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From the Brief History of the Internet, Looking at the Next Decade of Crypto

From the history of the internet, this article draws parallels to project the next decade of Crypto. A key threshold is identified: 1 billion monthly active users, which signifies a transition from a tool to a civilization-altering infrastructure, as seen with platforms like Facebook and Amazon. Currently, Crypto is likened to the internet circa 2002, with user growth from 5 million in 2017 to over 500 million by 2026. Presently, the few applications with over 100 million users are predominantly exchanges and stablecoins (e.g., Binance, Tether), leading to skepticism about its broader utility beyond finance. Despite this, investors like Marc Andreessen remain highly optimistic, drawing a parallel to his early belief in the web. A major catalyst for adoption is improved user experience. For the internet, it was the graphical web browser; for Crypto, it was the 2017-2018 infrastructure boom with the rise of efficient exchanges (Binance), stablecoins (USDT), and smart contracts (Ethereum) that created a functional global financial system. The article posits that the next major accelerator for Crypto could be AI Agents. For autonomous AI to operate independently, they will require a permissionless, 24/7 global settlement layer—a role Crypto is uniquely positioned to fill, potentially creating billions of non-human economic agents. Two primary paths to 1 billion users are identified: solving cross-border payments for the over 1 billion people engaging in global interactions, and the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) to democratize global investment. The conclusion is that the first Crypto application to reach 1 billion users will mark its transition to true global infrastructure, much like Facebook did for the internet in 2012. This milestone is predicted to occur around 2036, but only if Crypto solves problems at a sufficiently massive scale. History of technology shows that transformative innovations are often misunderstood at their inception, and Crypto is likely following the same path.

marsbit03/16 13:07

From the Brief History of the Internet, Looking at the Next Decade of Crypto

marsbit03/16 13:07

Dialogue with a16z Co-founder Marc Andreessen: Founders Are Better Off Without Introspection, Human Panic Always Accompanies New Things

Source: David Senra, Organized by Felix, PANews In a nearly two-hour podcast, a16z co-founder Marc Andreessen shared his personal habits, entrepreneurial philosophy, and management methods. Andreessen, who co-created the first widely used graphical web browser Mosaic and co-founded Netscape, discussed his belief that founders should avoid introspection. He argues that dwelling on the past hinders progress, and the best entrepreneurs are driven by impact, not happiness. Andreessen and Ben Horowitz founded a16z in 2009 with the core belief that startups and founders are the central engine of world progress. They champion the "founder-led" model over "managerialism," asserting that it's easier to teach a founder management skills than to teach a manager how to innovate. He cites Mark Zuckerberg and Elon Musk as prime examples. The conversation also covered historical patterns of "moral panic" surrounding new technologies, drawing parallels from bicycles to rock music. Andreessen detailed his unique management observations of Elon Musk, describing a hands-on, technically-deep approach where Musk personally identifies and solves production bottlenecks weekly, creating a culture of intense execution and innovation at companies like SpaceX and Tesla. Andreessen's worldview centers on technology as a powerful balancing force, and a16z's mission remains being the ideal partner for founders who want to change the world.

marsbit03/16 13:06

Dialogue with a16z Co-founder Marc Andreessen: Founders Are Better Off Without Introspection, Human Panic Always Accompanies New Things

marsbit03/16 13:06

Eight Consecutive Bullish Days Signal Strong Return: ETH Surges Past $2,300 as Whales Continue to Accumulate

Ethereum (ETH) has surged past $2,300, marking an eight-day consecutive rally, while Bitcoin (BTC) broke above $74,000. The broader crypto market showed strength, with over 80% of the top 200 tokens by market cap closing the week in positive territory. Market sentiment improved, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index rising to 39, nearing neutral levels. Key factors driving the rebound include macro developments, such as potential easing in the Middle East—particularly efforts to reopen the Hormuz Strait—which could lower oil prices and reduce inflationary pressure, increasing the likelihood of future Fed rate cuts. The market widely expects the Fed to hold rates steady in its upcoming meeting. On-chain and ETF flow data also support bullish momentum. Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs recorded three consecutive weeks of net inflows, totaling approximately $2.12 billion and $265 million, respectively. Large investors and institutions have been accumulating ETH, with several "whale" addresses making significant purchases. Analysts suggest that Bitcoin may have bottomed, citing low network selling pressure and historical accumulation signals. Some models even point to a potential mid-to-long-term rally, with targets as high as $100,000, assuming key resistance levels are broken. However, risks remain if Bitcoin fails to hold above critical support or break through resistance near $78,000.

Odaily星球日报03/16 12:52

Eight Consecutive Bullish Days Signal Strong Return: ETH Surges Past $2,300 as Whales Continue to Accumulate

Odaily星球日报03/16 12:52

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