# Revenue Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Revenue", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Report Analysis: TSMC's AI Revenue to Double by 2027, CoWoS Capacity Remains a Bottleneck

Morgan Stanley's report on June 23 forecasts explosive growth for TSMC's AI-related revenue. It predicts revenue will surge to $86.3 billion in 2027, a 218% increase from 2026's $27.1 billion. While GPUs (led by Nvidia) remain the primary driver, significant new demand is emerging from AMD's Venice CPUs and MI400 GPUs, and Google's TPUs. A critical bottleneck is CoWoS advanced packaging capacity. Global demand for CoWoS is projected to reach 2.694 million units in 2027, a 93% year-on-year increase. Even with TSMC's planned expansion to 200k wafers/month and non-TSMC capacity, a shortage is expected, particularly for high-end CoWoS-L used by Nvidia. This scarcity grants TSMC pricing power. Key near-term catalysts include improved ABF substrate supply, rising CPU demand, and Nvidia's Rubin Ultra production. The report highlights winners across the supply chain, including MediaTek (Google TPU partner) and ASE Group.

marsbit06/25 03:56

Report Analysis: TSMC's AI Revenue to Double by 2027, CoWoS Capacity Remains a Bottleneck

marsbit06/25 03:56

Ethereum Staking Tax Debate Erupts Over Validator Redirected Revenue Proposal

A new Ethereum Research proposal titled "Validator Redirected Revenue" has sparked debate over staking economics. It outlines a mechanism allowing validators to redirect part of their staking rewards toward funding ecosystem public goods, such as research and infrastructure, aiming to create a more sustainable funding model beyond donations and grants. Critics have labeled the concept a "staking tax," arguing it could politicize validation and potentially become mandatory, undermining validator incentives and network neutrality. Supporters contend it addresses Ethereum's long-term funding needs and allows validators to coordinate on ecosystem priorities. Importantly, the proposal is in an early research and discussion stage on the Ethereum Research forum. It is not an approved or imminent protocol change. The path to implementation is long and uncertain. However, it signals a significant governance debate that market participants and ETH holders are watching closely due to its potential impact on staking rewards and Ethereum's investment case.

bitcoinist06/24 11:22

Ethereum Staking Tax Debate Erupts Over Validator Redirected Revenue Proposal

bitcoinist06/24 11:22

As Channel Dividends Fade, What Can DeFi Protocols Rely On to Resist Giant Harvesting?

The article discusses how major tech companies like Coinbase, Stripe, and Kraken are increasingly acquiring or building their own underlying infrastructure to capture profits, moving away from relying on external DeFi protocols. It uses the example of Coinbase's Base blockchain, which generates sequencing fees for Coinbase from protocols like Morpho that deploy on it. Similarly, Stripe acquired Bridge to capture stablecoin yield instead of paying it to Circle, and Kraken bought NinjaTrader for its derivatives licenses. The core argument is that when channel-based advantages (like user traffic) fade, control over the profit-generating infrastructure becomes critical. While this could lead to a future dominated by a few integrated giants, the article suggests a more balanced outcome is possible. Protocols that have already achieved deep, multi-chain integration and embedded themselves into corporate backends create high switching costs, making them difficult to replace. Examples include Morpho (despite reliance on Base, it's widely deployed) and Uniswap. The piece concludes that the race between institutional expansion and open-source protocol proliferation will ultimately shape the industry's structure.

marsbit06/22 10:22

As Channel Dividends Fade, What Can DeFi Protocols Rely On to Resist Giant Harvesting?

marsbit06/22 10:22

A New Player Enters at Third Place, Rothera Disrupts the Prediction Market Landscape

"Rothera Skyrockets to Third in Prediction Market Rankings, Disrupting Industry Landscape" Rothera, Robinhood's newly launched prediction market platform, has rapidly climbed to become the third-largest player in the sector by trading volume, trailing only giants Kalshi and Polymarket. Its growth is attributed not to attracting new users, but to migrating existing Robinhood user orders away from partner Kalshi. Previously, Robinhood served as a major distribution channel for Kalshi, accounting for an estimated 25%-35% of its volume. With the launch of Rothera, Robinhood now internally executes events like World Cup contracts, capturing revenue that was previously shared with Kalshi. Data shows Rothera's weekly trading volume surged from $21.9 million to $559 million within weeks, reaching nearly one-fifth of Polymarket's volume. Analysts estimate Robinhood's prediction market business could generate around $10 billion in annual revenue at this pace, potentially surpassing its historical crypto revenue peak. In response, Kalshi is reportedly exploring new distribution channels by engaging with investment banks for a potential IPO, requiring them to integrate their systems with Kalshi to access institutional clients. This shift highlights a new competitive focus in prediction markets: controlling user access and distribution channels rather than just product offerings.

