渣打银行:解析我们看好以太坊年底冲上 7,500 美元的逻辑

比推Опубликовано 2025-08-27Обновлено 2025-08-27

‍渣打银行表示,即便第二大加密货币以太坊在8月25日飙升至4955美元的历史高点,以太坊及其财库持有公司的估值仍被低估。

该行加密货币研究主管Geoffrey Kendrick称,自6月以来,财库公司与ETF已吸收了近5%的流通以太坊,其中财库公司买入2.6%,ETF增持2.3%。

两者合计4.9%的持仓占比,堪称加密货币历史上最快的增持周期之一,其速度超过了2024年末BTC财库与ETF增持2%流通量的速度。

Kendrick表示,近期的增持热潮标志着更广泛增持周期的初期阶段。他在7月的报告中预测,财库公司最终可能掌控10%的流通以太坊。

Kendrick认为,鉴于BitMINE等公司已公开将5%持仓作为目标,这一目标似乎是可以实现的。他指出,这意味着仍有7.4%的流通量待增持,将为以太坊价格提供强劲支撑。

快速的增持节奏凸显了机构化主体在加密货币市场中日益重要的作用。Kendrick表示,ETF资金流与财库增持的协同,形成了一个“反馈循环”,这一循环可能进一步收紧供应,推动价格走高。

Kendrick上调了该行此前的预测,称以太坊年末可能攀升至7500美元。他还表示,当前的回调是投资者为后续资金流入布局的“绝佳入场点”。

尽管买盘压力推高了以太坊价格,但以太坊持有公司的估值却呈反向变动。

SharpLink与BitMINE是两家最成熟的以太坊财库公司,其净资产价值(NAV)倍数已低于最大的比特币财库公司Strategy。

Kendrick表示,这一估值折价并不合理,因为以太坊财库公司可获得3%的质押收益,而Strategy持有的比特币无法产生此类收益。

他还提到,SBET近期计划在其NAV倍数低于1.0时回购股票,称这为以太坊财库公司的估值设定了“坚实底部”。


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