以太坊价格分析:ETH是否有2500美元逆转的风险?

币界网Опубликовано 2024-08-15Обновлено 2024-08-15

币界网报道:

以太坊价格在8月14日触及2770美元后,在过去24小时内回落了6.83%,市场数据显示,做空交易者的看跌逆风抵消了温和的美国CPI影响。

ETH价格在24小时内暴跌6.8%

8月份以太坊的不确定性开始了,但价格在过去一周经历了稳定的上涨势头,这主要归功于灰度。这家总部位于美国的投资公司在宣布为SUI、TAO和MKR推出新的加密货币信托后,引发了市场需求的增加。

这一日期为8月5日的发展引发了投资者的乐观情绪,他们认为这是加密货币机构采用程度加深的标志。如图所示,这种看涨情绪延伸到ETH,推动价格在8月5日至8月14日期间上涨了30%。

以太坊价格分析ETHUSD |交易视图

然而,8月14日温和的美国CPI数据的发布改变了市场动态。随着投资者将注意力转向股市,最初的乐观情绪逐渐消退,导致加密货币价格大幅下跌。ETH价格在24小时内下跌了6%,抹去了其最近涨幅的很大一部分。上图显示了以太坊是如何因此而下跌的,人们对未来几天可能出现的大幅回调越来越担忧。

市场的反应表明,以太坊现在可能面临更大的看跌压力,衍生品市场暗示着进一步的下行风险。

空头交易者取消了鸽派CPI

围绕CPI数据的最初乐观情绪是短暂的,因为看跌情绪开始主导以太坊的衍生品市场。这种转变的一个关键指标是接受者买入/卖出比率,它衡量市场上买入订单与卖出订单的比率。

上图显示了以太坊接受者买入/卖出比率如何大幅下降,从8月8日的1.07降至8月14日的0.94。

以太坊价格与ETH接受者买入卖出比率|CryptoQuant

这一转变表明衍生品交易员的看跌情绪越来越强烈,他们越来越多地押注于以太坊。该比率的下降通常表明卖出订单超过了买入订单,这对市场来说是一个看跌信号。

尽管CPI温和,但交易员仍对以太坊的短期前景持怀疑态度,这表明最近的反弹可能是不可持续的。随着衍生品市场普遍存在看跌情绪,以太坊的价格在未来几天可能会跌至2500美元。

以太坊价格预测:空头可能迫使2500美元逆转

以太坊的价格目前正在努力维持其最近的涨幅,技术指标表明可能会出现逆转。如图所示,Donchian Channel指标显示以太坊的价格徘徊在下限附近,表明在2770美元左右有强劲阻力。这个水平现在是一个关键的阻力点,价格很难突破它。

以太坊价格预测ETHUSD |交易视图

不利的一面是,如图表所示,支撑位在2500美元左右。如果看跌势头持续下去,以太坊可能会跌破这一支撑位,导致更深入的回调。平均方向指数(ADR)进一步支持了这种看跌前景,因为它表明了一种减弱的趋势。这些因素的结合表明,以太坊有2500美元逆转的风险,空头将收紧对市场的控制。

总之,以太坊最近的反弹似乎正在失去动力,衍生品市场的看跌情绪和技术指标都指向了潜在的调整。如果空头保持控制,ETH可能在短期内大幅下跌至2500美元。

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