# Risk Management Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Risk Management", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Vitalik Buterin wants to build ‘the next generation of finance’ – Here’s how

Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum, has raised concerns that prediction markets are straying from their original purpose of being useful tools for understanding events and managing risk. Instead, he observes a trend where these platforms are increasingly focused on facilitating short-term speculative bets—such as on cryptocurrency prices or sports—that generate quick profits but offer little lasting value. Buterin warns that this shift is partly driven by platforms seeking revenue during bear markets, often at the expense of inexperienced traders who frequently lose money. He advocates for a refocus towards helping investors hedge against real-world financial risks, which would be healthier and more valuable for the ecosystem.

ambcrypto02/16 03:02

Vitalik Buterin wants to build ‘the next generation of finance’ – Here’s how

ambcrypto02/16 03:02

A $20 Million Loss Lesson: For Buying the Dip in U.S. Stocks, Just Remember These 'Three Dos and Three Don'ts'

"Losing 20 Million: A Painful Lesson on Bottom-Fishing in the U.S. Stock Market — Remember the 'Three Dos and Three Don'ts'" The author shares hard-earned insights after significant losses, concluding that while timing the peak is crucial for A-shares, bottom-fishing is key for U.S. stocks. The U.S. market's long-term upward trend makes buying the dip a core strategy, though it is psychologically challenging for many investors accustomed to A-shares' volatility. The article defines market corrections into three levels based on decline magnitude and duration: daily (5%+ drop or 2+ weeks), weekly (10%+ or 4+ weeks), and monthly (15%+ or 4+ months). Only 7 monthly corrections occurred in the S&P 500 over 20 years, each driven by macro events like rate hikes or crises. The core of U.S. stock bottom-fishing is a disciplined, batched approach. The "Three Dos and Three Don'ts" are: 1. Do plan batched entries; don’t make impulsive trades. 2. Prioritize "buying enough" over "buying cheap." 3. Use time-based batches (e.g., buying every few weeks) over price-based batches. For weekly corrections, a three-batch plan over ~10 weeks is suggested. For rarer monthly corrections, a 6-month plan with decreasing batch sizes (1/2, 1/3, 1/6) is advised. The strategy assumes the market’s long-term growth and relatively low volatility. The article also categorizes downturns: natural pullbacks, valuation-driven adjustments, and systemic crises (e.g., 2008, 2020). While black swan events are unpredictable, the key is to respond based on evolving realities rather than trying to predict them. The ultimate advice: stay engaged, assess risks as they develop, and remember that even severe crashes eventually recover.

marsbit02/14 09:28

A $20 Million Loss Lesson: For Buying the Dip in U.S. Stocks, Just Remember These 'Three Dos and Three Don'ts'

marsbit02/14 09:28

Matrixport Research: Bear Market Confirmed, the True Window for Bottom-Fishing May Not Have Arrived Yet

Matrixport Research confirms that the crypto market has entered a bear phase, with Bitcoin's recent break below a key support level signaling a confirmed downtrend. Historical cycle analysis suggests this correction aligns with typical bear market patterns in both scale and rhythm. The focus has now shifted from whether the trend has reversed to identifying the next optimal accumulation window. Key observations indicate that Bitcoin's break below its one-year moving average often marks the start of a bear market, which historically lasts about 12 months. This suggests the next bull cycle may not begin until Q4 2026, with a potential cycle low likely in Q3 2026. The report also posits that Bitcoin’s four-year cycle correlates more strongly with U.S. midterm election cycles than with halving events, citing heightened regulatory and political uncertainty as key drivers of market tops and bottoms. From a technical perspective, neither the monthly Stochastic oscillator (currently at ~39%) nor the monthly RSI (near 50) has yet reached key oversold thresholds that historically signaled major bottoms. A clear reversal confirmation—typically occurring after a break below extreme levels—has not appeared. The report concludes that the final market low has likely not been reached and emphasizes the need for patience. A sustainable recovery should be confirmed by clear signals of exhausted selling momentum, not just proximity to perceived low prices.

