# Inflation Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Inflation", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick Expresses Confidence in America’s Growth, What’s for Crypto?

US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick has expressed strong confidence in US economic growth through 2026, predicting a manufacturing boom that will create millions of high-paying jobs, particularly in construction. He emphasized that this growth will move away from unproductive roles driven by bureaucracy. This optimism comes amid favorable economic data from November 2025, with CPI inflation at 2.7% and unemployment at 4.6%. Lutnick’s outlook may also positively impact the crypto market, as increased employment and economic confidence could drive investment into assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. BTC is predicted to reach $103,104 in three months, while ETH may surge to $5,353.01.

TheNewsCrypto01/02 09:37

US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick Expresses Confidence in America’s Growth, What’s for Crypto?

TheNewsCrypto01/02 09:37

2026 Fed Rate Cuts Seen as Key to Retail Crypto Comeback

According to industry analysts, Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2026 are seen as a key catalyst for bringing retail investors back to the crypto market. Lower interest rates typically reduce returns on conventional assets, making riskier investments like Bitcoin more attractive. While the Fed has signaled policy flexibility, market uncertainty remains regarding the timing and extent of future cuts. Previous rate cuts in late 2025 initially boosted Bitcoin to a record high of $125,100, but a subsequent liquidation event reversed gains. Bitcoin now trades nearly 30% below its peak, and market sentiment remains in "Extreme Fear." Analysts suggest that retail investor return in 2026 heavily depends on the Fed's policy direction, with potential rate cuts likely to renew market enthusiasm, while a pause or reversal could keep retail participants sidelined.

TheNewsCrypto12/31 05:02

2026 Fed Rate Cuts Seen as Key to Retail Crypto Comeback

TheNewsCrypto12/31 05:02

Vitalik May Not Realize That Ethereum's Transition to PoS Actually Buried a Financial 'Hidden Bomb'

After transitioning from Proof-of-Work (PoW) to Proof-of-Stake (PoS), Ethereum introduced staking rewards for ETH, creating a "maturity mismatch" arbitrage opportunity with Liquid Staking Tokens (LSTs) and Liquid Restaking Tokens (LRTs). This led to leveraged lending, recursive borrowing, and yield arbitrage on platforms like Aave, becoming a major DeFi use case—similar to traditional finance’s reliance on arbitrage. However, this arbitrage does not generate additional liquidity or value for the Ethereum ecosystem. Instead, it creates persistent selling pressure, as institutions cash out their staking rewards. This dynamic forms a delicate balance between sell pressure, ETH buy demand, and deflationary mechanisms. Unlike traditional banking, where maturity mismatch helps transform savings into productive capital (e.g., long-term loans funding economic growth), DeFi’s version is purely speculative. Institutions engage in recursive staking—staking ETH via Lido to get stETH, using it as collateral on Aave to borrow more ETH, and repeating the process—amplifying staking yields without contributing to real economic activity or dApp development. This套利套利behavior essentially exploits Ethereum’s security budget. With over 34 million ETH staked—far exceeding the estimated 15 million needed to resist state-level attacks—the network experiences "excess security." Post-Dencun upgrade, with reduced gas fees and renewed ETH inflation, the selling pressure from staking rewards structurally suppresses ETH’s price. ETH’s staking yield, currently around 2.5%, trails behind U.S. Treasury yields, making ETH a less attractive asset institutionally. The rise of Real-World Assets (RWA) on-chain could create external demand, potentially boosting ETH’s value, but for now, the PoS shift has turned ETH into a perpetual bond with negative yield spread versus Treasuries, posing a financial risk rather than fostering organic growth.

marsbit12/31 04:23

Vitalik May Not Realize That Ethereum's Transition to PoS Actually Buried a Financial 'Hidden Bomb'

marsbit12/31 04:23

Fed Meeting Minutes: 'Most' Officials Expect Further Rate Cuts Appropriate After December, Some Advocate Holding Steady 'For Some Time'

Federal Reserve December meeting minutes revealed a significant internal divide on interest rate policy. While a majority of officials supported the recent 25-basis-point rate cut and believed further cuts would be appropriate if inflation continues to decline as expected, a substantial faction advocated for pausing rate reductions "for some time." This group expressed concerns that progress on inflation had stalled and emphasized the need for greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward the 2% target before easing policy further. The discussion highlighted a careful balancing of risks. Most participants viewed the shift to a more neutral policy stance as necessary to prevent a potential severe deterioration in the labor market, with many noting that tariff-related inflationary pressures had diminished. Conversely, several officials warned of the risk that high inflation could become entrenched, cautioning that additional rate reductions amid elevated price data might be misinterpreted as a weakened commitment to the inflation target. All participants agreed that future policy decisions will not be predetermined and will remain highly dependent on incoming data, the evolving economic outlook, and the balance of risks. The minutes also noted that reserve balances have declined to ample levels, and the Committee will conduct purchases of Treasury bills as necessary to maintain an ample supply of reserves.

marsbit12/31 03:23

Fed Meeting Minutes: 'Most' Officials Expect Further Rate Cuts Appropriate After December, Some Advocate Holding Steady 'For Some Time'

marsbit12/31 03:23

Bitcoin Supports The US Dollar’s Reserve Status, Says Coinbase CEO

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong argues that Bitcoin strengthens the US dollar by acting as a market-based constraint on fiscal and monetary excess. He contends that Bitcoin creates healthy competition, serving as a "check and balance" against high inflation and deficit spending. By offering an alternative store of value, Bitcoin increases the political and economic costs of poor monetary policy, as capital can flee to Bitcoin during periods of uncertainty. This external pressure incentivizes policymakers to maintain currency stability, thereby helping the US retain its reserve currency status. Armstrong suggests that Bitcoin could extend the "American experiment" by reinforcing monetary credibility amid global competition and domestic fiscal challenges.

