Yet, the firm has not detailed how it will generate sustainable profits beyond holding Bitcoin. The sell-off reflects broader pressures on crypto-linked stocks. Other Bitcoin-heavy companies like Metaplanet, Trump Media, and Empery Digital also face millions in unrealized losses and falling share prices as Bitcoin corrects. The debut underscores high volatility and valuation risks in crypto investing. Despite innovation and institutional support, long-term viability requires transparent business models and clear profitability strategies—lessons even high-profile crypto firms must heed.

cointelegraph_中文12/11 23:16

Digital Asset Vaults Lose Their Luster: Twenty One's Stock Plunges 20% on First Trading Day

cointelegraph_中文12/11 23:16

Bitcoin Weak and Volatile, Is a Big Fluctuation Coming?

Bitcoin remains trapped in a structurally fragile range, with rising unrealized losses, elevated realized losses, and significant profit-taking by long-term holders. Despite persistent selling pressure, patient demand has anchored the price above the Realized Price (~$81.3K). A reclaim of the $95K level (0.75 cost basis quantile) and the Short-Term Holder cost basis (~$102.7K) is possible if seller exhaustion emerges. Off-chain conditions remain weak, with negative ETF flows, thin spot liquidity, and muted speculative interest in futures markets. Options markets show a defensive stance, with traders accumulating short-term implied volatility and demanding downside protection ahead of the FOMC meeting. Market stability relies on patient buyers absorbing sales, but the path forward depends on whether liquidity improves and sellers retreat, or if time-driven bearish pressure persists. Post-FOMC, implied volatility is expected to decay into year-end barring a hawkish surprise.

深潮12/11 22:37

Bitcoin Weak and Volatile, Is a Big Fluctuation Coming?

深潮12/11 22:37

Central Bank Proposes to Restrict Ordinary Russians' Right to Buy Cryptocurrency

The Central Bank of Russia (CBR) has proposed restrictions that would prevent ordinary Russian citizens from purchasing cryptocurrency, according to First Deputy Chairman Vladimir Chistyukhin. The regulator suggests allowing only qualified investors to access the crypto market, provided they pass a specific test to demonstrate their understanding of how cryptocurrency works. However, the proposed rules would not restrict individuals from holding or selling crypto assets they already own; they would only be barred from making new purchases. The CBR sees no need to inform non-professional investors about crypto-related financial instruments, which are currently available only to qualified investors. While not ruling out the possibility of eventually allowing retail investors access under certain conditions and with limitations (such as only to the most liquid instruments), the CBR emphasized that legitimizing the crypto market is a current priority. The bank hopes for the adoption of cryptocurrency regulation laws by 2026.

RBK-crypto12/11 22:32

Central Bank Proposes to Restrict Ordinary Russians' Right to Buy Cryptocurrency

RBK-crypto12/11 22:32

Bitcoin's Losses Against the Dollar Are 10 Times Lower Than Against the Ruble. How Did This Happen

The article analyzes Bitcoin's (BTC) significant 30%+ depreciation against the Russian ruble since the start of 2025, contrasting it with much smaller losses against major currencies like the US dollar (~3%). This disparity is attributed to the ruble's own substantial strengthening, which appreciated roughly 25% against the dollar over the same period. Consequently, while Bitcoin hit new all-time highs against the dollar, euro, and yen in late 2024, it failed to do so against the ruble. The piece further explains that the Russian ruble/Bitcoin exchange rate is not directly traded on major spot markets. Instead, it is calculated by converting the BTC/USD price using the current USD/RUB rate, leading to potential pricing discrepancies. This indirect method, coupled with the absence of major exchanges like Binance from the Russian market, has fragmented liquidity. The market now heavily relies on peer-to-peer (P2P) exchanges and over-the-counter trades using stablecoins like USDT, which often trade at a premium to the official dollar rate. These conditions have created a challenging environment, increasing fraud and "gray" schemes in P2P markets. The situation is further complicated by recent Russian legislation that impose criminal penalties for using "dropper" bank accounts (money mules) and restrict cash withdrawals, which are expected to significantly alter the crypto exchange landscape.

RBK-crypto12/11 21:30

Bitcoin's Losses Against the Dollar Are 10 Times Lower Than Against the Ruble. How Did This Happen

RBK-crypto12/11 21:30

Strategy Takes a Hardline Stance Against MSCI: What's in the 12-Page Open Letter of Defense?

