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Ethereum – Few reasons why $2,796 is ETH’s make-or-break level

Despite the market-wide risk-on sentiment, capital remains heavily concentrated in Bitcoin, limiting altcoin momentum. However, Ethereum (ETH) is showing resilience, with its dominance bouncing from 11.5% to 13% as its price consolidates between $3k-$3.5k. A key reason for this stability is that Ethereum whales are actively defending their long-term cost basis of $2,796, a level the price has bounced off three times. These large holders have accumulated 4.8 million ETH since late November, driving their collective unrealized profits to approximately $4.8 billion. The primary risk is the high estimated leverage ratio (ELR) of 2.964, indicating significant borrowed exposure. With no major macro catalyst and weak rotational flows, this elevated leverage leaves ETH vulnerable to a potential liquidation cascade. The $2,796 level remains a critical make-or-break point for the asset.

ambcrypto12/27 05:04

Ethereum – Few reasons why $2,796 is ETH’s make-or-break level

ambcrypto12/27 05:04

Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant For Crypto Mining? Putin Claims US Interest

Russian President Vladimir Putin has claimed the United States is interested in using the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant’s electricity for crypto mining and supplying power to Ukraine, according to a report citing Russian media. The plant, Europe’s largest nuclear facility, was captured by Russian forces in 2022 and has since halted power generation. While crypto mining—an energy-intensive process—could utilize excess energy, reactivating the plant remains complex. All six reactors are shut down, and the International Atomic Energy Agency states that restart is impossible while military conflict continues. Meanwhile, Bitcoin trades around $88,600.

bitcoinist12/27 04:03

Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant For Crypto Mining? Putin Claims US Interest

bitcoinist12/27 04:03

When Crypto Assets Generate Yields and Stocks Become Collectibles: A Great Migration in Valuation Logic

The article explores the evolving valuation logic of markets, distinguishing between "cash flow markets" (driven by discounted future earnings) and "sentiment markets" (driven by collective belief and speculation). It observes a convergence: traditional assets like stocks are becoming more narrative-driven (e.g., meme stocks), while crypto assets, once purely speculative, are increasingly generating measurable cash flows (e.g., staking yields). This shift is facilitated by changes in the three layers of any market: the underlying asset, the ownership token, and the trading infrastructure. The author argues that liquidity acts as a double-edged sword—beneficial in cash flow markets but potentially destabilizing in sentiment-driven ones. Ultimately, markets are blending into a spectrum from pure cash flow to pure sentiment, driven by technology and new financial instruments, requiring systems that balance measurable value and narrative-driven appeal.

marsbit12/27 03:37

When Crypto Assets Generate Yields and Stocks Become Collectibles: A Great Migration in Valuation Logic

marsbit12/27 03:37

Bitcoin Capital Continues to Exit: Why A Negative 7dMA Signals A High-Risk Regime

Bitcoin is struggling to regain market confidence as sentiment deteriorates and apathy dominates trading. Price remains below $90,000, with repeated recovery attempts failing. On-chain data reveals a negative seven-day moving average of net capital flow at approximately -$160 million, indicating more capital is exiting the network through loss-making sales than entering via profits. Despite weak conditions, Bitcoin supply activity remains elevated, with 31.79% of supply moving in the last 180 days. This high activity reflects distribution and stress rather than accumulation, as holders exit positions at unfavorable prices. For the trend to turn positive, net capital flows must recover alongside sustained activity.

bitcoinist12/27 03:08

Bitcoin Capital Continues to Exit: Why A Negative 7dMA Signals A High-Risk Regime

bitcoinist12/27 03:08

Are bubble fears warranted as AI tokens slide deeper after a ‘key divergence?’

The article examines the recent downturn in AI tokens and growing concerns of a potential AI bubble. It highlights a key divergence between declining employment data, with labor participation rate dropping to 59.4%, and the continued rise of the S&P 500, up 17.81% year-to-date. This divergence is attributed to AI-driven assets pushing equities higher despite deteriorating labor conditions, a dynamic reminiscent of past market bubbles. Analysts suggest a major signal of weakness may emerge by 2026, potentially characterizing an AI bubble. The decline is reflected in crypto markets, where AI tokens fell 24.9% in a month and 74.6% year-to-date, tracking losses in AI-related stocks. This correlation between equities and crypto is a long-standing trend. Current market momentum offers little support for a rebound, with trading volume down 20% to $3.48 billion, signaling weakening investor conviction. The pressure on AI tokens is part of a broader altcoin decline, with the total market cap falling to $1.16 trillion from a peak of $1.77 trillion. If downward pressure persists, the market could fall further toward the $1 trillion mark.

ambcrypto12/27 03:07

Are bubble fears warranted as AI tokens slide deeper after a ‘key divergence?’

ambcrypto12/27 03:07

Cross-Chain, Copy Trading, Lightning Orders... Six Aggregators to Keep You Ahead in the Prediction Market

In 2025, prediction markets are rapidly growing, led by platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi. A key development is the rise of prediction market aggregators—advanced tools that integrate DeFi features like whale tracking, copy trading, lightning-fast orders, cross-chain liquidity, and stop-loss mechanisms. These platforms enhance trading efficiency and strategic options. Six notable aggregators are highlighted: - **TradeFox** (formerly factCheck): Acts as a professional terminal integrating Polymarket, Kalshi, and SxBet. It offers easy access with BTC/SOL deposits, copy trading, and instant order execution while preserving native platform benefits. - **Converge**: A data-focused aggregator and trading terminal offering real-time odds comparison, liquidity analysis, and low-slippage trading across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless. - **Predictefy**: A comprehensive terminal (not a bot) providing deep data aggregation, arbitrage opportunities, and visual tools to compare markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. - **Synthesis**: A full-featured terminal with a unified self-custody account system using dflow protocol for seamless multi-chain USDC transactions. It includes advanced tools like limit orders and arbitrage detection. - **Verso Trading**: A minimalist, data-oriented tool for filtering and tracking markets on Kalshi and Polymarket based on odds, volume, and timeframes. - **Rocket**: An innovative, yet-to-launch platform using a unique model of 5-second settlement rounds and a unified margin account to reduce risk and improve capital efficiency. These aggregators address market fragmentation by connecting isolated liquidity pools, serving as both arbitrage tools for professionals and accessibility bridges for casual users. They are evolving into essential infrastructure, driving prediction markets from speculative betting toward efficient, financialized global information markets.