Matrixport02/13 08:37

Matrixport Research: Bear Market Confirmed, the True Window for Bottom-Fishing May Not Have Arrived Yet

Matrixport02/13 08:37

Coinbase and Ripple CEOs Join CFTC Advisory Panel Overseeing Digital Assets

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has formed a new advisory committee focused on digital assets, appointing key industry leaders including Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse. The committee, established under the Digital Commodities Consumer Protection Act, will provide expertise on regulatory and market developments. It includes representatives from crypto exchanges, stablecoin issuers, derivatives desks, and blockchain firms. The group will meet at least four times in 2026 to address issues like compliance, risk management, market transparency, and regulatory coordination. Their input will help shape future CFTC rules and oversight approaches for digital asset markets.

TheNewsCrypto02/13 06:57

Coinbase and Ripple CEOs Join CFTC Advisory Panel Overseeing Digital Assets

TheNewsCrypto02/13 06:57

Traditional Gambling Companies Enter Prediction Markets, Aiming for a 'Dimensionality Reduction Strike' Against Wall Street Traders

Traditional sports betting giants DraftKings, Fanatics, and FanDuel are entering the prediction market space, leveraging their expertise in odds-making to compete with Wall Street trading companies. These firms are establishing or planning associated market-making entities to provide liquidity and set odds on prediction platforms, viewing their experience in pricing complex, interconnected outcomes as a key advantage. On the other side, Wall Street firms like Susquehanna and Jump Trading are expanding into sports prediction markets, though they face challenges due to limited experience in sports event pricing. Sports betting involves dynamic risk factors such as injuries or weather changes, requiring sophisticated models and data analysis—areas where traditional bookmakers excel. However, Wall Street firms are actively hiring sports specialists to bridge this gap. Competition is intensifying as both sides vie for market share, which may compress profit margins due to narrower spreads. Despite this, betting companies remain confident in their ability to succeed, citing their deep industry knowledge. Over time, the competitive strengths of both groups may converge as talent and strategies blend.

比推02/12 15:05

Traditional Gambling Companies Enter Prediction Markets, Aiming for a 'Dimensionality Reduction Strike' Against Wall Street Traders

比推02/12 15:05

Matrixport Research Report | Re-evaluating the Long-Term Allocation Value of U.S. Stocks: Institutional Advantages, Industry Cycles, and Global Capital Resonance

Amidst rising asset volatility, US equities remain a core long-term allocation option for global investors, driven by three structural pillars: institutional advantages, technological innovation, and shifting global capital flows. The institutional framework of US markets—spanning venture capital to public listings—supports sustained growth with lower friction and stronger shareholder returns. From 2015 to 2025, the Nasdaq Composite outperformed China’s创业板指 and恒生科技指数 by 2-3x with significantly smaller drawdowns (-36.4% vs. -69.7% and -74.4%), highlighting the power of compounding with reduced timing risk. The AI-driven industrial cycle is transitioning from infrastructure expansion to application penetration. By 2024, 78% of organizations reported using AI, up from 55% in 2023. US AI-related capex nearly doubled from 2019 to 2025, reflecting real investment and demand. The profit realization cycle remains early, with ample room for diffusion across sectors. Global capital allocation has shifted from tactical to structural: overseas holdings of US equities rose 47.6% from 2023 to 2025, led by European institutional inflows. The US market’s depth, liquidity, regulatory transparency, and concentration of high-quality tech assets make it uniquely positioned for large-scale, long-term capital deployment. While 2026 may see moderate rate cuts and fiscal policy debates, the long-term drivers—institutional resilience, AI adoption, and structural capital inflows—remain intact. Short-term volatility may present entry opportunities for disciplined investors. Matrixport now offers US stock trading with stablecoin settlements and 24/7 instant access, enabling efficient global asset allocation. *Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Digital asset trading carries risks. Consult a professional before investing. Matrixport assumes no liability for decisions based on this content.*

marsbit02/12 12:37

Matrixport Research Report | Re-evaluating the Long-Term Allocation Value of U.S. Stocks: Institutional Advantages, Industry Cycles, and Global Capital Resonance

