# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Altcoins

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Altcoins", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Trading Moment: Bitcoin Rallies for 7 Consecutive Days, Breaks Through $74K Strongly, $71.3K CME Gap Still Needs Caution, Whales and Institutions Await ETH Break Above $2400

**Market Analysis: Bitcoin Breaks $74K, Eyes $2400 for Ethereum** Bitcoin** surged over 10% last week, breaking the $74,000 resistance and marking its best performance since September 2025. The rally, now in its 8th consecutive day of gains, has decoupled from tech stocks. However, analysts are divided. Bears warn of a potential bull trap, citing a bearish flag pattern on the daily chart and a looming CME gap near $71,300 that could pull the price back below $60,000. They argue that the macroeconomic impact of ongoing geopolitical tensions has yet to fully materialize. Bulls, conversely, point to aggressive accumulation by whales (addresses holding 10-10K BTC now control 68.17% of supply) and strong technical momentum, targeting the next resistance zone between $75,000 and $80,000. **Ethereum** mirrored BTC's strength, posting its strongest weekly gain in months. Whales are accumulating, with ShapeShift's founder buying over 29,000 ETH (~$61.65M) in a week. A massive supply cluster exists around $2,800, and with little historical resistance between $2,200 and $2,800, the price could be magnetized upward. Traders believe a sustained break above $2,400 could trigger a rapid move toward $2,800. **Macro risks** persist. Trump's strike on Iran's Kharg Island (which handles 90% of its oil exports) and the threat to oil facilities if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked continue to fuel uncertainty. This triggered a spike in aluminum prices and led to a record $36.2 billion single-week sell-off in S&P 500 futures by asset managers. Goldman Sachs warns the market is at a tipping point: a lack of geopolitical resolution within two weeks could risk a crash, though a de-escalation could spark a massive short squeeze. **Market sentiment** improved from "Extreme Fear" to "Fear." AI tokens (e.g., TAO +55%) and meme coins (PEPE, BONK, WIF +10%+) led altcoin breakouts. ETF flows were positive for BTC (+$767M) and ETH (+$161M) for the third consecutive week, though XRP ETFs saw outflows. Over $255M was liquidated in 24 hours. Key events to watch include the Fed's FOMC meeting, Nvidia's GTC conference, and major token unlocks for ZRO and ARB.

marsbit03/16 08:26

Trading Moment: Bitcoin Rallies for 7 Consecutive Days, Breaks Through $74K Strongly, $71.3K CME Gap Still Needs Caution, Whales and Institutions Await ETH Break Above $2400

marsbit03/16 08:26

Matrixport Research: After Five Consecutive Months of Bitcoin Decline, Conditions for a Market Rebound Are Gradually Forming

Matrixport Research: Conditions for a Market Rebound Gradually Forming After Bitcoin's Consecutive Five-Month Decline Amid low trading volumes and weak market sentiment, with many investors shifting focus to traditional assets like gold and oil, underlying market conditions are quietly improving. Bitcoin has declined for five consecutive months—a historically rare occurrence—which has often preceded阶段性反弹 (stage-wise rebounds) in the past. Similarly, the total market cap of altcoins has fallen to a range that has historically triggered multiple rebound initiations. Although the overall altcoin model has not yet turned bullish, the number of altcoins reclaiming their 30-day moving average and showing improved momentum through quantitative screening has significantly increased. With stablecoin funds flowing back into the market, overall liquidity conditions are also improving, pointing to a potential market inflection window. From a historical perspective, Bitcoin often experiences阶段性反弹 (stage-wise rebounds) after three consecutive months of decline in a bear market. A sustained decline of four to six months with little recovery is relatively rare. The market is currently in such an extreme sequence, increasing the probability of a short-term counter-trend recovery. Simultaneously, the valuation of the altcoin sector has entered a range where周期性反弹 (cyclical rebounds) have historically been more likely. When the total altcoin market cap deviates approximately 30% from its 90-day moving average, the market is often in a bottom-building phase, followed by sustained recovery in Bitcoin and altcoins. Although trading volume remains low, the price structure of some altcoins has begun to improve, and Bitcoin is potentially building a阶段性底部 (stage-wise bottom) near $66,000. If prices hold the current support zone and gradually break through key resistance levels, the recovery process is expected to continue. Despite the overall weak performance of altcoins this cycle, some structural changes are emerging. More altcoins are reclaiming their 30-day moving average and beginning to outperform Bitcoin—often an early signal of improved market momentum. The number of altcoins selected through quantitative momentum screening has also increased significantly, with some tokens simultaneously exhibiting improved momentum and fundamental catalysts. More importantly, the market funding environment is changing. The previous dynamic dominated by liquidations and capital outflows is gradually shifting towards capital回流 (inflows). The re-expansion of stablecoin liquidity is a key signal; in the past month, Circle's USDC alone recorded approximately $8 billion in net inflows, indicating that capital is re-entering the crypto market. As liquidity gradually improves, the probability of capital being reallocated to Bitcoin and Ethereum is also rising, which will provide support for a broader market. Overall, while crypto market sentiment remains subdued, multiple key conditions are gradually forming. After a historically rare streak of monthly declines, Bitcoin appears to be building a potential bottom; stablecoin funds are回流 (flowing back), improving market liquidity. Simultaneously, the altcoin market breadth is expanding, with more tokens reclaiming their 30-day momentum threshold. Although the altcoin model has not yet officially turned bullish, trading setups meeting screening conditions have risen to their highest level in months. If Bitcoin confirms a trend breakout above key points, the probability of a broader阶段性反弹 (stage-wise rebound) will further increase.

Matrixport03/13 10:14

Matrixport Research: After Five Consecutive Months of Bitcoin Decline, Conditions for a Market Rebound Are Gradually Forming

Matrixport03/13 10:14

Matrixport Research: Why Is the Altcoin Bull Market Absent? Supply Pressure and Token Unlocks Become Key Variables

Matrixport Research: Why the Altcoin Bull Market is Absent? Supply Pressure and Token Unlocks Emerge as Key Variables The anticipated altcoin rally has not materialized over the past year. Historically, Bitcoin's rise leads to capital overflow into altcoins, but this transmission mechanism has significantly weakened in the current cycle. Retail participation remains low, and many projects lack compelling narratives or real-world utility to drive market momentum. Persistent supply pressure is a primary constraint. Early investors continue to divest, and new token unlocks are constantly adding to the circulating supply. Since August 2024, approximately $99 billion worth of tokens have been unlocked, creating sustained selling pressure. This explains why altcoins have underperformed Bitcoin and failed to reach previous cycle highs. Despite the overall bearish sentiment, historical patterns suggest that large-scale unlocks can sometimes improve short-term liquidity and spark temporary rebounds. An upcoming $4.7 billion unlock, the third largest since August 2024, is expected next week. However, the current rebound appears to have started only about a week in advance, indicating its influence may be weaker than previous cycles. A key market indicator is the altcoin total market cap's deviation from its 90-day moving average. The market is potentially approaching an oversold zone, which could set the stage for a tactical rebound. In summary, the altcoin market faces a structural shift. Weak retail demand combined with constant supply from unlocks and investor distributions has disrupted the traditional cycle where Bitcoin's gains fuel altcoin growth. The market remains in a critical phase, characterized by cyclical trading opportunities rather than a structural bull run.

Matrixport03/06 08:55

Matrixport Research: Why Is the Altcoin Bull Market Absent? Supply Pressure and Token Unlocks Become Key Variables

Matrixport03/06 08:55

活动图片