# Strategy Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Strategy", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis

Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Hold Maintained, HYPE Successfully Captures Profits | Guest Analysis In this market analysis, analyst Cody reviews the past week's cryptocurrency performance. For Bitcoin, the overall weak bearish trend continued. A previously established mid-term short position (1x leverage) opened at $89,000 remains held, currently showing an unrealized profit of approximately 26.10% as the price fell to around $65,770. A separate short-term short trade was executed, yielding a 2.12% gain. The primary view is that Bitcoin is undergoing a C-2 wave rebound within a larger corrective structure. The price is expected to continue oscillating within a range, with key resistance between $68,500-$72,300 and crucial support near $60,000-$62,500. The core trading strategy remains "selling on rallies." Significant focus is placed on HYPE, which is analyzed using Elliott Wave Theory. The analysis posits that HYPE completed its Wave I rise and Wave II correction and is now in the early stages of a potent Wave III advance. A recent short-term long trade (1x leverage) on HYPE capitalized on this move, generating an 11.14% profit. The wave count and breakout from key descending trendline are cited as evidence for this bullish outlook. The weekly strategy involves holding a 60% mid-term Bitcoin short position. For short-term trades, 30% of capital is allocated to scalp "price differences" based on support/resistance levels and proprietary quantitative models (Momentum and Price-Spread), following a strict principle of "going with the trend and selling high." Detailed A/B plans are provided for entering additional short positions on bounces toward $70,000-$72,300 (Plan A) or $74,500 (Plan B), complete with precise entry, stop-loss, and a dynamic trailing stop protocol to lock in profits. A strong disclaimer cautions that all analysis is for personal use and not investment advice.

Odaily星球日报03/02 08:17

Hold Bitcoin Mid-Term Short Positions, HYPE Successfully Rides the Wave for Profits | Guest Analysis

Odaily星球日报03/02 08:17

$1.3 Billion in Debt: Bitdeer Has a Tough Battle to Fight

Bitdeer, one of the world's largest publicly listed Bitcoin mining firms, is undergoing a high-stakes strategic pivot from cryptocurrency mining to AI infrastructure, financed by over $1.3 billion in debt. The company recently sold its entire Bitcoin reserve—943.1 BTC—to boost liquidity for this transition. The core of Bitdeer’s new strategy involves developing large-scale data centers to supply computing power for AI and high-performance computing (HPC). It currently has a pipeline of 3,002 MW in power capacity globally—enough to support 10–30 hyperscale data centers like those of Google or Microsoft. Key projects include a 570 MW site in Ohio (facing a legal challenge from a local steel manufacturer) and a 175 MW site in Norway being converted to AI use. The company has raised capital through multiple convertible notes and equity offerings, with much of the debt scheduled to mature between 2029 and 2032. Annual interest expenses are estimated at over $65 million, currently supported largely by continued borrowing. While Bitcoin mining remains its primary revenue source, its profitability is declining due to rising network difficulty. Bitdeer’s AI business currently contributes less than 2% of total revenue, but management projects potential annual revenues of up to $2 billion if GPU capacity is fully utilized and long-term client contracts are secured. The company is also developing its own ASIC chips to improve margins. The success of this ambitious transformation depends on timely project execution, favorable legal outcomes, and the ability to attract major AI clients before debt obligations come due. The market remains skeptical—reflected in a falling share price—until tangible AI revenue materializes.

marsbit02/28 02:42

$1.3 Billion in Debt: Bitdeer Has a Tough Battle to Fight

marsbit02/28 02:42

Can the Dual Currency Win Strategy Really Weather Bull and Bear Markets? A 6-Year Backtest Provides the Answer

"Can the Dual Currency Win (Wheel Strategy) truly weather bull and bear markets? A 6-year backtest (2020-2026) on Bitcoin and Ethereum provides the answer. The study compared two approaches: the 'Standard Rolling Strike' method, which dynamically sells covered calls at 105% of the current spot price, and the 'Fixed Anchor' method, which stubbornly sells calls at the original, higher cost basis after a drop, refusing to sell at a loss. Key findings reveal a significant performance gap. The Standard method, while sacrificing some upside, demonstrated superior risk-adjusted returns. For a 50/50 BTC/ETH portfolio, it achieved a +1347.32% total return with a -49.9% max drawdown and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.983, outperforming both Buy & Hold (+1665.52%, -77.8% drawdown, 0.85 Sharpe) on risk metrics and crushing the Fixed Anchor method (+592.77%, -61.8% drawdown, 0.766 Sharpe). The data shows the Standard strategy's strength lies in its dynamic adjustment mechanism, continuously resetting its strike price to balance income generation with participation in bullish trends. Conversely, the Fixed Anchor strategy's poor performance highlights the costly pitfall of the 'anchoring bias'—the human tendency to fixate on the entry price. This psychological trap cripples the ability to collect meaningful premium during bear markets and causes investors to miss subsequent bull runs when positions are called away at breakeven. The conclusion is clear: discipline and adaptability are far more valuable than the psychological comfort of 'breaking even.' The true risk in trending assets is not volatility, but being anchored to a past price, which severely limits future upside potential."

marsbit02/27 09:25

Can the Dual Currency Win Strategy Really Weather Bull and Bear Markets? A 6-Year Backtest Provides the Answer

marsbit02/27 09:25

Why Is Wall Street Collectively Shorting the Crypto Leader Strategy?

The Financial Times' Alphaville column highlighted that S&P 500 short interest has reached a multi-year high, with MicroStrategy (referred to as "Strategy" in the text) being the most shorted stock at 14% of its market value, followed by Coinbase at 11%. This indicates significant skepticism toward MicroStrategy, a major crypto-related company. Analysts, including former investment banker Craig Coben, criticize MicroStrategy’s business model, which involves accumulating Bitcoin without generating cash flow, leading to continuous financing and dilution of shareholder equity. The company tends to buy Bitcoin at market peaks, a systemic flaw. While some short positions may hedge Bitcoin exposure, the high short interest reflects broad bearish sentiment. MicroStrategy’s CEO, Michael Saylor, promotes a "digital asset" framework where Bitcoin serves as foundational capital," followed by "digital credit" (perpetual preferred shares) and "digital currency" (stablecoins). This model relies on perpetual debt issuance, similar to U.S. Treasuries, assuming Bitcoin’s long-term appreciation. The company claims it would only face liquidity issues if Bitcoin stays below $8,000 for 4-5 years—a scenario that would likely cripple the broader crypto industry. Despite short-term stability, Wall Street remains skeptical. Hedge funds use MicroStrategy to hedge against Bitcoin’s volatility, and short sellers target it as a proxy for crypto downturns. Saylor’s ambition to build a new monetary system based on Bitcoin—while using U.S. dollars for operations—adds irony noted by critics. Ultimately, the market focuses on price movements rather than long-term viability, questioning the sustainability of a business entirely dependent on Bitcoin’s performance.

marsbit02/27 05:40

Why Is Wall Street Collectively Shorting the Crypto Leader Strategy?

marsbit02/27 05:40

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