bitcoinist12/29 17:03

Bitcoin Supports The US Dollar’s Reserve Status, Says Coinbase CEO

bitcoinist12/29 17:03

Fed on the Eve of Change: Wall Street Prepares for an Interest Rate Battle Without 'Powell'

Investors are preparing for a potentially transformed Federal Reserve in the coming year as former President Trump signals his intention to select a new chair who aligns with his agenda, including aggressive rate cuts. While markets show limited immediate concern over the Fed’s independence, analysts warn that a less independent Fed could threaten economic stability and increase market volatility. Key risks include potential yield curve steepening, as long-term rates may rise on inflation fears if cuts are overly aggressive, and increased uncertainty from a more divided Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Trump could influence the Fed’s appointing loyalists to vacant board seats, potentially shifting policy momentum. However, consensus may emerge if economic data supports further easing. The new chair’s communication style—emphasizing economic rationale over political alignment—could also mitigate market anxiety. Current expectations for rate cuts in early 2025 remain intact, with equities showing optimism toward sectors like banks and industrials.

marsbit12/29 12:24

Fed on the Eve of Change: Wall Street Prepares for an Interest Rate Battle Without 'Powell'

marsbit12/29 12:24

Bank of Japan Rate Hike Signals Raise Volatility Risks for Crypto Markets

The Bank of Japan is considering further interest rate hikes after raising its main rate to 0.75%—the highest in 30 years. Some board members argue that current rates remain too low when adjusted for inflation and advocate for additional increases. Economists forecast the terminal rate could reach 1.25%–1.50% within two years. These monetary policy shifts are causing significant currency fluctuations, with the yen falling sharply. Higher yields may lead investors to unwind leveraged positions funded with cheap yen, including those in crypto assets. Analysts warn that rising borrowing costs could trigger a retreat from risk assets, increasing crypto market volatility. This pattern was observed in 2024 when Bitcoin fell over 20% following BoJ rate decisions in March and July, and more than 30% after another hike later in the year.

TheNewsCrypto12/29 09:06

Bank of Japan Rate Hike Signals Raise Volatility Risks for Crypto Markets

TheNewsCrypto12/29 09:06

Silver soars, inflation looms: Is Bitcoin bracing for a flash crash?

Silver's surge to a record $79/oz, with its RSI in extreme overbought territory, signals a broad overextension in legacy assets. This has led to a compelling case for capital to rotate back into Bitcoin, which has been trading sideways. However, Elon Musk notes silver's key industrial utility, making its rally a genuine inflation risk. With input costs rising across sectors, broader inflationary pressures could prevent further Fed rate cuts, keeping November's inflation of 2.7% well above target. This macro stress puts markets in risk-off mode. While Bitcoin could see a bull rally from capital rotation, its sensitivity to macro shifts and the approaching FOMC meeting elevate the potential for another flash crash.

ambcrypto12/28 23:01

Silver soars, inflation looms: Is Bitcoin bracing for a flash crash?

ambcrypto12/28 23:01

Bitcoin's Post-Halving Supply Change Is Permanently Locked by Mathematical Rules

The fourth Bitcoin halving occurred on April 20, 2024, at block height 840,000, reducing the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. This event, programmed into Bitcoin’s protocol and triggered automatically every 210,000 blocks, reinforces its deterministic and transparent monetary policy. Post-halving, daily Bitcoin issuance dropped by approximately 50%, from about 900 BTC to 450 BTC, with annualized issuance falling to around 164,250 BTC. This reduced Bitcoin’s annual supply inflation rate to roughly 0.83%, lower than gold's estimated 1–2% growth and contrasting sharply with central bank-controlled fiat systems. By the end of 2024, approximately 19.7 million BTC were in circulation, leaving fewer than 1.3 million left to be mined. Over 93.8% of the total supply has already been issued. The halving also shifted miner economics, significantly increasing the proportion of transaction fees in their total revenue. This aligns with Bitcoin’s long-term design, where security gradually transitions from block subsidies to fee-based incentives. Unlike traditional monetary systems, Bitcoin’s supply schedule is fixed, irreversible, and independent of market conditions. The next halving, expected around 2028, will further reduce the block reward to 1.5625 BTC. With the latest halving complete, Bitcoin’s low issuance rate is no longer a short-term event but a permanent baseline feature—verifiable, predictable, and enforced by code and consensus.

marsbit12/28 14:49

Bitcoin's Post-Halving Supply Change Is Permanently Locked by Mathematical Rules

marsbit12/28 14:49

Bitcoin – All about the liquidity signals that are hinting at a price recovery in 2026

Bitcoin's recent decline, driven by significant liquidations and a hawkish Fed outlook, shows signs of structural exhaustion, suggesting a potential bullish inflection point. Analysis indicates that a breakout above the descending resistance trendline could initiate a multi-week recovery. Liquidity conditions are expected to improve as inflation cools through the first half of 2026, potentially allowing the Fed to cut rates and inject liquidity into risk assets like Bitcoin. Despite recent outflows, spot investors have continued accumulating BTC, with $3.72 billion in purchases over four weeks. These factors, combined with possible quantitative easing, strengthen the outlook for a rebound toward previous all-time highs near $126,000.

ambcrypto12/27 07:02

Bitcoin – All about the liquidity signals that are hinting at a price recovery in 2026

ambcrypto12/27 07:02

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