Polymarket在印尼遭禁,全球打击行动日益加剧

bitcoinistОпубликовано 2026-05-26Обновлено 2026-05-26

Введение

在全球加强对线上赌博及预测市场监管的背景下,印度尼西亚近日宣布禁止访问预测市场平台Polymarket,起因是该平台上关于总统普拉博沃·苏比安托任期可能提前结束的投注在社交媒体上广泛传播并引发关注。 印尼通信与数字事务部在官方声明中表示,此举旨在保护公众,尤其是年轻一代和数字空间用户。该部数字空间监管总干事亚历山大·萨巴尔强调,即使以“预测市场”为名并使用区块链或加密资产,只要涉及对事件结果进行真实货币投注,即被视为赌博,违反印尼法律。当局将屏蔽其他涉嫌“便利线上赌博行为”的预测市场服务,并追查与之相关或进行推广的社交媒体账号。 印尼当局指出,此决定与全球其他司法管辖区的措施一致。过去两年,中国台湾、泰国、中国大陆和印度等地已依据当地法律对Polymarket实施限制,新加坡、哥伦比亚和印度则正式屏蔽了该平台。今年三月,阿根廷当局在全国范围内封锁了Polymarket,理由是其作为无照线上赌博平台运营;巴西央行也宣布禁止包括Polymarket和Kalshi在内的预测市场和投注平台,称其未遵守当地衍生品交易规定且引发投资者保护和市场诚信担忧。 在美国,预测市场同样面临审查。众议员詹姆斯·科默近日对Polymarket和Kalshi启动正式调查,起因是一系列涉及美国机密军事行动和地缘政治事件的可疑交易。他已致信两家公司首席执行官,要求说明平台如何检测和防止内幕交易、验证用户身份以及执行对受限地区用户的禁令。同日,这两家预测市场巨头在内华达州和华盛顿州试图阻止针对其的赌博相关执法行动也未获成功。

在全球打击在线赌博和预测市场的浪潮中,在一条关于总统任期的投注引起网络关注后,印度尼西亚已成为对Polymarket及类似平台实施限制的司法管辖区之一。

印度尼西亚封锁对Polymarket的访问

印度尼西亚最近封锁了预测市场平台Polymarket的访问,此前一项关于普拉博沃·苏比安托总统任期提前结束的投注上周在社交媒体上广泛传播并引起了关注。

通信和信息部在一份官方声明中宣布了这项禁令,并确认此举旨在保护公众,特别是年轻一代和数字空间用户。

数字空间监管总局局长Alexander Sabar确认,那些促进对事件结果进行真钱投注的平台,即使被包装成“预测市场”并使用区块链技术或加密资产,也被视为赌博。

“政府不会容忍印度尼西亚境内的任何形式的在线赌博。像Polymarket这样的活动涉及对结果不确定的事件进行金钱投注和投机,这违反了印度尼西亚的适用法律,” Alex强调说。

因此,当局将封锁对其他涉嫌“便利在线赌博行为”的预测市场服务的访问。此外,政府正在追查与Polymarket有关联或宣传Polymarket的社交媒体账户,以确保禁令在其他平台上得到执行。

该部还敦促公众不要访问或参与基于数字投机的赌博活动,包括那些使用加密货币的活动,因为这些活动可能违反印度尼西亚法律并给用户造成经济损失。

全球监管压力加大

印度尼西亚当局指出,他们限制对Polymarket访问的决定与其他全球法律框架一致。正如公告所述,其他几个司法管辖区也对Polymarket和其他预测市场平台实施了限制措施,认为它们类似于在线赌博行为。

过去两年,台湾、泰国、中国和印度已根据各自的当地法律对Polymarket实施了限制,而新加坡、哥伦比亚和印度则正式封锁了该平台。

今年三月,阿根廷当局在Polymarket预测通胀数据后,下令在全国范围内封锁该平台。据Bitcoinist报道,布宜诺斯艾利斯一家法院指示互联网服务提供商、谷歌和苹果封锁对该平台的访问,认为其作为未经许可的在线赌博平台运营。

与此同时,巴西中央银行在三月份宣布禁止预测市场和投注平台,包括Polymarket和Kalshi。当局确认这些平台未能遵守当地关于衍生品交易的规定,并引发了对其投资者保护和市场诚信的担忧。

预测市场在美国也面临审查,政策制定者和州级当局对该行业施加压力。上周,众议院议员詹姆斯·科默在对一系列与美国机密军事行动和关键地缘政治事件有关的可疑交易进行调查后,对Polymarket和Kalshi发起了正式调查。

这位议员宣布,他已致信两家公司的首席执行官,要求提供有关其平台如何检测和防止内幕交易的信息。他还要求提供详细信息,说明他们如何验证用户身份以及如何对来自受限司法管辖区的用户执行禁令。同一天,这两家预测市场巨头在内华达州和华盛顿州未能成功阻止针对他们的与赌博相关的执法行动。

一周图表显示,加密货币总市值达到2.56万亿美元。来源:TradingView上的TOTAL

Связанные с этим вопросы

Q印度尼西亚禁止Polymarket的主要原因是什么?

