Bitcoin’s selling intent hits 10-year low – But THESE 2 metrics flash caution

ambcryptoОпубликовано 2026-04-09Обновлено 2026-04-09

Введение

Bitcoin has maintained its position above $70,000 for three consecutive days, trading at $71,021 at press time despite a slight daily decline. While sell-side pressure has significantly decreased—with exchange depositing addresses hitting a 10-year low of 31,000 daily—suggesting reduced intent to sell, the market continues to show weakness. This decline in depositing activity, along with a drop in the Exchange Supply Ratio to near 2018 lows, indicates exhaustion in selling pressure. However, institutional selling via Bitcoin ETFs has persisted, with $283 million in outflows over two days and negative net inflows for 9 of the past 14 days. Key momentum indicators remain bearish, reflecting a lack of bullish conviction. If the current trend continues, BTC may fall below $70,000, potentially testing $66,000 as support. A reversal would require holding above $70,000 to target $74,200.

Since reclaiming $70k, Bitcoin has held above this price level for three consecutive days. Boosted by eased global tension, BTC has shown slight bullish momentum.

At press time, BTC traded at $71,021 after a slight 0.93% drop on the daily charts. Before this slip, it had been on an upward trajectory, printing two positive weekly candles for the first time in 2026.

Bitcoin depositing addresses hit a 10-year low

Bitcoin is seeing minimal sell-side pressure, even as broader market weakness persists.

Data from Darkfost showed Exchange Depositing Addresses dropped to a 10-year low, signaling reduced intent to sell. Only 31,000 depositing addresses were active daily, with the annual average near 47,000, levels last seen around 2017.

Source: CryptoQuant

Historically, such a sharp drop in total Depositing Addresses has occurred during advanced bear market phases. These are periods of prolonged market weakness in which interest in the market has gradually faded.

As such, most traders have turned to silently avoid the market, awaiting other ideal conditions to reenter. Additionally, Darkfost noted that the prevailing market conditions have failed to incentivize investors to sell their assets on exchanges.

In fact, the Exchange Supply Ratio [ESR] metric validates this decline in exchange deposits. Looking at the metric, it has dropped to 0.133, hovering near the 2018 low.

Source: CryptoQuant

A decline in ESR suggests that most traders, both large-scale and retail, have significantly reduced spending. Such market conditions coincide with periods when selling pressure is progressively exhausted.

Why is BTC still struggling?

Although Bitcoin [BTC] saw fewer Exchange Deposit Addresses, big players, especially institutional investors, had been still selling.

Looking at the BTC Spot ETFs, institutional investors have mostly been selling. In fact, the past 2 days, ETFs have recorded $283 million in outflows.

Source: SoSoValue

Bitcoin ETFs have recorded negative net inflows for 9 days over the past 2 weeks, a clear sign of aggressive selling. When large players sell high-value holdings, even a reduced exchange depositing address does little to boost asset performance.

As a result, the momentum has remained strongly bearish. Looking at the momentum (MOM) indicator, it currently sits around -5957.

At the same time, DMI Modified has remained negative since October 2025, validating the trend’s strength. With these momentum indicators heavily weak, it shows that the reduced depositing addresses have not turned into withdrawing addresses.

Source: TradingView

Thus, most investors have been disengaged, and those who are engaged are selling, thereby substantially stretching the market. Thus, market conditions point to continued weakness.

If the trend persists, BTC will likely drop below $70k again, with $66k as the support. However, if the market feels the impact of reduced exchange inflows, BTC could hold above $70k and eye $74,200.


Final Summary

  • Bitcoin is holding above $70k, but the move lacks strong follow-through and conviction.
  • Sell-side pressure has dropped sharply, with Exchange Depositing Addresses at decade lows.

Связанные с этим вопросы

QWhat does the 10-year low in Bitcoin's exchange depositing addresses indicate?

AThe 10-year low in Bitcoin's exchange depositing addresses indicates a significantly reduced intent to sell among traders, as fewer people are moving their coins to exchanges, which is typically a precursor to selling.

QDespite low sell-side pressure, why is Bitcoin's momentum still bearish according to the article?

ABitcoin's momentum remains bearish because institutional investors, particularly through Bitcoin Spot ETFs, have been aggressively selling, with significant outflows recorded, overpowering the reduced retail selling pressure.

