# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Analysis

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Analysis", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Analyst Says Everyone Misunderstood The M2-Bitcoin Relationship, Here’s What Happens

An analyst, KillaXBT, argues that the widely misunderstood relationship between Bitcoin and the M2 global money supply remains intact. Contrary to popular belief that the recent deviation between the two signals a broken correlation, the analyst's analysis of the last three market cycles shows a consistent pattern. The sequence is not that M2 tops first and then Bitcoin follows. Instead, Bitcoin typically reaches a top first. After this, M2 continues to rise while Bitcoin's price moves sideways. Then, once M2 finally peaks, it triggers a prolonged downtrend and bear market. The analyst concludes that since M2 has not yet topped, the current Bitcoin price decline is far from over and is actually following its historical pattern. Investors should therefore prepare for further downside when M2 eventually peaks before Bitcoin can find a bottom.

bitcoinist04/24 13:01

Analyst Says Everyone Misunderstood The M2-Bitcoin Relationship, Here’s What Happens

bitcoinist04/24 13:01

Bitcoin Created An Imperfection And The Price Will Crash Lower To Fill It

Bitcoin's recent rally to over $79,000 created a price imbalance, or "imperfection," that analysts argue is likely to be filled. According to crypto analyst Minga, a head-and-shoulders pattern is forming on the 4-hour chart, with a rejection zone between $76,800 and $77,400. If completed, this bearish pattern could lead to a breakdown, targeting support near $70,450. Key levels to watch are the monthly high of $76,053; a break below it would confirm the downtrend, while a push above $78,332 could invalidate the bearish outlook and target the fair value gap above $79,000. Bitcoin is currently trading near the upper rejection zone at around $77,640.

bitcoinist04/24 02:33

Bitcoin Created An Imperfection And The Price Will Crash Lower To Fill It

bitcoinist04/24 02:33

Bitcoin Has Likely Found Bottom—3 Indicators Make $100,000 Seem Much Nearer

Bitcoin (BTC) is showing signs of having bottomed out and may be poised for a rally toward $100,000, according to analyst Ali Martinez. He cites three key indicators supporting this outlook. First, the Sharpe Ratio rebounded from -43 to around 20.35, indicating reduced market volatility and improved risk-adjusted conditions. Second, the Percentage Realized Cap fell below 7%, suggesting low retail activity and a market dominated by long-term holders—a historical bottom signal. Third, the Inter-exchange Flow Pulse shows BTC moving toward derivatives exchanges, indicating growing trader confidence and leveraged long interest. Martinez identifies $73,700 as a critical support level. Holding above it could push BTC toward $96,000, while a break below may lead to a decline toward $55,000.

bitcoinist04/23 22:01

Bitcoin Has Likely Found Bottom—3 Indicators Make $100,000 Seem Much Nearer

bitcoinist04/23 22:01

Altcoin Carnage Ahead? 99% Could Be Wiped Out, Analyst Says

A crypto analyst, Michael van de Poppe, predicts a severe downturn in the altcoin market, suggesting that 99% of altcoins could eventually become worthless. He compares this to the dot-com bubble, where many companies disappeared but the strongest survived and built the modern internet. Despite this grim outlook, he remains highly optimistic about the crypto market's overall future, particularly Bitcoin and Ethereum, as well as select DeFi projects like Aave. He views the current market weakness as a necessary cleanup rather than a collapse. Van de Poppe identifies potential buying opportunities in tokens like Arbitrum if it drops to around $0.16. He also expects Bitcoin to reach new highs near $77,000 and believes Ethereum remains in a bull trend. However, not all analysts share this optimism. The group Our Crypto Talk argues that the market hasn't met the technical conditions for a bullish altcoin season, noting that its indicators are still in a "red zone." Additionally, rising Bitcoin dominance—currently at 57%—is seen as a warning sign for altcoins, as it typically signals capital rotating out of smaller tokens. Van de Poppe acknowledges the market is in a basing phase after a late-2025 selloff, which usually lasts two to four months before a potential breakout.

bitcoinist04/21 11:02

Altcoin Carnage Ahead? 99% Could Be Wiped Out, Analyst Says

bitcoinist04/21 11:02

Bitcoin Must Do This To Continue The Rally, Or It Will Be Over

A crypto analyst known as "Swarmik" has identified 17 key price levels where Bitcoin (BTC) could find support if selling pressure increases. The analysis suggests that BTC's overall outlook remains bullish, and any successful bounce from these levels could drive it back to all-time highs or beyond. The first critical support is at $70,931, followed by levels such as $68,931 (an "Imbalance Zone"), $66,638 (a "Reversal Line"), and $64,491 (a "Psychological Level"). Further down, Fibonacci retracements and other technical zones like "Fair Value Gap" and "Order Block" are highlighted. If the decline continues, lower supports include $51,612 ("Demand Zone") and $49,466 ("Supply Zone"). The analyst warns that a drop below $34,732 would invalidate the bullish structure, potentially ending the rally.

bitcoinist04/20 20:56

Bitcoin Must Do This To Continue The Rally, Or It Will Be Over

bitcoinist04/20 20:56

BTC Market Pulse: Week 17

BTC Market Pulse Week 17 indicates a complex market with mixed signals. Despite strong buyer interest buffering against significant declines, spot CVD turned negative, revealing increased selling pressure. Futures open interest rose, but declining funding rates and perpetual CVD suggest growing bearish sentiment. Options show reduced demand for downside protection, potentially softening bearish outlooks. US Spot ETF metrics improved, reflecting strong investor interest and profitability. Liquidity metrics indicate cautious conditions with easing outflows, while on-chain signals like improving NUPL suggest a potential stabilization phase, though fear-driven selling persists.

insights.glassnode04/20 15:30

Bitcoin Price Could See Another Crash, But What Is The Long-Term Prognosis?