marsbit06/22 09:07

A New Player Enters at Third Place, Rothera Disrupts the Prediction Market Landscape

marsbit06/22 09:07

Swooping to Third Place, Rothera Disrupts Prediction Market Landscape

The article "Rothera Shakes Up Prediction Market Landscape, Debuts at No. 3" details the rapid rise of Rothera, Robinhood's newly launched in-house prediction market platform. Originally, Robinhood acted as a major distribution channel for Kalshi, routing 25-35% of its user orders to Kalshi for execution, which involved revenue sharing. Rothera allows Robinhood to capture this value internally by migrating orders, particularly for events like the World Cup, to its own platform. This has led to explosive growth for Rothera, with weekly trading volume soaring from $21.9 million to $559 million in just two weeks, making it the third-largest prediction market behind Kalshi and Polymarket. Analysts estimate Robinhood's prediction market business could generate $10 billion in annual revenue, surpassing its crypto revenue peak. This growth represents a direct challenge to Kalshi, which is now seeking new distribution channels, including talks with investment banks for a potential IPO, to integrate its platform with institutional client networks. The key takeaway is a shift in the competitive landscape: success is increasingly defined not just by product offerings but by controlling the user distribution channels and value capture, as demonstrated by Rothera's swift ascent.

Odaily星球日报06/22 09:04

Swooping to Third Place, Rothera Disrupts Prediction Market Landscape

Odaily星球日报06/22 09:04

Mining Scale Skyrockets: Why Can't Bitdeer Hold onto Its Bitcoin?

Bitdeer's May 2026 operational data reveals a stark contrast: while its Bitcoin mining output surged to 921 BTC, a 370% year-over-year increase, its end-of-month holdings plummeted to just 171 BTC. This significant disparity highlights that the company, amidst a strategic pivot towards AI cloud infrastructure, continues to rely heavily on selling newly mined Bitcoin to fund operations and expansion, despite reporting a steady $69 million in annualized recurring AI revenue. The trend is consistent with Q1 2026 figures, where mining output reached 2,033 BTC but holdings were a mere 31 BTC, with $206.8 million from digital asset disposals. While the AI business, showing 90% GPU utilization, offers a potential future cash flow buffer to reduce dependency on Bitcoin sales, its current contribution to actual confirmed revenue remains limited. The transformation introduces new risks related to client acquisition, capital-intensive data center projects like Tydal, and delivery timelines. The core question raised is whether the AI venture will successfully generate sufficient stable cash flow to allow Bitdeer to retain more of its mining proceeds as Bitcoin treasury assets, or if the shift merely changes the form of financial pressure while Bitcoin reserves continue to dwindle.

Foresight News06/22 06:07

Mining Scale Skyrockets: Why Can't Bitdeer Hold onto Its Bitcoin?

Foresight News06/22 06:07

Annualized Revenue Exceeds $20 Billion, Kalshi Aims to Become the First Prediction Platform IPO?

Kalshi, a leading U.S. prediction markets platform, is reportedly in early, informal discussions for an Initial Public Offering (IPO). The company's annualized revenue now exceeds $2 billion, fueled by its dominance of over 90% of the domestic prediction market activity. This growth stems from a surge in trading volume—reaching a total of $52.7 billion—and an increase in fee rates, largely driven by sports event contracts like the NBA playoffs and the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Monthly active users are approximately 2 million. Kalshi recently raised $1 billion in a funding round led by Coatue Management, valuing the company at $22 billion. It has also expanded its offerings to include Bitcoin perpetual contracts and plans to launch a dedicated trading platform, Kalshi Pro. However, Kalshi's path to an IPO faces significant regulatory hurdles. The core risk involves jurisdictional conflicts, as multiple U.S. states are challenging its operations under local gambling laws. For instance, Arizona has filed criminal charges against the platform, while states like Kentucky have filed lawsuits. Kalshi and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) argue that its event contracts fall under exclusive federal jurisdiction as "swaps." The outcomes of these ongoing legal battles could critically impact Kalshi's core revenue and its IPO timeline. Analysts suggest that while an IPO could theoretically occur by late 2026, a more likely timeframe is late 2027 or 2028, contingent on resolving legal issues and favorable market conditions. If successful, its fundraising could significantly exceed $1 billion, given its current valuation and revenue multiple.

Foresight News06/22 03:45

Annualized Revenue Exceeds $20 Billion, Kalshi Aims to Become the First Prediction Platform IPO?

Foresight News06/22 03:45

No Sales Team, $20 Million in Revenue: How Did AI Employee Viktor Win Over 30,000 Companies?

