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Examining why Bitcoin was less volatile than Nvidia in 2025

According to a Bitwise analysis, Bitcoin exhibited lower volatility than Nvidia throughout 2025, signaling a new market phase. This shift is attributed to structural derisking driven by increased institutional access, regulatory oversight, and the significant influence of ETFs. These funds have broadened Bitcoin's investor base, smoothing out its historically extreme boom-bust cycles. ETFs now act as market whales, with their flows dictating risk sentiment. Bitwise predicts ETFs will purchase more than the entire new supply of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana in 2026. The firm also expects crypto equities to outperform tech stocks, as evidenced by its Crypto Innovators 30 Index's 585% surge versus tech's 140% gain. At press time, Bitcoin traded near $88k, with price reactions appearing more controlled than in previous cycles.

ambcrypto12/19 08:07

Examining why Bitcoin was less volatile than Nvidia in 2025

ambcrypto12/19 08:07

Coinbase borrows Kalshi’s playbook, sues three states over prediction markets

Coinbase has filed lawsuits against regulators in Connecticut, Illinois, and Michigan, seeking federal court rulings that prediction markets operated under CFTC oversight fall under the Commodity Exchange Act and are not subject to individual state gambling laws. The exchange argues that allowing states to independently classify these markets as illegal gambling would undermine federal regulatory authority and create inconsistent national standards. Coinbase’s chief legal officer, Paul Grewal, emphasized that prediction markets function as neutral trading platforms—unlike traditional sportsbooks—and should be treated as regulated financial instruments. The legal move mirrors strategies used by prediction market operator Kalshi, which has faced mixed outcomes in similar state-level challenges. The cases may ultimately determine whether prediction markets are considered CFTC-regulated derivatives or gambling products subject to state prohibitions.

cointelegraph12/19 08:05

Coinbase borrows Kalshi’s playbook, sues three states over prediction markets

cointelegraph12/19 08:05

BTC, ETH, SOL Plummet in Flash Crash - Major Volatility Tonight?

In the past 24 hours, 155,150 traders were liquidated, with total liquidations reaching $564 million. The recent higher-than-expected CPI data, rising unemployment, and cooling inflation have increased expectations for a 2026 rate cut. Today’s key event is the Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision, which may trigger further market volatility. Bitcoin (BTC) faced resistance around $89,000–91,000 and fell, breaking below the December 16 low. It remains in a downward trend with limited downside, and key support levels are at $83,800 and $80,600. Resistance is near $87,800–90,500. Traders are advised to short on rallies rather than chase the downside. Ethereum (ETH) shows a bearish death cross on the daily chart and remains in a downtrend. It has broken short-term support, but a bounce from the $2,800–2,830 zone is possible, targeting $2,930–2,960. Altcoins are weak with low volume. Some have stabilized at key supports, suggesting most retail sellers have exited. SOL dipped to $116.71 overnight and may rebound toward $124 before potentially retesting $112. New tokens like UDOG (a Binance stablecoin-related meme) and RTX (a Solana DEX with initial market cap of $20M) are mentioned, but caution is advised due to limited airdrop transparency and mediocre fundamentals. The overall strategy remains buying deep dips rather than chasing sell-offs, with major volatility expected around macro events.

金色财经12/19 08:01

BTC, ETH, SOL Plummet in Flash Crash - Major Volatility Tonight?

金色财经12/19 08:01

EverValue Coin (EVA) Consolidates an Economic Model With Growing Bitcoin Backing

EverValue Coin (EVA) is a token on the Arbitrum network that has developed an economic model backed by Bitcoin mining and on-chain transparency. Its value is supported by a verifiable and audited smart contract called the Burn Vault, which holds over 330 wBTC. This vault only releases Bitcoin when EVA tokens are burned, establishing a predictable price floor. The project operates its own Bitcoin mining infrastructure with over 2,000 ASICs, generating more than 15 BTC monthly in net profit, which is deposited daily into the vault. EVA also engages its community through rewards, airdrops, and token burns, while expanding its presence on exchanges like BingX and Mercato Bitcoin. It has further increased visibility through event sponsorships and sports partnerships. With growing institutional presence and a commitment to operational transparency—including physical mining site visits—EVA is enhancing its backing mechanism. A new vault is being developed to allow redemptions closer to market value, strengthening the link between its digital token and real-world Bitcoin reserves.

