Solana Has Dropped To Historically Oversold Levels – It’s Worse Than FTX Levels

bitcoinistОпубликовано 2026-06-09Обновлено 2026-06-09

Введение

Solana (SOL) has entered deeply oversold territory, with its monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping to 38.84—a level analysts note is more extreme than during the FTX collapse in 2022. Despite trading significantly higher than its 2022 low of $8, the current RSI suggests an unusually severe decline in momentum. The cryptocurrency is now at a three-year low near $60, down over 80% from its 2025 high, and has posted eight consecutive red monthly candles. Analyst Ash Crypto highlights that prolonged oversold conditions can signal seller exhaustion and a potential price floor, which historically sets the stage for recovery. However, with no definitive technical confirmation of a bottom, SOL could remain oversold or face further downside. The analysis concludes that while a confirmed bottom doesn't guarantee massive gains, assets at such oversold RSI levels have historically produced significant rallies.

Solana (SOL) has officially entered deep oversold territory, a level analysts say is worse than the one the cryptocurrency reached during the FTX collapse. A decline in this area highlights just how bearish the market has become after months of volatility and steep price declines. Throughout last year, Solana experienced a massive rally that pushed its price firmly above $200. However, now the cryptocurrency has spent most of 2026 trading between lower levels around $60 and $95. Given the poor performance, a crypto analyst is questioning whether SOL may have finally hit a bottom.

Solana RSI Hits Oversold Levels Beyond FTX Crash

According to a detailed price chart shared by market expert Ash Crypto, Solana’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 38.84, below the signal line sitting near 48.86. The analyst noted that this reading shows the altcoin has reached oversold levels even more extreme than those recorded when FTX collapsed into bankruptcy in 2022, and SOL fell to a low near $8.

The fact that the RSI is now lower despite the price being significantly higher than the 2022 $8 bottom suggests that the momentum decline in this cycle has been unusually severe. From a technical standpoint, prolonged oversold readings on the monthly RSI can signal a potential price reversal, reflecting seller exhaustion. However, oversold conditions can persist for a long time, as a low RSI alone does not confirm that a cryptocurrency has reached its bottom.

Source: X

Given the uncertainty around Solana’s future price direction, Ash Crypto is questioning whether the struggling altcoin has finally found a price floor. If a bottom has been reached, it would imply that most traders who wanted out have likely exited the market, leaving only holders who are committed to Solana long-term. This kind of capitulation often sets the stage for a recovery, as there is very little selling pressure left to disrupt the market.

Notably, after Solana dropped to the $8 bottom in 2022, the cryptocurrency eventually rallied to over $270 in 2025, representing a massive 3,000% recovery. While a confirmed bottom in this cycle does not guarantee the same scale of gains, historically, assets that hit a price floor with RSI readings tend to produce significant rallies.

What It Means If SOL Has Yet To Reach A Bottom

On the flip side, Ash Crypto stated in his analysis that Solana’s price has fallen to a three-year low of $60 after plunging more than 80% from its 2025 all-time high. The analyst noted that cryptocurrency has posted eight consecutive red monthly candles for the first time in its history, highlighting the depth of its bearish trend.

At the moment, there is no signal on SOL’s chart that definitively confirms a bottom or an imminent price reversal. This is because Solana remains firmly in bearish territory, which means its RSI can stay oversold longer than expected. If a price floor has not been reached, it suggests that SOL still has room for further downside, potentially pushing the cryptocurrency below its current level near $60.

SOL price fails to maintain uptrend | Source: SOLUSDT on Tradingview.com

Связанные с этим вопросы

QWhat oversold level has Solana's monthly RSI reached according to analyst Ash Crypto, and how does it compare to the FTX crash period?

AAccording to analyst Ash Crypto, Solana's monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 38.84, which is below the signal line near 48.86. This reading indicates that Solana has reached oversold levels even more extreme than those recorded during the FTX collapse in 2022.

QWhat was Solana's price performance after its $8 bottom in 2022, and what does it suggest about potential recoveries?

AAfter dropping to a low near $8 in 2022, Solana eventually rallied to over $270 in 2025, representing a massive 3,000% recovery. While not a guarantee for the current cycle, historically, assets hitting a price floor with low RSI readings have tended to produce significant rallies.

QWhat is the significance of Solana posting eight consecutive red monthly candles according to the analysis?

AAsh Crypto notes that Solana has posted eight consecutive red monthly candles for the first time in its history. This highlights the depth and persistence of the current bearish trend for the cryptocurrency.

QIf Solana has indeed hit a price bottom, what market dynamic does the article suggest this creates?

AIf Solana has hit a price bottom, it would imply that most traders who wanted to sell have likely exited the market, leaving primarily long-term holders. This capitulation often sets the stage for a recovery, as there is very little selling pressure left to disrupt the market.

QAccording to the article, what does the lack of a definitive signal on SOL's chart mean for its current price status?

AThe article states that there is currently no signal on SOL's chart that definitively confirms a bottom or an imminent price reversal. This is because Solana remains firmly in bearish territory, which means its RSI can stay oversold longer than expected, and the price could potentially fall further below its current level near $60.