QWhat is the significance of the Exchange Supply Ratio (ESR) dropping to 0.133?

AThe ESR dropping to 0.133, near its 2018 low, signifies that a very small percentage of the total Bitcoin supply is held on exchanges, indicating that both large-scale and retail traders have significantly reduced their selling or spending activity.

QWhat are the two key support and resistance levels mentioned for Bitcoin's price?

AThe key support level mentioned is $66k, while the resistance level to watch is $74,200. The price could drop to the support if the bearish trend continues or break through resistance if reduced exchange inflows have a positive impact.

QHow long has the DMI Modified indicator been negative, and what does this signify?

AThe DMI Modified indicator has been negative since October 2025, which validates the strength of the prolonged bearish trend in the market.

Похожее

How to Do Research Well: Deliberately Practice the Real Skills That Matter

No one truly teaches you how to do research. You're often given a desk, a pre-selected problem, and vague instructions to "create something new." Consequently, many people reverse-engineer the job based on visible outputs—papers, posts, announcements—learning only how to *appear* like a researcher rather than how to *become* one. True research capability is built from stacking small, trainable skills, nearly all of which can be developed through deliberate practice. **Pick Your Own Problem:** Most researchers absorb problems from advisors or trends, lacking the underlying reasoning. Choosing a problem you genuinely care about, as John Schulman advises, leads to original work. Develop "taste" like a muscle: predict experiment outcomes, guess paper results from methods, and track which findings remain important over time. **Upgrade Your Inputs:** Relying on shared reading lists (arXiv hot lists, filtered group chats) leads to unoriginal conclusions. Undervalued old literature often holds crucial insights (e.g., MoE, LSTM, backpropagation). Richard Sutton's "The Bitter Lesson" or Claude Shannon's 1952 talk on creative thinking are more predictive than lengthy modern surveys. Breadth matters as much as depth: draw from neuroscience, mechanism design, hardware knowledge, and honest statistics. Read papers directly, especially appendices and limitations sections. **Write Everything Down:** As Paul Graham noted, writing exposes flaws in seemingly mature ideas. Writing is the cheapest defense against self-deception. Following Feynman's principle, Darwin programmatically wrote down facts contradicting his theory to combat memory bias. Maintain a detailed log of hypotheses, setups, predictions, results, and updated understandings. Reviewing past logs fosters essential humility.

marsbit51 мин. назад

How to Do Research Well: Deliberately Practice the Real Skills That Matter

marsbit51 мин. назад

Following US Ban on Fable 5, Zhipu AI's Stock Soars 47%

On June 15th, shares of Zhipu AI surged dramatically on the Hong Kong stock market, peaking at a 47.6% gain before closing 32.82% higher. This sharp increase was directly triggered by two recent industry events. On June 12th, Anthropic announced it was suspending global access to its latest flagship models, Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5, to comply with a U.S. government export control order. The next day, Zhipu AI announced it would open access to its latest open-source flagship model, GLM-5.2, under the permissive MIT license. The Anthropic incident highlighted a critical issue beyond raw model capability: the risk of sudden, unpredictable loss of access to advanced AI models, especially for developers and enterprises deeply integrated with them. This has shifted industry and market focus toward factors like stability, sustainable access, and controllability. Zhipu's move, promoting "frontier intelligence for all," positions its openly available model as a reliable and accessible alternative. The GLM-5.2 model emphasizes "Long Horizon Task" capabilities with a 1M context window, targeting complex, multi-step coding and engineering workflows where maintaining context is crucial. Analysts note this event exposes the risk of dependency on closed-source models subject to single jurisdictional controls, potentially accelerating a shift toward domestic base models and localized deployments. The market's reaction signals a new valuation dimension in AI: providers who can offer stable, long-term, and sustainably accessible AI capabilities are gaining strategic importance.

marsbit1 ч. назад

Following US Ban on Fable 5, Zhipu AI's Stock Soars 47%

marsbit1 ч. назад

Fully Entering the AI Era: Alipay Bets on Conversation, WeChat Holds Fast to Social