TheNewsCrypto12/19 07:59

EverValue Coin (EVA) Consolidates an Economic Model With Growing Bitcoin Backing

TheNewsCrypto12/19 07:59

Bitcoin rebounds on Japan rate hike as Arthur Hayes sees dollar at 200 yen

Bitcoin (BTC) rose 2.5% toward $88,000 following the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike to 0.75%, the highest in 30 years. Despite the hike, which is typically a headwind for risk assets, Bitcoin and U.S. stock futures climbed. Arthur Hayes, former BitMEX CEO, viewed the move as bullish, predicting the yen could fall to 200 against the dollar and Bitcoin could reach $1 million. Analysts from Temple 8 Research suggested further hikes are unlikely before 2027 due to economic constraints and Japan’s stimulus costs. Bitcoin remains in a bottoming process, with key support at $81,000, but a true capitulation event has yet to occur.

cointelegraph12/19 07:56

Bitcoin rebounds on Japan rate hike as Arthur Hayes sees dollar at 200 yen

cointelegraph12/19 07:56

"Fat Apps" Are Dead, Welcome to the Era of "Fat Distribution"

The article "Fat Apps Are Dead, Welcome to the Era of Fat Distribution" argues that crypto applications are becoming commoditized infrastructure, shifting value from the applications themselves to the distribution channels and front-end interfaces that control user access. The author traces the evolution of value accumulation theories in crypto, from the 2016 "Fat Protocol" thesis (value accrues to base layers like Ethereum) to the 2022 "Fat App" thesis (value accrues to applications like Uniswap that built liquidity and user experience). By 2025, the thesis has shifted again. Excessive investment in infrastructure has led to diminishing returns; technical improvements (e.g., minor reductions in oracle costs or interest rate optimizations) are now imperceptible to end-users. Users prioritize familiar interfaces over marginally better backend performance. Consequently, applications like Aave and Morpho are increasingly focusing on B2B partnerships, embedding their services as backends within other platforms (e.g., traditional fintech apps like Robinhood). The author posits that convincing an existing platform to integrate a feature is far easier than onboarding millions of new users to complex, native crypto workflows. A case study illustrates this: Coinbase directs its users' borrowing activity to Morpho on Base, even though competitors offer better rates, because the seamless, integrated user experience within the Coinbase app is more valuable to customers than optimizing for cost. The article concludes that while some apps will remain B2C, the new competitive moat is no longer liquidity or crypto-native UX, but rather control over distribution. The platforms that own the front-end and user relationships will capture the majority of the value.

marsbit12/19 07:55

"Fat Apps" Are Dead, Welcome to the Era of "Fat Distribution"

marsbit12/19 07:55

The Catfish Effect? Stablecoins Are Truly the Enemy of Bank Deposits

The article challenges the prevailing narrative that stablecoins pose an existential threat to the traditional banking system by causing massive deposit outflows. Instead, it argues that stablecoins act as a competitive catalyst, forcing banks to improve efficiency and offer higher deposit rates, rather than replacing them. Key points include: - Research indicates no significant correlation between stablecoin growth and bank deposit outflows, highlighting the "sticky" nature of deposits due to the convenience of bundled banking services (e.g., mortgages, payroll). - Stablecoins introduce competition, compelling banks to enhance operational efficiency and customer benefits, ultimately expanding financial intermediation and consumer welfare. - Regulatory frameworks like the GENIUS法案 (likely referring to U.S. stablecoin legislation) mitigate risks by mandating full reserves (cash, short-term Treasuries) and enforceable redemption rights, addressing concerns about run and liquidity risks. - Stablecoins offer efficiency gains through atomic settlements, enabling instant, cross-border transactions without intermediary delays, which could modernize outdated financial infrastructure. - The U.S. is urged to lead in stablecoin innovation to preserve the dollar’s global dominance, transforming stablecoins from offshore novelties into transparent, regulated components of domestic financial systems. The conclusion emphasizes that banks should view stablecoins as an opportunity to evolve, similar to other industries disrupted by technology, rather than as a threat.

marsbit12/19 07:49

The Catfish Effect? Stablecoins Are Truly the Enemy of Bank Deposits

marsbit12/19 07:49

Central Banks and Bitcoin: Inside the Czech National Bank's Groundbreaking Custody Experiment

