Ethereum traders should know this reason behind ETH’s latest sell-off

AmbcryptoОпубликовано 2022-07-02Обновлено 2022-07-02

Введение

Ethereum concluded June with a 27% bearish push in the last five days of the month after enjoying a brief relief rally. The bearish end of June resulted in the token dropping below $1,000, followed by a pullback. Could this be a sign of a strong buy wall within the $1,000 price level?

Ethereum [ETH] concluded June with a 27% bearish push in the last five days of the month after enjoying a brief relief rally. The bearish end of June resulted in the token dropping below $1,000, followed by a pullback. Could this be a sign of a strong buy wall within the $1,000 price level?

June was one of the most bearish months for ETH in recent history. It dropped from a monthly high of $1,972 at the start of the month, to a monthly low of $881 on 18 June. ETH fell below $1,000 twice in the same month. Both instances yielded a quick recovery back above the same price level.

Source: TradingView

ETH’s end-of-June performance reveals that the price had a higher low, while the RSI hovered just above the oversold zone. Furthermore, the MFI’s uptick, despite the sell-off, confirms that investors have been buying up ETH at lower prices.

A look at ETH addresses confirms that accumulation outweighed the sell-off in the last 24 hours, resulting in strong support near $1,000. However, it also reveals that active addresses have reduced, reflecting the volatile market conditions.

Active addresses dropped sharply from 402,586 on 29 June to 212,569 on 30 June. Sending addresses (addresses offloading ETH) reduced from 182,304 to 92,459 during the same period.

Source: Glassnode

ETH’s receiving addresses dropped from 209,268 on 29 June to 94,002 on 30 June. However, the key point to note here is that receiving addresses slightly outweighed sending addresses in the last 24 hours. Even the whales have been buying the dip as indicated by the supply of the top 1% addresses metric. The latter registered a significant upside from 27 to 30 June.

ETH’s last sell-off was characterized by heavy sell pressure coming from the liquidation of long positions. The previous three days of June resulted in an uptick in the number of liquidations from just over $11 million on 27 June to $48.37 million by 30 June.

Source: Glassnode

In contrast, the number of liquidations during ETH’s mid-June price crash peaked at $136.5 million. This means we can expect less selling pressure from the liquidation of leveraged long positions in the latest downside.

The futures long liquidations metric reveals why ETH’s latest sell-off was not as severe as the mid-June sell-off. Moreover, healthy accumulation has contributed to the higher lows. Now, it will be interesting to see how ETH will shape up in the first month of Q3.

Похожее

SemiAnalysis Dissects Huawei's Kirin 9030: Process Technology Halted, So They Folded the Chip

SemiAnalysis has published a detailed teardown report on the HiSilicon Kirin 9030 Pro chipset found in Huawei's Mate 80 Pro. Fabricated using SMIC's most advanced N+3 node without EUV lithography, the analysis reveals significant technical achievements and strategic shifts. The report indicates SMIC's N+3 has achieved transistor density comparable to TSMC's N6 (113.4 vs 107.7 MTr/mm²), primarily through aggressive use of Self-Aligned Quadruple Patterning (SAQP) for its metal layers. This results in a notably small 32.5nm M0 metal pitch. However, SemiAnalysis notes this achievement comes with significantly higher process complexity, cost, and potential yield challenges compared to competitors using more advanced tools. The Kirin 9030 design maximizes this constrained density. While its GPU performance has improved ~70% and matches Qualcomm's 2022 flagship level, the CPU core's IPC lags behind current top-tier designs from Apple and Qualcomm, a gap attributed to the underlying manufacturing technology rather than design capability. Facing long-term restrictions on advanced tools, Huawei is charting a new path. The report highlights the company's "LogicFolding" roadmap, a 3D stacking technique aimed at shortening signal paths to boost performance and efficiency. The goal is to reach 5GHz frequency and a projected density of 295 MTr/mm² by 2031. SemiAnalysis concludes that export controls have not halted China's chip progress but have fundamentally altered its trajectory, making it more expensive and complex. This has spurred innovation in alternative areas like 3D stacking and domestic EDA tool development, with Huawei's supply chain also beginning to integrate Chinese memory from CXMT.

marsbit25 мин. назад

SemiAnalysis Dissects Huawei's Kirin 9030: Process Technology Halted, So They Folded the Chip

marsbit25 мин. назад

How Will the Price Move Before SpaceX's Next Share Unlock?

TL;DR Investors buying SPCX after SpaceX's IPO are not simply investing in a typical tech stock. It’s a high-valuation asset driven by Musk's narrative, Starlink, and space transport potential, but with a key twist: a very small initial float of ~4% has led to significant post-listing price appreciation. The current price action reflects a timing gap. Before the first lock-up expiration (estimated around August, subject to official confirmation), scarcity and high demand could continue to push prices up. Short-term bulls focus on low float, FOMO, and potential index inclusion. However, bears point to the supply dynamics that will change post-lockup. Existing shareholders still hold over 95% of shares, which will be released in stages starting from the first unlock window. This introduces future selling pressure from low-cost holders. The upcoming Q2 earnings report is a critical catalyst before the unlock. It will test whether the company's fundamentals can justify the current ~$2.1T valuation. Strong results could support the pre-unlock momentum, while weak figures could amplify concerns about future supply. The trading thesis is shifting from immediate scarcity ("can't buy enough") to evaluating future absorption capacity ("who will buy when more supply hits"). The path ahead hinges on the specifics of the unlock schedule, Q2 earnings performance, and whether anticipated passive index buying materializes.