In October 2024, MSCI proposed excluding companies with over 50% of their assets in digital assets from its global investable market indices, directly threatening Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies like MicroStrategy. Analysts warned this could trigger up to $8.8 billion in outflows, with MicroStrategy alone facing $2.8 billion in passive selling pressure. In response, MicroStrategy submitted a 12-page public letter to MSCI, strongly opposing the proposal as "misleading and destructive." The company argued that digital assets represent a revolutionary financial technology, comparable to historic infrastructure investments like oil or telecommunications. It emphasized that DATs are operational businesses with active revenue models, not passive funds, and criticized the 50% threshold as arbitrary, discriminatory, and impractical due to Bitcoin's volatility. MicroStrategy also accused MSCI of violating index neutrality and contradicting the U.S. government's pro-digital asset strategy. The company demanded MSCI withdraw the proposal or extend the consultation period. It is not alone—over 300 entities, including Strive and Bitcoin for Corporations, have joined opposition efforts, suggesting alternative indices instead of exclusion. The outcome, expected by January 2026, will significantly impact the integration of digital asset companies into traditional financial markets.

marsbit12/11 19:52

Strategy Takes a Hardline Stance Against MSCI: What's in the 12-Page Open Letter of Defense?

marsbit12/11 19:52

Bitcoin Price Surpasses Open Interest Following FOMC

Following Bitcoin Price Surpasses Open Interest After FOMC Following the FOMC announcement, Bitcoin's price demonstrated the instability of leverage in the current market cycle, fluctuating between $92,000 and $89,500. This volatility liquidated billions in open positions on major derivatives markets. Despite the extreme swings, capital continued flowing into high-conviction crypto projects like Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER), a Bitcoin Layer-2 solution combining Solana-level transaction speeds with Bitcoin's security. U.S. traders added over $38 million in new Bitcoin exposure ahead of key macroeconomic data. The sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with analysts viewing the $90,000 level as a critical psychological and structural support. A sustained break above $92,000 could open a path toward the $100,000–$110,000 resistance range. Post-FOMC, the market saw a healthy reset with open interest dropping and funding rates normalizing. U.S. institutional flows via ETFs remained strong, indicating long-term investor confidence. Analysts from Bernstein project a potential long-term move to $200,000, while others like Matrixport forecast a mid-cycle consolidation around $120,000–$150,000. Concurrently, Bitcoin Hyper is gaining attention as an ambitious L2 project, having raised over $29 million in its presale. It aims to solve Bitcoin's scalability issues by enabling seamless cross-chain movement with instant, low-fee transactions. Its architecture and staking rewards position it as a high-beta play on Bitcoin's adoption, attracting capital shifting from speculative altcoins to core infrastructure projects.

bitcoinist12/11 17:44

Bitcoin Price Surpasses Open Interest Following FOMC

bitcoinist12/11 17:44

AI Bubble Concerns Reignite, Oracle Plunges 16%, US Stocks Mixed, Gold and Oil Under Pressure, Bitcoin Drops Over 2%

Concerns about an AI investment bubble resurfaced, triggering a broad sell-off in risk assets. Oracle's stock plummeted 16% after reporting disappointing quarterly results, with both revenue and cloud business income missing analyst expectations. The company also reported negative free cash flow and announced significantly higher-than-expected capital expenditures, largely debt-funded, for AI infrastructure. This development dampened market sentiment, particularly towards tech and AI-related stocks. Major U.S. indices were mixed, with the Nasdaq falling 0.6%. Global markets reacted similarly, with Asian and European shares mostly lower. The negative risk sentiment flowed into other asset classes. Bitcoin fell over 2%, briefly dropping below $90,000, while gold and crude oil prices also declined. In contrast, silver and copper posted gains. Analysts noted that Oracle's performance has intensified scrutiny on AI-driven spending strategies, especially those financed through debt. The market's reaction highlights growing investor caution regarding the sustainability of AI investments, marking a shift from previous excitement around capital expenditure increases in the sector.

华尔街日报12/11 16:04

AI Bubble Concerns Reignite, Oracle Plunges 16%, US Stocks Mixed, Gold and Oil Under Pressure, Bitcoin Drops Over 2%