Odaily星球日报12/27 02:35

Cross-Chain, Copy Trading, Lightning Orders... Six Aggregators to Keep You Ahead in the Prediction Market

Odaily星球日报12/27 02:35

Weekly Editor's Picks (1220-1226)

Weekly Editor's Picks (Dec 20-26) by Odaily Planet Daily features curated insights from the past week. Key topics include: - **Investing & Startups**: Bitcoin underperformed gold and U.S. stocks in 2025, attributed to liquidity flows into AI-driven assets and reduced volatility via ETFs. The U.S. may use crypto to manage its $37 trillion debt. The market is shifting from retail to institutional dominance, with only 15% of new tokens gaining value post-launch. Advice for 2026: lower fundraising targets, focus on product, and embrace realism. - **Stablecoins & Payments**: Top 1,000 wallets control 84% of stablecoin transaction volume, highlighting centralization risks. - **Prediction Markets**: Kalshi’s report shows crowd consensus outperforms Wall Street in complex forecasts like CPI. - **Bitcoin & Ethereum**: Bitcoin’s 2025 development focused on quantum threat defense, layered functionality, and decentralized infrastructure. ETHGas introduced futures and pre-confirmations for block space, enhancing cost certainty. - **CeFi & DeFi**: Coinbase and Robinhood are evolving into super-apps, integrating stocks, crypto, futures, and prediction markets. Fixed-rate lending remains niche in DeFi due to user behavior misalignment. Aave captures more value than protocols built on it, sparking governance debates. - **Also Covered**: Polymarket’s migration from Polygon, meme coin performance, and weekly highlights including U.S. crypto integration progress, regulatory updates, and security incidents.

marsbit12/27 02:17

Weekly Editor's Picks (1220-1226)

marsbit12/27 02:17

Crypto Founder Reveals How To Execute The Perfect Bitcoin Buy

Crypto founder Changpeng Zhao argues that the ideal time to buy Bitcoin is not during periods of high confidence and bullish momentum, but rather during times of fear and negative sentiment. He states that strong buying opportunities form when the market feels heavy and sentiment is low, not when prices are surging and headlines are positive. Currently, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index reads 27, indicating fear, but this is an increase from recent lower readings. Zhao suggests that by the time sentiment turns positive and prices recover significantly—such as a sustained move above $90,000—the best entry opportunities have already passed. The most profitable investors bought earlier, during periods of uncertainty and doubt.

bitcoinist12/27 02:06

Crypto Founder Reveals How To Execute The Perfect Bitcoin Buy

bitcoinist12/27 02:06

Uniswap’s fee switch goes live – Will UNI’s price head to $8.4 or $4.5?

Uniswap's UNIfication proposal passed with strong governance consensus, activating protocol fees and initiating a burn of 100 million UNI tokens. This shift aims to create sustainable value capture and introduce deflationary tokenomics. Despite these fundamental strengths and Uniswap's dominant DEX trading volume, market reaction remains cautious. Technically, UNI shows signs of potential exhaustion after a multi-year consolidation pattern, with key resistance at $8.4 and downside liquidity clusters near $5.1. While the long-term outlook is reinforced, short-term price risk persists amid subdued momentum.

ambcrypto12/27 02:03

Uniswap’s fee switch goes live – Will UNI’s price head to $8.4 or $4.5?

ambcrypto12/27 02:03

Facepalm! A Roundup of "Flipped" Institutional Crypto Predictions for 2025

As 2025 year-end approaches, the cryptocurrency market has failed to deliver the spectacular rallies many institutions had forecasted, instead exposing the inaccuracy of numerous high-profile price predictions. Bitcoin is trading around $87,423 and Ethereum near $2,926, far below the ambitious targets set during the 2023-2024 bull market. Major institutions and analysts, including Michael Saylor (predicting $100,000), Mark Yusko ($150,000), Tom Lee ($250,000), and Tim Draper ($250,000), collectively anticipated Bitcoin reaching six figures, driven by ETF approvals, macro liquidity, and political shifts. Standard Chartered and AllianceBernstein projected $200,000, with the latter even specifying a September 2025 target. However, these forecasts largely underestimated market complexities, such as structural changes from ETFs—which provided a higher floor rather than exponential peaks—and persistent volatility from policy and geopolitical uncertainty. Ethereum predictions also fell short. Deltec Bank expected prices between $9,000-$10,000, while Standard Chartered initially targeted $14,000 before revising down to $7,500. Analysts’ average prediction was $6,105, yet ETH remained below $3,000. The consensus was that upgrades and ETF inflows would propel prices, but the market refused to align with these narratives. The 2025 outcome underscores the declining relevance of historical models, like the four-year cycle thesis, in a new era of institutional involvement and macro pressures. Predictions, while valuable for analysis, ultimately highlight the market’s inherent unpredictability. Moving forward, adaptability and preparedness may prove more critical than relying on speculative forecasts.

比推12/27 01:25

Facepalm! A Roundup of "Flipped" Institutional Crypto Predictions for 2025

比推12/27 01:25

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