marsbit46 мин. назад

How Will the Price Move Before SpaceX's Next Share Unlock?

marsbit46 мин. назад

Bitcoin Short-Term Bullish Structure Validated, HYPE Low-Entry Window Opens | Guest Analysis

**Market Analysis Summary (Week of June 2026)** **Overall Market Context:** The market environment is exceptionally complex, with the unexpected US-Iran agreement and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz triggering a global asset repricing and significant volatility. This heightened noise underscores the importance of a structured analytical framework. **Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis & Strategy:** * **Current Status:** The price has climbed above $65,000, currently in a rebound phase (segment 38-39) following a complex 12-segment correction from the May high of $82,850. * **Key Levels:** * **Primary Resistance:** $69,500–$70,500. A successful breakout above $65,000 targets this zone. * **Primary Support:** $65,000 (immediate), followed by $59,000–$60,000 and $55,000. * **Weekly Outlook & Strategy:** The focus is on the confirmation of the $65,000 level. * **Bullish Scenario (Hold $65K):** A move toward the $69.5K–$70.5K resistance zone is anticipated, which is a potential area for initiating medium-term short positions. * **Bearish Scenario (Break below $65K):** A retest of the $60,000–$62,000 support range is likely. * **Medium-Term Strategy:** Currently neutral. Plan to establish short positions (up to 60% allocation) either in the $69.5K–$70.5K resistance zone upon signs of rejection, or on a confirmed breakdown below $65,000 and further below $59K–$60K. * **Short-Term Strategy:** Utilize 30% capital for scalping opportunities based on support/resistance levels, using 30/60-minute charts. **HYPE Analysis & Strategy:** * **Current Status:** The price has stabilized around $52 after a four-segment decline from the June high of $75.87 and is now in a rebound (segment 50-51). * **Key Levels:** * **Primary Resistance:** $62.50–$64.57. Watch for potential rejection here to form a lower high. * **Primary Support:** $52–$55.50, followed by $47–$49. * **Weekly Outlook & Strategy:** Adopt a "buy on dips, avoid chasing rallies" approach. * **Core View:** Monitor the price action and potential formation of a lower high ("endpoint 51") in the $62.50–$64.57 resistance zone. * **Short-Term Strategy:** Consider light long positions (max 30% allocation) if the price finds support and shows reversal signals in the $52–$54.50 or deeper $47–$49 support zones, confirmed by proprietary quantitative bottom signals. **Trade Review:** Last week's HYPE short-term long trade, executed based on proprietary "Price Difference" and "Momentum" model signals, yielded a profit of approximately 11.88%. The entry was near $54.39 and exit near $60.85. **Risk Management Reminder:** Always set an initial stop-loss upon entry. Move stop-loss to breakeven at +1% profit, then trail it upwards to lock in gains as the trade progresses. *Disclaimer: All analysis, models, and strategies are based on personal technical analysis for educational purposes only, not investment advice. The market carries inherent risk.*

Odaily星球日报50 мин. назад

Bitcoin Short-Term Bullish Structure Validated, HYPE Low-Entry Window Opens | Guest Analysis

Odaily星球日报50 мин. назад

Bitcoin Short-Term Bullish Structure Validated, HYPE Accumulation Window Opens | Guest Analysis

**Bitcoin and HYPE Market Analysis: Short-Term Outlook and Trading Strategies** This market analysis examines Bitcoin (BTC) and HYPE amid volatile conditions, providing short-term outlooks and specific trading strategies. **Key Outlooks:** * **Bitcoin (BTC):** Focus is on whether BTC's recent move above $65,000 holds. A successful breakout could lead to a test of the $69,500-$70,500 resistance zone, where medium-term short positions are considered. A failure, breaking below $65,000, may trigger a decline towards the $59,000-$60,000 support area. * **HYPE:** The token completed a four-wave correction and is now rebounding. The key resistance zone is $62.5-$64.57. The trading strategy is "buy on dips," looking for entry opportunities near the $52-$54.5 or deeper $47-$49 support zones, pending confirmation from proprietary models. **BTC Trading Strategy:** * **Medium-term:** Primarily looking to establish short positions (up to 60% allocated capital) if price rallies to the $69,500-$70,500 resistance area and shows signs of reversal. Alternative plans involve initiating shorts on a breakdown below $65,000. * **Short-term:** Allocate up to 30% capital for intraday "spread" trades based on support/resistance levels on 30/60-minute charts. **HYPE Trading Strategy:** * **Short-term:** Adopt a dip-buying approach. Consider light long positions (under 30% capital) when price tests key support levels ($52-$54.5 or $47-$49) and shows stabilization, confirmed by proprietary "Price Spread" and "Momentum Quant" models. **Trade Recap:** The analysis reviews a successful HYPE long trade from the previous week, executed at ~$54.39 and closed at ~$60.85 for an ~11.88% gain, based on signals from the aforementioned models. **Risk Management Emphasis:** The article stresses strict capital allocation (under 30-60%), immediate initial stop-loss placement, and a trailing stop-loss protocol to lock in profits as trades move favorably. ***Disclaimer:** All analysis, models, and strategies are for educational purposes based on technical analysis, not investment advice. Markets are volatile; trade with caution.*

marsbit53 мин. назад

Bitcoin Short-Term Bullish Structure Validated, HYPE Accumulation Window Opens | Guest Analysis

marsbit53 мин. назад

Торговля

Спот
Фьючерсы
活动图片