Похожее

How to Do Research Well: Deliberately Practice the Real Skills That Matter

No one truly teaches you how to do research. You're often given a desk, a pre-selected problem, and vague instructions to "create something new." Consequently, many people reverse-engineer the job based on visible outputs—papers, posts, announcements—learning only how to *appear* like a researcher rather than how to *become* one. True research capability is built from stacking small, trainable skills, nearly all of which can be developed through deliberate practice. **Pick Your Own Problem:** Most researchers absorb problems from advisors or trends, lacking the underlying reasoning. Choosing a problem you genuinely care about, as John Schulman advises, leads to original work. Develop "taste" like a muscle: predict experiment outcomes, guess paper results from methods, and track which findings remain important over time. **Upgrade Your Inputs:** Relying on shared reading lists (arXiv hot lists, filtered group chats) leads to unoriginal conclusions. Undervalued old literature often holds crucial insights (e.g., MoE, LSTM, backpropagation). Richard Sutton's "The Bitter Lesson" or Claude Shannon's 1952 talk on creative thinking are more predictive than lengthy modern surveys. Breadth matters as much as depth: draw from neuroscience, mechanism design, hardware knowledge, and honest statistics. Read papers directly, especially appendices and limitations sections. **Write Everything Down:** As Paul Graham noted, writing exposes flaws in seemingly mature ideas. Writing is the cheapest defense against self-deception. Following Feynman's principle, Darwin programmatically wrote down facts contradicting his theory to combat memory bias. Maintain a detailed log of hypotheses, setups, predictions, results, and updated understandings. Reviewing past logs fosters essential humility.

marsbit53 мин. назад

How to Do Research Well: Deliberately Practice the Real Skills That Matter

marsbit53 мин. назад

Following US Ban on Fable 5, Zhipu AI's Stock Soars 47%

On June 15th, shares of Zhipu AI surged dramatically on the Hong Kong stock market, peaking at a 47.6% gain before closing 32.82% higher. This sharp increase was directly triggered by two recent industry events. On June 12th, Anthropic announced it was suspending global access to its latest flagship models, Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5, to comply with a U.S. government export control order. The next day, Zhipu AI announced it would open access to its latest open-source flagship model, GLM-5.2, under the permissive MIT license. The Anthropic incident highlighted a critical issue beyond raw model capability: the risk of sudden, unpredictable loss of access to advanced AI models, especially for developers and enterprises deeply integrated with them. This has shifted industry and market focus toward factors like stability, sustainable access, and controllability. Zhipu's move, promoting "frontier intelligence for all," positions its openly available model as a reliable and accessible alternative. The GLM-5.2 model emphasizes "Long Horizon Task" capabilities with a 1M context window, targeting complex, multi-step coding and engineering workflows where maintaining context is crucial. Analysts note this event exposes the risk of dependency on closed-source models subject to single jurisdictional controls, potentially accelerating a shift toward domestic base models and localized deployments. The market's reaction signals a new valuation dimension in AI: providers who can offer stable, long-term, and sustainably accessible AI capabilities are gaining strategic importance.

marsbit1 ч. назад

Following US Ban on Fable 5, Zhipu AI's Stock Soars 47%

marsbit1 ч. назад

Fully Entering the AI Era: Alipay Bets on Conversation, WeChat Holds Fast to Social

In May 2026, Alipay announced over 300 million AI payment transactions. Shortly after, WeChat opened its mini-programs for AI integration, sparking controversy by requiring developer source code access. This highlights their diverging approaches to AI integration. Alipay is testing "Project Treasure," an optional AI-native interface replacing traditional app grids with a conversational window. Users can command complex tasks (e.g., "book a ride and order coffee") handled end-to-end by AI. This shift follows an abandoned standalone AI app, focusing instead on enhancing its existing user base. For unmodified mini-programs, Alipay's AI uses "screen-reading" to simulate user interactions, bypassing the need for developer overhaul. It also introduced "Token Pay" for micro-transactions and "AI Wallets" for autonomous agent spending. WeChat, prioritizing its core social function, is taking an embedded approach. Its AI agent will operate within existing contexts like group chats and official accounts, assisting without a separate interface. To enable this, WeChat offers developers two paths: granting source code access for direct AI control ("Automatic Mode") or manually encapsulating services into standardized "Skills." Both place significant burden on developers. Key differences emerge in handling legacy services: WeChat demands developer cooperation (code or labor), while Alipay's screen-reading offers immediate, if potentially less stable, compatibility. Alipay's 3 billion AI transactions demonstrate user acceptance of AI-driven commercial actions. The divergent strategies may reshape mini-program ecosystems—Alipay passively "AI-fying" services, WeChat potentially favoring resource-rich developers—and set competing technical standards. Ultimately, the competition centers on where users entrust the command to "help me get things done."

marsbit1 ч. назад

Fully Entering the AI Era: Alipay Bets on Conversation, WeChat Holds Fast to Social

marsbit1 ч. назад

Торговля

Спот
Фьючерсы

Популярные статьи

Обсуждения

Добро пожаловать в Сообщество HTX. Здесь вы сможете быть в курсе последних новостей о развитии платформы и получить доступ к профессиональной аналитической информации о рынке. Мнения пользователей о цене на SOL (SOL) представлены ниже.

活动图片