A印度尼西亚禁止Polymarket的主要原因是其被视为在线赌博。印尼通讯和信息部指出,该平台允许用户用真实货币对事件结果进行投注和投机,这违反了印尼的法律,旨在保护公众,特别是年轻一代和数字空间用户。

Q文章中提到有哪些国家或地区也对Polymarket实施了限制或封锁?

A文章中提到对Polymarket实施了限制或封锁的国家和地区包括:台湾、泰国、中国、印度、新加坡、哥伦比亚、阿根廷和巴西。美国的相关机构也对该行业展开了调查并施加了监管压力。

Q阿根廷决定封锁Polymarket的直接导火索是什么?

A阿根廷决定在全国范围内封锁Polymarket的直接导火索是该平台对通货膨胀数据进行了预测。布宜诺斯艾利斯的一家法院认为其作为未经许可的在线赌博平台运营,因此下令互联网服务提供商、谷歌和苹果封锁对该平台的访问。

Q美国国会议员詹姆斯·科默对Polymarket和Kalshi发起的调查主要关注哪些问题?

A美国国会议员詹姆斯·科默对Polymarket和Kalshi发起的调查主要关注两个问题:一是这些平台如何检测和防止内幕交易(尤其涉及与美国军事行动和地缘政治事件相关的可疑交易);二是这些平台如何验证用户身份以及如何对来自受限司法管辖区的用户执行禁令。

Q根据文章,印尼政府在封锁Polymarket之外还采取了哪些配套措施?

A除了封锁Polymarket平台本身,印尼政府还表示将封锁其他被怀疑“助长在线赌博行为”的预测市场服务。同时,政府正在追查与Polymarket有关联或推广该平台的社交媒体账户,以确保禁令在其他平台上也能得到执行,并呼吁公众不要参与包括使用加密货币在内的数字投机活动。

Похожее

Under the Shock of Oil Prices and Inflation, Which Country Will Be the First to Sell Off Its Gold Reserves?

The article draws a parallel between the 2003 North American blackout and the potential collapse of the global financial system, framing the US dollar and Treasury market as the world's economic "power grid." It argues that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is creating a shockwave, starting with oil-importing emerging markets like Turkey, India, and Indonesia. As oil prices rise, these nations are forced to sell dollar-denominated assets—first US Treasuries, then potentially their gold reserves—to afford fuel. Turkey is highlighted as a key case, having sold nearly 90% of its Treasuries and begun tapping gold reserves when oil was between $70-$105/barrel. The article warns that if prices spike to $150-$160/barrel, global buffers like oil inventories and strategic reserves will be depleted. This could trigger a cascade: vulnerable nations, having exhausted assets, could face economic and political collapse (like Sri Lanka in 2022). Their forced asset sales would drive US Treasury yields higher, potentially past a critical threshold (around 5%), forcing the US to choose between a bond market crash or hyperinflation through massive money printing. Ultimately, the piece posits that the dollar's long-term decline is inevitable. The first domino to fall will likely be a fragile emerging market, signaling the start of a chain reaction that eventually threatens the core of the dollar system. The conclusion advises holding tangible assets like gold and energy, which cannot be printed, as a hedge against currency devaluation.

marsbit19 мин. назад

Under the Shock of Oil Prices and Inflation, Which Country Will Be the First to Sell Off Its Gold Reserves?

marsbit19 мин. назад

Behind HYPE's Repeated Record Highs, the 'Minions' in the Ecosystem Can't Keep Up