Bitcoin recently surpassed $78,000, reigniting bullish sentiment and expectations of reaching six figures. However, analyst Behdark warns of a potential price crash before any sustained recovery. He suggests current optimism may be misleading, possibly a tactic by market makers to attract buyers before a downturn. Technical analysis indicates bearish patterns, such as a triangle or diamagnetic formation, signaling a likely decline. Key resistance levels to watch are $77,000 and $80,552, where a reversal may occur. If a correction happens, support levels are identified near $72,800, $67,885, and $67,677, with a break below possibly leading to a further 10% drop. The long-term outlook remains above the $60,000 cycle support, suggesting eventual recovery after a short-term dip.

bitcoinist04/20 12:32

Bitcoin Price Could See Another Crash, But What Is The Long-Term Prognosis?

bitcoinist04/20 12:32

Bitcoin's Bull-Bear Range Battle Continues, HYPE Faces Critical Test of Wave V Support | Exclusive Analysis

This market analysis covers Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE, highlighting key levels and trading strategies for the week. HYPE is currently testing a critical support level at $40.17. A hold above this level could lead to consolidation between $40.17–$45.76, while a break below it may signal the end of its current V-wave uptrend from the April 2 low. The short-term strategy is to look for long entries near $40.17 if support holds, using 30% leverage and strict stop-loss discipline. Bitcoin is interpreted to be in a larger D-wave rebound from the February 6 low of $60,000, currently trading within a $73,500–$79,000 range. Key resistance lies at $79,000–$80,600 and $83,500–$84,500, with supports at $73,500, $69,500, and $65,000–$66,000. The medium-term strategy maintains a 60% short position from $89,000. Short-term tactics include selling into rallies near $76,500–$79,000 (Scenario A) or breaking below $73,500 (Scenario B), using 30% leverage. Last week, a 1x leveraged long trade in HYPE yielded a 6.80% gain, and the BTC short from $89,000 is currently up approximately 17.08%. Risk management is emphasized: set stop-losses at entry, move to breakeven at +1% profit, and trail stops to lock in gains thereafter. All views are based on technical analysis and are not investment advice. Traders are urged to exercise caution and adapt to market changes.

marsbit04/20 08:21

Bitcoin's Bull-Bear Range Battle Continues, HYPE Faces Critical Test of Wave V Support | Exclusive Analysis

marsbit04/20 08:21

Bitcoin's Bull-Bear Range Battle Continues, HYPE Faces Critical Test of Wave V Support | Invited Analysis

The market is experiencing directional uncertainty with both opportunities and risks. HYPE's daily V-wave structure is at a critical juncture, with the $40.17 support level being pivotal for its future trajectory. A break below this level, followed by an inability to surpass the recent high of $45.76, could signal the end of the current upward structure. The short-term strategy for HYPE is to "follow the trend and buy on dips," using a 30% position size and a 30/60-minute trading cycle, entering long upon confirmed support holds with model signals. Bitcoin's market structure is reinterpreted, with the rally from the $60,000 low now considered a larger D-wave rebound within a medium-term correction, facing a key test between $73,500 and $79,000. A break above the upper bound may lead to limited upside, while a drop below could see a decline toward $69,500. Core resistance lies at $79,000–$80,600 and $83,500–$84,500, with support at $73,500, $69,500, and $65,000–$66,000. The medium-term strategy maintains a 60% short position from $89,000, to be exited if price stabilizes above the multi-empty band. Short-term tactics involve 30% positions for "spread" opportunities, with two scenarios: selling on rallies near $76,500–$79,000 (Scheme A) or shorting on a breakdown below $73,500 (Scheme B), both with strict stop-losses. A复盘 of HYPE's recent short trade showed a 6.80% gain from a long entry at $41.59 (based on model buy signals) and exit at $44.42 (triggered by top signals). Key reminders include setting initial stops at entry, moving to breakeven at +1% profit, and trailing stops thereafter. All views are for reference only; market conditions change rapidly, and caution is advised.

Odaily星球日报04/20 08:14

Bitcoin's Bull-Bear Range Battle Continues, HYPE Faces Critical Test of Wave V Support | Invited Analysis

Odaily星球日报04/20 08:14

Analyst Reveals Why He Doesn’t See XRP Price Crashing Below $1

Crypto analyst Crypto Luke remains bullish on XRP, arguing that the price is unlikely to crash below $1 despite a significant decline from its 2025 peak. Key reasons include the defense of a broadening wedge pattern, indicating strong market demand, and bullish signals from technical indicators like the Stochastic and RSI. He notes liquidity is returning to XRP, supported by net inflows, suggesting institutional buying. While not predicting an immediate surge, he advises accumulating XRP at current levels rather than selling.

bitcoinist04/18 19:02

Analyst Reveals Why He Doesn’t See XRP Price Crashing Below $1