The AI employee Viktor, developed by a team with DeepMind background, has achieved $20 million in annual revenue without a traditional sales team, serving over 30,000 companies. Its core innovation lies in positioning itself as a "Tier 3 AI Coworker" capable of "end-to-end execution and delivery of results," moving beyond the "draft and wait for human completion" model of typical AI assistants. Users can simply mention Viktor in Slack or Microsoft Teams using natural language commands, and it autonomously performs tasks like pulling sales data from a CRM, generating reports, or even cross-tool operations like creating board meeting PPTs by aggregating data from six different sources. Key to its growth is a pure Product-Led Growth (PLG) model, eliminating complex implementation cycles and per-seat licensing. Instead, it charges based on task credits or consumption, lowering the trial barrier with a $100 free credit offer and no credit card required. This enabled viral, bottom-up adoption within organizations. Viktor's interaction paradigm removes the barrier of prompt engineering, allowing non-technical employees to delegate complex workflows seamlessly. It also features proactive, automated task execution (e.g., overnight bookkeeping, scheduled reports) based on triggers, effectively embedding AI as an automated "process layer" within business operations. However, its expansion into Microsoft Teams—a platform with 320 million users—highlights challenges. Large enterprises require stringent IT compliance, security reviews (e.g., SOC 2), and governance, potentially hindering the frictionless, user-driven adoption that succeeded in Slack. Additionally, the "black box" nature of its autonomous decision-making raises concerns about operational risks, data integrity, and the need for robust audit logs and permission controls. Balancing efficiency gains with security and trust remains a critical hurdle for Viktor and similar AI agents aiming to become core enterprise infrastructure.

marsbit06/19 10:55

No Sales Team, $20 Million in Revenue: How Did AI Employee Viktor Win Over 30,000 Companies?

marsbit06/19 10:55

CARDS' Brutal Truth of $535M FDV: Only $43M Net Revenue, Profit Margin Halved

The article deconstructs Collector Crypt (CC), a blockchain-based platform for trading tokenized collectible cards, revealing a significant disparity between its high volume and actual business fundamentals. Key findings include: * CC's cumulative revenue of $635M is misleading; 90.6% is instantly returned to users via card buybacks, leaving only $43M in net revenue (6.7% retention). * Trading activity is minimal, with real secondary market trading below $5M. eBay sales as a percentage of volume have declined for six consecutive quarters. * The platform's user base is highly concentrated, with a few dozen high-frequency wallets driving most of the volume, resembling a "casino" with ~420 daily active players. * As volume shifts to higher-priced card packs, the net profit margin has halved from 11.2% to 5.8%. * Token value capture (via burns and buybacks) totals only $1.4M, just 3.4% of net revenue. Meanwhile, operational wallets have off-ramped $45.7M in USDC. * With a Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) of ~$535M, the token trades at 7.3x net revenue. The float is only 20.5%, with 72% of the supply allocated to insiders and locked until November 2027. The analysis concludes that while CC has found product-market fit as a high-speed gacha machine, it shows little evidence of evolving into a sustainable collector's marketplace, with minimal value accruing to its CARDS token.

marsbit06/18 11:11

CARDS' Brutal Truth of $535M FDV: Only $43M Net Revenue, Profit Margin Halved

marsbit06/18 11:11

The Brutal Truth Behind CARDS' $535M FDV: Only $43M in Net Revenue and Halved Profit Margins

The article titled "The Brutal Truth Behind CARDS' $535 Million FDV: Only $43 Million Net Revenue, Profit Margins Halved" provides a critical analysis of Collector Crypt (CC), a platform combining physical collectible cards with NFTs in a gacha-style system. Key findings include: * CC has generated $635 million in total user deposits. However, 90.6% ($576 million) is instantly returned to users via automatic card buybacks, resulting in only $43 million in net platform revenue (6.7% retention). * Activity is highly concentrated among dozens of high-frequency wallets, with an average of only ~420 daily active players. * There is minimal secondary market activity for the cards (under $5 million total), indicating the platform functions more as a gambling casino than a collector's marketplace. eBay sales as a percentage of gacha volume have declined for six consecutive quarters. * Despite a tripling in transaction volume, net profit margins have been halved from 11.2% to 5.8% as activity shifts to higher-priced card packs with lower margins. * Value captured by the CARDS token is minimal: only $140,000 (from burns and recent buybacks), representing just 3.4% of CC's cumulative net revenue. In contrast, wallets linked to operational infrastructure have off-ramped $45.7 million in USDC. * The token's ~$535 million Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) represents a 7.3x multiple of annualized net revenue. Only 20.5% of the token supply is floating, with 72% allocated to insiders and locked until November 2027. The conclusion is that CC has found product-market fit as a high-speed gambling platform for a niche user base, not as a growing collector economy. The token currently captures a negligible share of the platform's revenue.

Foresight News06/18 08:09

The Brutal Truth Behind CARDS' $535M FDV: Only $43M in Net Revenue and Halved Profit Margins