In May 2026, Alipay announced over 300 million AI payment transactions. Shortly after, WeChat opened its mini-programs for AI integration, sparking controversy by requiring developer source code access. This highlights their diverging approaches to AI integration. Alipay is testing "Project Treasure," an optional AI-native interface replacing traditional app grids with a conversational window. Users can command complex tasks (e.g., "book a ride and order coffee") handled end-to-end by AI. This shift follows an abandoned standalone AI app, focusing instead on enhancing its existing user base. For unmodified mini-programs, Alipay's AI uses "screen-reading" to simulate user interactions, bypassing the need for developer overhaul. It also introduced "Token Pay" for micro-transactions and "AI Wallets" for autonomous agent spending. WeChat, prioritizing its core social function, is taking an embedded approach. Its AI agent will operate within existing contexts like group chats and official accounts, assisting without a separate interface. To enable this, WeChat offers developers two paths: granting source code access for direct AI control ("Automatic Mode") or manually encapsulating services into standardized "Skills." Both place significant burden on developers. Key differences emerge in handling legacy services: WeChat demands developer cooperation (code or labor), while Alipay's screen-reading offers immediate, if potentially less stable, compatibility. Alipay's 3 billion AI transactions demonstrate user acceptance of AI-driven commercial actions. The divergent strategies may reshape mini-program ecosystems—Alipay passively "AI-fying" services, WeChat potentially favoring resource-rich developers—and set competing technical standards. Ultimately, the competition centers on where users entrust the command to "help me get things done."

marsbit1 ч. назад

Fully Entering the AI Era: Alipay Bets on Conversation, WeChat Holds Fast to Social

marsbit1 ч. назад

Торговля

Спот
Фьючерсы

Популярные статьи

Как купить S

Добро пожаловать на HTX.com! Мы сделали приобретение Sonic (S) простым и удобным. Следуйте нашему пошаговому руководству и отправляйтесь в свое крипто-путешествие.Шаг 1: Создайте аккаунт на HTXИспользуйте свой адрес электронной почты или номер телефона, чтобы зарегистрироваться и бесплатно создать аккаунт на HTX. Пройдите удобную регистрацию и откройте для себя весь функционал.Создать аккаунтШаг 2: Перейдите в Купить криптовалюту и выберите свой способ оплатыКредитная/Дебетовая Карта: Используйте свою карту Visa или Mastercard для мгновенной покупки Sonic (S).Баланс: Используйте средства с баланса вашего аккаунта HTX для простой торговли.Третьи Лица: Мы добавили популярные способы оплаты, такие как Google Pay и Apple Pay, для повышения удобства.P2P: Торгуйте напрямую с другими пользователями на HTX.Внебиржевая Торговля (OTC): Мы предлагаем индивидуальные услуги и конкурентоспособные обменные курсы для трейдеров.Шаг 3: Хранение Sonic (S)После приобретения вами Sonic (S) храните их в своем аккаунте на HTX. В качестве альтернативы вы можете отправить их куда-либо с помощью перевода в блокчейне или использовать для торговли с другими криптовалютами.Шаг 4: Торговля Sonic (S)С легкостью торгуйте Sonic (S) на спотовом рынке HTX. Просто зайдите в свой аккаунт, выберите торговую пару, совершайте сделки и следите за ними в режиме реального времени. Мы предлагаем удобный интерфейс как для начинающих, так и для опытных трейдеров.

1.5k просмотров всегоОпубликовано 2025.01.15Обновлено 2026.06.02

Как купить S

Sonic: Обновления под руководством Андре Кронье – новая звезда Layer-1 на фоне спада рынка

Он решает проблемы масштабируемости, совместимости между блокчейнами и стимулов для разработчиков с помощью технологических инноваций.

2.3k просмотров всегоОпубликовано 2025.04.09Обновлено 2025.04.09

Sonic: Обновления под руководством Андре Кронье – новая звезда Layer-1 на фоне спада рынка

HTX Learn: Пройдите обучение по "Sonic" и разделите 1000 USDT

HTX Learn — ваш проводник в мир перспективных проектов, и мы запускаем специальное мероприятие "Учитесь и Зарабатывайте", посвящённое этим проектам. Наше новое направление .

1.8k просмотров всегоОпубликовано 2025.04.10Обновлено 2025.04.10

HTX Learn: Пройдите обучение по "Sonic" и разделите 1000 USDT

Обсуждения

Добро пожаловать в Сообщество HTX. Здесь вы сможете быть в курсе последних новостей о развитии платформы и получить доступ к профессиональной аналитической информации о рынке. Мнения пользователей о цене на S (S) представлены ниже.

活动图片