The Czech National Bank (CNB) has launched a pilot project to test the direct custody of Bitcoin, marking a significant shift from the typical skepticism of central banks toward cryptocurrency. The initiative involves a $1 million operational sandbox that includes Bitcoin, a dollar stablecoin, and tokenized bank deposits. According to Trezor analyst Lucien, the project is not about immediate adoption into national reserves but about building internal capabilities in areas like key management, compliance, accounting, and on-chain auditing. Lucien highlights Bitcoin’s role as a bearer asset—similar to gold—but with operational advantages such as greater transparency, faster settlement, and lower custody costs. He also emphasizes the unique position of the Czech Republic, which already has a mature Bitcoin ecosystem, including widespread public adoption, favorable tax policies, and a history of Bitcoin innovation. The project reflects a pragmatic, learning-by-doing approach to regulation and central banking, contrasting with the theoretical debates common in other jurisdictions. While the pilot remains small-scale, it represents a strategic move to explore Bitcoin’s potential as a non-sovereign reserve asset that offers diversification without counterparty risk. The experiment may serve as a model for other central banks considering similar steps in an evolving global monetary landscape.

marsbit12/19 07:48

Central Banks and Bitcoin: Inside the Czech National Bank's Groundbreaking Custody Experiment

marsbit12/19 07:48

Pantera Partner: The Return of Professionalism and Rationality in Crypto VC, Where Is the Next Investment Hotspot?

Pantera Capital partners Paul Veradittakit and Franklin Bi discuss the current state and future trends of crypto venture capital. Despite a record $34 billion in total funding this year, deal volume has halved compared to 2021-2022, signaling a market shift toward professional, institutional capital focused on later-stage projects with rigorous due diligence. They attribute the previous "metaverse" and "altcoin" speculation frenzy to low interest rates and excess liquidity, which funded many unsustainable projects. The market is now rationalizing. Key developments include a clearer exit path via IPOs (e.g., Circle) and the emergence of Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs), which are actively managed vehicles for yield generation. DAT competition will hinge on execution and asset growth. Future investment themes include: - **Tokenization**: A multi-decade trend enabling programmable assets and new financial products, with stablecoins as a killer app. - **ZK-TLS (Zero-Knowledge TLS)**: Crucial for verifying off-chain data authenticity without exposing raw data, enabling new applications. - **Consumer/Prediction Markets**: Platforms like Polymarket offer democratized information discovery and entertainment. In a "bull or bear" segment: - **Stocks**: Divergent views on Robinhood (bullish for integration) vs. Coinbase (bullish for global institutional expansion). - **Payment Chains**: Skepticism about user lock-in vs. potential for optimized chains. - **Privacy**: Debate on whether it's a feature (bearish) or a investable vertical (bullish for enterprise solutions). Additional insights: - Token lockups should align investors and founders to ensure long-term commitment. - The "L1 war" isn't over; value capture mechanisms and user activity will determine winners.

marsbit12/19 07:39

Pantera Partner: The Return of Professionalism and Rationality in Crypto VC, Where Is the Next Investment Hotspot?

marsbit12/19 07:39

2025 Critical Moments Review: The Song of Ice and Fire in Cryptocurrency

2025 was a pivotal year of transformation for the cryptocurrency market, marked by extreme volatility and maturation. Bitcoin reached new highs above $124,000, while major events like the Bybit hack and Hyperliquid's $300 million incident exposed systemic vulnerabilities. Regulatory shifts were profound, with Trump’s administration fostering pro-innovation policies, including the GENIUS Act for stablecoins and the removal of sanctions against Tornado Cash. Landmark approvals for crypto ETFs and IPOs, such as Circle’s public listing, accelerated institutional adoption. Macroeconomic turbulence, including U.S. tariff policies and government shutdowns, triggered severe sell-offs, with October’s crash resulting in $19 billion in liquidations. Meanwhile, privacy coins and RWA gained traction, and meme coins influenced by figures like Trump and CZ saw speculative booms. The year closed with significant legal resolutions, including sentences for Do Kwon and Qian Zhimin, and continued regulatory divergence, with China tightening restrictions as Hong Kong and the U.S. advanced frameworks.

marsbit12/19 07:25

2025 Critical Moments Review: The Song of Ice and Fire in Cryptocurrency

marsbit12/19 07:25

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