Uniswap breaks multi-year support: Will UNI see a larger crash?

ambcryptoОпубликовано 2026-02-02Обновлено 2026-02-02

Введение

Uniswap (UNI) has broken below a critical multi-year support level at $4.10, raising concerns about a potential larger crash. Currently trading around $3.85, UNI has experienced a 5.10% price drop and a decline in trading volume. The breakdown suggests a bearish outlook, with the possibility of a further 45% decline to the next support at $2.30 if the $4.10 level is not reclaimed. Derivative data shows a bearish tilt, with more short-leveraged positions than long ones. However, long-term investors appear to be accumulating, as indicated by a net outflow of UNI from exchanges. Technical indicators like the ADX and MFI suggest weak directional momentum and neutral market conditions. Overall, the loss of key support increases downside risk, though accumulation by long-term holders may provide some counterbalance.

Amid the bearish market conditions, Uniswap [UNI] has opened the door for further downside moves as it lost a key level it had been holding since June 2022.

This outlook has been further reinforced by intraday traders, as bets on short-leveraged positions continue to rise, suggesting that more falls may be on the horizon.

As of press time, UNI’s price lost 5.10% of its value and was trading around $3.85. The asset’s trading volume had also declined notably, dropping by 9% to $395 million, indicating growing fear among traders and investors.

Uniswap – Price action and key levels

Looking at the weekly chart, UNI appeared to have lost control of the key support at $4.10 and had also closed a weekly candle below this level.

The chart further showed that the asset had been holding this support since March 2022. Following this breakdown, the price action turned bearish, suggesting that a significant downside move may be on the horizon.

Based on past performance and current price action, if UNI fails to reclaim the $4.10 level, there is a strong possibility that the price could decline by another 45% and reach the next support at $2.30.

However, the Average Directional Index (ADX)—an indicator that measures trend strength—stood at 20.32, below the key threshold of 25, indicating that the asset lacked strong directional momentum.

Meanwhile, the Money Flow Index (MFI), which tracks buying and selling pressure based on price and volume, was at 44.32, suggesting neutral market conditions with no clear dominance from either buyers or sellers.

Derivative data shows mixed sentiment

From a derivatives perspective, UNI’s intraday traders appeared to be closely following the prevailing trend.

According to data from the derivatives analytics platform CoinGlass, traders were showing the highest interest at $3.69 on the downside and $3.99 on the upside.

Traders at these levels have built approximately $1.63 million worth of long-leveraged positions and $2.10 million worth of short-leveraged positions, indicating that market sentiment is currently tilted toward the bearish side.

However, long-term investors appear to be taking advantage of the recent price decline, as they seem to be accumulating UNI tokens.

According to CoinGlass, UNI’s Spot Inflow/Outflow data recorded a modest outflow of $1.26 million worth of UNI from exchanges over the past 24 hours, indicating potential accumulation.

In the crypto landscape, asset outflows from exchanges to wallets are generally viewed as a sign of accumulation.

Final Thoughts

UNI has lost its key support at $4.10, raising the risk of further downside as traders show strong interest in short-leveraged positions.
If UNI fails to reclaim the $4.10 level, the asset could face an additional decline of around 45% in the coming days, as there is no nearby support.

Связанные с этим вопросы

QWhat key support level did Uniswap (UNI) lose, and since when had it been holding that level?

AUniswap (UNI) lost its key support level at $4.10, which it had been holding since March 2022.

QAccording to the article, what is the potential price target for UNI if it fails to reclaim the $4.10 level?

AIf UNI fails to reclaim the $4.10 level, the price could decline by another 45% to reach the next support at $2.30.

QWhat does the Average Directional Index (ADX) value of 20.32 indicate about UNI's trend strength?

AAn ADX value of 20.32, which is below the key threshold of 25, indicates that the asset lacks strong directional momentum.

QHow does the derivatives data from CoinGlass reflect trader sentiment towards UNI?

ADerivatives data shows traders built approximately $2.10 million in short-leveraged positions compared to $1.63 million in long-leveraged positions, indicating that market sentiment is currently tilted toward the bearish side.

QWhat does an outflow of UNI tokens from exchanges suggest about long-term investor behavior?

AAn outflow of $1.26 million worth of UNI from exchanges over 24 hours suggests that long-term investors are accumulating the tokens, as this is generally viewed as a sign of accumulation in the crypto landscape.

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