marsbit02/12 12:37

Strategy Issues Preferred Stock to Steady Bitcoin Bet

Strategy is increasing its issuance of preferred stock to continue accumulating Bitcoin while reducing the impact of market volatility on its common shares. The new preferred product, named "Stretch," offers a variable dividend currently set at 11.25%, adjusted monthly to keep the stock trading near its $100 par value. This structure aims to attract investors seeking exposure to digital assets but wanting to avoid Bitcoin's typical price swings. The company raised approximately $370 million through common stock and $7 million via preferred shares in a recent offering, using the funds to expand its Bitcoin holdings to over 714,000 BTC, valued at around $48 billion. Despite Bitcoin's significant price decline, Strategy remains committed to its long-term accumulation strategy and aims to strengthen its balance sheet by reducing refinancing risks and limiting dilution through preferred shares.

TheNewsCrypto02/12 10:11

Strategy Issues Preferred Stock to Steady Bitcoin Bet

TheNewsCrypto02/12 10:11

Traditional Gambling Giants Enter Prediction Markets, Aiming to Outmaneuver Wall Street

Traditional gambling giants like DraftKings, Fanatics, and FanDuel are entering the prediction market space, leveraging their expertise in setting odds for sports events to compete with Wall Street firms. These companies believe their core competency in accurately pricing complex, interconnected outcomes gives them an edge. They operate through affiliated market makers, such as Fanatics’ Morton St. Market Maker LLC, providing liquidity and profiting from bid-ask spreads. On the other side, Wall Street firms like Susquehanna and Jump Trading are expanding into sports prediction markets, bringing deep financial market experience and capital. However, they face challenges in sports-specific risk management, where factors like injuries or weather can rapidly change outcomes. To compete, they are hiring talent with sports betting expertise. As both sectors converge—gambling firms adopting financial strategies and financial firms acquiring sports knowledge—their competitive advantages may blur. Increased competition among market makers is expected to compress profit margins, but robust liquidity remains crucial for user experience. Despite uncertainties, gambling companies express strong confidence in their ability to succeed in this emerging arena.

marsbit02/12 03:44

Traditional Gambling Giants Enter Prediction Markets, Aiming to Outmaneuver Wall Street

marsbit02/12 03:44

Traditional Gambling Giants Enter Prediction Markets, Aiming to Outmaneuver Wall Street

Traditional sports betting giants like DraftKings, Fanatics, and FanDuel are entering the prediction markets, leveraging their expertise in odds-setting and risk management to compete against Wall Street firms like Susquehanna and Jump Trading. These betting companies argue that their experience in pricing complex, real-time sports outcomes—such as injuries or weather changes—gives them an edge. However, Wall Street firms are responding by hiring sports specialists and applying their deep financial capital and algorithmic trading experience. As both sides converge—betting firms adopting financial strategies and trading firms gaining sports knowledge—the market is becoming increasingly competitive. This rivalry may narrow profit margins due to tighter spreads but is expected to improve overall market liquidity and user experience.

Odaily星球日报02/12 03:41

Traditional Gambling Giants Enter Prediction Markets, Aiming to Outmaneuver Wall Street

Odaily星球日报02/12 03:41

BlockFills Suspends Withdrawals: Is the First Domino About to Fall?

BlockFills, a major institutional crypto lending platform backed by traditional finance giants like CME Ventures and Susquehanna International Group (SIG), has temporarily suspended withdrawals, citing "temporary liquidity adjustments" to protect client and company interests. The move echoes language used by Celsius before its collapse in 2022, raising concerns about a potential repeat of past crypto lending failures. Founded in Chicago in 2018, BlockFills serves over 2,000 institutional clients—including miners, hedge funds, and payment processors—and processed over $61.1 billion in trading volume in 2025. Its sudden pause on withdrawals has triggered market anxiety, especially amid Bitcoin’s sharp decline from $120,000 to around $60,000, which has pressured mining operations reliant on financing. While BlockFills emphasizes its institutional risk management and strong backing, analysts note that prolonged suspension could signal systemic risk in the crypto credit sector. If resolved quickly, it may demonstrate resilience of institutional infrastructure; if not, it could become the first major domino to fall in a new wave of crypto financial stress.

比推02/12 00:08

BlockFills Suspends Withdrawals: Is the First Domino About to Fall?

比推02/12 00:08

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