While HYPE, the native token of the Hyperliquid ecosystem, surges to new all-time highs above $76 and attracts significant institutional ETF inflows, a starkly different reality unfolds within its HyperEVM application layer. Multiple core DeFi protocols across lending, NFTs, stablecoins, and DEXs have announced shutdowns between May and June. The article argues HYPE functions more like an "application stock" than a traditional ecosystem token. Its value is anchored to the trading fees from Hyperliquid's core perpetual contracts platform (HyperCore), which boasts a diversified revenue stream from crypto, commodities, and indices. Approximately 97% of protocol fees fund buybacks and burns of HYPE. This means HYPE's price is largely decoupled from the health of projects built on HyperEVM. The closures of significant projects like lending protocol HypurrFi (peak TVL >$300M) and NFT marketplace Drip.Trade highlight a structural tension. Hyperliquid's minimalist philosophy offers infrastructure without official grants, liquidity support, or marketing coordination for HyperEVM projects. This forces protocols into a fiercely competitive environment from day one. Furthermore, the success of HyperCore creates a liquidity vacuum, and mechanisms like HIP-3 (allowing direct perpetual market deployment) divert user attention and capital away from application-layer projects. The stronger the core perpetual trading business becomes, the more difficult it is for peripheral "DeFi lego" projects to survive and capture value, despite the flagship token's rising price.

Foresight News1 ч. назад

Behind HYPE's Repeated Record Highs, the 'Minions' in the Ecosystem Can't Keep Up

Foresight News1 ч. назад

Conversation with Arthur Hayes: AI Has Drained Market Liquidity, BTC Will Be Below 100k by Year-End

In this June 2026 podcast interview, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes explains his decision to sell his major crypto holdings (HYPE, NEAR, Worldcoin, Zcash). His rationale is based on a macro view linking oil prices, the Iran conflict, US politics, and an impending AI bubble burst. Hayes argues that high oil prices, driven by the ongoing war, will pressure domestic US inflation. To salvage the Republican Party's chances in the midterm elections, he believes Donald Trump may pivot to a populist, anti-AI stance—advocating for taxes and regulation—which would deflate the AI investment narrative. He sees the AI sector, particularly massive capital expenditure on data centers, as having absorbed nearly all excess market liquidity (around $1.5 trillion in debt issuance since 2025), starving other assets like Bitcoin. He highlights the upcoming SpaceX IPO at a ~$1.8 trillion valuation and 100x price-to-sales ratio as a potential tipping point. If these hyped IPOs underperform, it could shatter market confidence in AI. In such a scenario, all risk assets, including crypto, would fall together as correlations converge to 1 during a broad correction. Hayes has moved his portfolio into Treasuries and energy stocks (like ExxonMobil), predicting Bitcoin will be below $100k by year-end. He sees a potential crypto bull market only after the AI frenzy cools, liquidity stops flowing exclusively into AI, and possibly after a significant market downturn prompts new monetary stimulus.

marsbit1 ч. назад

Conversation with Arthur Hayes: AI Has Drained Market Liquidity, BTC Will Be Below 100k by Year-End

marsbit1 ч. назад

Торговля

Спот
Фьючерсы

Популярные статьи

Как купить BAN

Добро пожаловать на HTX.com! Мы сделали приобретение Comedian (BAN) простым и удобным. Следуйте нашему пошаговому руководству и отправляйтесь в свое крипто-путешествие.Шаг 1: Создайте аккаунт на HTXИспользуйте свой адрес электронной почты или номер телефона, чтобы зарегистрироваться и бесплатно создать аккаунт на HTX. Пройдите удобную регистрацию и откройте для себя весь функционал.Создать аккаунтШаг 2: Перейдите в Купить криптовалюту и выберите свой способ оплатыКредитная/Дебетовая Карта: Используйте свою карту Visa или Mastercard для мгновенной покупки Comedian (BAN).Баланс: Используйте средства с баланса вашего аккаунта HTX для простой торговли.Третьи Лица: Мы добавили популярные способы оплаты, такие как Google Pay и Apple Pay, для повышения удобства.P2P: Торгуйте напрямую с другими пользователями на HTX.Внебиржевая Торговля (OTC): Мы предлагаем индивидуальные услуги и конкурентоспособные обменные курсы для трейдеров.Шаг 3: Хранение Comedian (BAN)После приобретения вами Comedian (BAN) храните их в своем аккаунте на HTX. В качестве альтернативы вы можете отправить их куда-либо с помощью перевода в блокчейне или использовать для торговли с другими криптовалютами.Шаг 4: Торговля Comedian (BAN)С легкостью торгуйте Comedian (BAN) на спотовом рынке HTX. Просто зайдите в свой аккаунт, выберите торговую пару, совершайте сделки и следите за ними в режиме реального времени. Мы предлагаем удобный интерфейс как для начинающих, так и для опытных трейдеров.

762 просмотров всегоОпубликовано 2024.10.27Обновлено 2026.06.02

Как купить BAN

Обсуждения

Добро пожаловать в Сообщество HTX. Здесь вы сможете быть в курсе последних новостей о развитии платформы и получить доступ к профессиональной аналитической информации о рынке. Мнения пользователей о цене на BAN (BAN) представлены ниже.

活动图片